Result
2:0
11/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Qualification - Final
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Brazil | Globo Esporte, Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (326/396) | 66% (168/256) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.99 | 0.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.36 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (326/396) | 66% (168/256) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 29% (19/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (68/96) | 44% (42/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.48 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 40% (6/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 2.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Hernandez J. ⚽, Rovira B. (A),
- 39', Ricardo E. 🟨,
- 45+1', Schamine B. ↓, Pinto G. ↑,
- 45+5', Brizuela M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', Rabello B. ↓, Tapia J. ↑,
- 62', Rovira B. ↓, Ricardo E. ↑,
- 78', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
- 83', Leiva J. ↓, Garrido N. ↑,
- 83', Castillo A. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
- 83', Martin Sarrafiore ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 0, Torres Patino J. P. ⚽, Valencia J. (A),
- 89', Parra Osorio A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Sandoval L. ↓, Mera J. ↑,
- 90+2', Guzman S. 🟨,
- 90+2', Robledo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Deportes Tolima
62% | Draw
23.3% | OHiggins
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Tolima's performance.OHiggins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Tolima that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for OHiggins than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Deportes Tolima - OHiggins Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.65) |
3.99 ↑
(3.58) |
6.35 ↑
(5.29) |
6.3%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima - OHiggins?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - OHiggins (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - OHiggins (4.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Deportes Tolima will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 25%). OHiggins (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- OHiggins may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Deportes Tolima is considered a favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportes Tolima won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportes Tolima won against OHiggins?
Deportes Tolima has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has OHiggins won against Deportes Tolima?
OHiggins has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Deportes Tolima - OHiggins were as follows:
04.03.2026
OHiggins
-
Deportes Tolima
1:0
Latest results of Deportes Tolima
Latest results of OHiggins
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Cusco | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Coquimbo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Bolivar | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Platense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Penarol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Sporting Cristal | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Junior | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Mirassol | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 3 | Lanus | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 2 | Rosario Central | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
