Result
1:1
17/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Virsliga - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Latvia | Sportacentrs TV, TV4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.02 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (178/274) | 79% (416/526) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (178/274) | 79% (416/526) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (30/76) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (46/88) | 66% (120/183) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 40% (6/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (21/24) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 69 | 76 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
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| 17 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.14 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Purins N. 🟨,
- 31', Johnson K. 🟨,
- 41', Lormanis M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Machado F. ↓, Silagailis H. ↑,
- 60', Evelons E. ↓, Ivulans M. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 1, Fofana W. ⚽,
- 67', Ibrahim H. ↓, Daskevics E. ↑,
- 67', Hrvoj T. ↓, Aranda S. ↑,
- 75', Bongemba E. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
- 78', Gerold J. 🟥,
- 79', Mashchenko V. ↓, Sprukts E. ↑,
- 79', Kumakura K. ↓, Pacepko M. ↑,
- 83', Traore Y. 🟨,
- 88', Rubenis O. ↓, Kragliks R. ↑,
- 89', Marusiy T. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 1, Ouedraogo M. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Ogre United
12.2% | Draw
19.8% | Auda Riga
68% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ogre United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ogre United's form might have worsened.Auda Riga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auda Riga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ogre United than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Auda Riga than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Auda Riga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ogre United - Auda Riga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.61 ↑
(5.22) |
4.67 ↑
(3.85) |
1.36 ↓
(1.56) |
7.9%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga and 4).
- Recent form of Ogre United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Auda's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Ogre United has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Auda is the obvious favorite.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Ogre United won against Auda Riga?
Ogre United has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Auda Riga won against Ogre United?
Auda Riga has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ogre United - Auda Riga were as follows:
Latest results of Ogre United
Latest results of Auda Riga
Latvian Virsliga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | RFS | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 33:12 | 21 | 23 |
| 3 | Auda | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 5 | Super Nova | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 |
| 6 | FK Liepaja | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 12 |
| 7 | Grobina | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 8 | Tukums 2000 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Jelgava | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7:22 | -15 | 8 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8:19 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Nakotnes liga
