Result
1:3
29/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 7
- Referee: Radakovic N. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
Match Stats
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| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.40 | 1.01 |
| Ball Possession |
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| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
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| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
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| 84% (348/416) | 82% (326/400) |
| Yellow Cards |
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| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
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| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
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| 1.40 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 0.28 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
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| 18 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
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| 14 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
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| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
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| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
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| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
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| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 21 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
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| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
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| 7 | 15 |
| Passes |
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| 84% (348/416) | 82% (326/400) |
| Long passes |
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| 56% (32/57) | 48% (35/73) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 77% (112/146) | 65% (62/95) |
| Crosses |
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| 30% (8/27) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.29 | 0.42 |
| Throw-ins |
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| 21 | 12 |
| Fouls |
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| 15 | 7 |
| Tackles |
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| 78% (7/9) | 62% (13/21) |
| Duels won |
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| 34 | 56 |
| Clearances |
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| 22 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
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| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 1.72 | 0.28 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -1.28 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 6', Matijasevic F. 🟨,
- 15', Addo E. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Momcilovic M. ⚽,
- 42', Maiga I. 🟥,
- 43', 0 - 2, Djermanovic A. ⚽, Kabic U. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Matijasevic F. ↓, Djokovic M. ↑,
- 46', Miladinovic U. ↓, Radosavljevic V. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 2, Tedic S. ⚽, Radosavljevic V. (A),
- 53', 1 - 3, Scepovic S. ⚽, Addo E. (A),
- 62', Tedic S. ↓, Pavkov M. ↑,
- 64', Mbong P. ↓, Nikcevic B. ↑,
- 67', Diogo Bezerra ↓, Addo H. ↑,
- 67', Addo E. ↓, Cvetkovic A. ↑,
- 75', Scepovic S. ↓, Alba H. ↑,
- 77', Stojanovic A. ↓, Vadze G. ↑,
- 83', Kabic U. ↓, Dembele I. ↑,
- 83', Knezevic N. ↓, Pantovic M. ↑,
- 90+4', Dembele I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Čukarički
25.5% | Draw
29.8% | OFK Beograd
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Čukarički has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Čukarički's form might have worsened.OFK Beograd has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OFK Beograd's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Čukarički than the current prediction. (+22%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Čukarički, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for OFK Beograd than the current prediction. (-18.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for OFK Beograd, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Čukarički - OFK Beograd Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.92 ↑
(2.01) |
5.07 ↑
(3.4) |
3.39 ↑
(3.32) |
-33.9%
(9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Čukarički - OFK Beograd?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Čukarički (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Čukarički will win
(12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Čukarički won 4.
- Čukarički is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- OFK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Čukarički may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Čukarički will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Čukarički won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:4. (average 1.8:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Čukarički won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Čukarički won against OFK Beograd?
Čukarički has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has OFK Beograd won against Čukarički?
OFK Beograd has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Čukarički - OFK Beograd were as follows:
15.12.2024
Čukarički
-
OFK Beograd
0:1
09.08.2024
OFK Beograd
-
Čukarički
1:2
Latest results of Čukarički
Latest results of OFK Beograd
Serbian Superliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Partizan | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19:6 | 13 | 16 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21:3 | 18 | 15 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cukaricki | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 7 | Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 8 |
| 8 | TSC | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Napredak | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 10 | Mladost | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | IMT Novi Beograd | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:17 | -8 | 7 |
| 12 | Radnicki 1923 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Sp. Subotica | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 14 | Radnicki Nis | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Javor | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Radnik | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: )
Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )
