Result
1:1
21/02/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Fernandez J. ⚽,
- 23', Rivera J. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 1, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 29', Almendarez O. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Lopez K. ↓, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↑,
- 46', Gomez H. ↓, Martinez ↑,
- 56', 🟨,
- 57', Leiva G. 🟨,
- 59', Mejia Y. 🟨,
- 63', Perea G. 🟨,
- 64', Fernandez J. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
- 64', Ramirez D. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 65', Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 72', Nunez M. ↓, Elvir S. ↑,
- 81', Messiniti N. 🟨,
- 82', Leiva G. ↓, Calix C. ↑,
- 82', Martinez Hernandez F. E. ↓, Sorto Caballero T. A. ↑,
- 82', Messiniti N. ↓, Moya B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Olancho 32.9% | Draw 29.1% | CD Marathón 38% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olancho has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Olancho - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.78 ↑ (2.66) |
3.14 ↓ (3.28) |
2.4 ↑ (2.31) |
9.5% (11.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Olancho - CD Marathón?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Olancho (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Olancho (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Olancho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against CD Marathón?
Olancho has won 6 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Olancho?
CD Marathón has won 11 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olancho - CD Marathón were as follows:
28.12.2025
CD Marathón
-
Olancho
2:1
11.12.2025
Olancho
-
CD Marathón
0:3
01.11.2025
CD Marathón
-
Olancho
2:1
24.08.2025
Olancho
-
CD Marathón
1:1
12.04.2025
Olancho
-
CD Marathón
0:1
Latest results of Olancho
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motagua | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 24:17 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Marathon | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Olancho | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Choloma | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Victoria | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:31 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )