Result
3:3
16/03/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Primera - Round 7
- Referee: Salvo M. (Chi)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (355/433) | 78% (289/372) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.23 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (355/433) | 78% (289/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (84/127) | 56% (38/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 100% (14/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 3.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.28 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 1', 0 - 1, Martin Sarrafiore ⚽, Tapia J. (A),
- 5', Moya C. 🟨,
- 23', 0 - 2, Martin Sarrafiore ⚽,
- 24', Leiva Y. 🟨,
- 42', Martin Sarrafiore 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Diaz C. ↓, Saldias J. ↑,
- 46', Hiriart M. ↓, Oyarzo Munoz B. ↑,
- 56', 0 - 3, Felipe Ogaz ⚽,
- 60', Castillo A. 🟨,
- 66', Gonzalez F. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
- 66', Castillo A. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
- 70', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Godoy R. ↑,
- 70', Leiva Y. ↓, Soto J. ↑,
- 73', Mendez K. 🟨,
- 75', Carabali O. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 3, Saez S. ⚽,
- 81', Tapia J. ↓, Calderon E. ↑,
- 82', Gutierrez C. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 3, Saez S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+1', Pavez L. 🟨,
- 90+6', Cicotello M. 🟥,
- 90+7', 3 - 3, Campos M. ⚽, Saez S. (A),
Chances of winning
Unión La Calera
34.1% | Draw
29.3% | OHiggins
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unión La Calera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión La Calera's form might have worsened.OHiggins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting OHiggins's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión La Calera than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión La Calera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for OHiggins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Unión La Calera - OHiggins Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↑
(2.26) |
3.2 ↑
(3.15) |
2.56 ↓
(3.05) |
6.3%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Unión La Calera - OHiggins?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Unión La Calera will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). OHiggins will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Unión La Calera: 4% – 71%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. OHiggins (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Unión La Calera (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Unión La Calera (votes: 1 - 50%). OHiggins (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Unión La Calera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Unión La Calera won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Unión La Calera won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Unión La Calera won against OHiggins?
Unión La Calera has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has OHiggins won against Unión La Calera?
OHiggins has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Unión La Calera - OHiggins were as follows:
03.08.2025
OHiggins
-
Unión La Calera
1:0
02.03.2025
Unión La Calera
-
OHiggins
2:2
28.08.2024
OHiggins
-
Unión La Calera
1:1
07.04.2024
Unión La Calera
-
OHiggins
2:3
01.10.2023
OHiggins
-
Unión La Calera
0:1
Latest results of Unión La Calera
Latest results of OHiggins
Chilean Primera Division Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Colo Colo | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Limache | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:9 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23:14 | 9 | 17 |
| 4 | Nublense | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 16 |
| 5 | Huachipato | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 6 | U. De Concepcion | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 14 |
| 7 | U. De Chile | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 8 | O'Higgins | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 13 |
| 9 | Coquimbo | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 12 |
| 10 | La Serena | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 11 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Palestino | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | A. Italiano | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 |
| 15 | Union La Calera | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | -11 | 7 |
| 16 | D. Concepcion | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4:14 | -10 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso
