Result
2:1
28/12/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Triangulares - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 North-central-america | Centro America TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, De Olivera R. ⚽,
- 17', 1 - 1, Castillo R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Sacaza C. ↓, Vega Orellana A. N. ↑,
- 57', Castillo R. ↓, Messiniti N. ↑,
- 61', Messiniti N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 66', Lesagne B. D. ↓, Nixon P. ↑,
- 66', Espinoza R. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
- 66', Fernandez J. ↓, Castillo I. ↑,
- 76', Munoz N. 🟨,
- 78', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Chandias W. ↑,
- 78', Banegas Y. ↓, Rosales F. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Vega Orellana A. N. ⚽,
- 86', Ramirez D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
CD Marathón
56% | Draw
23.5% | Olancho
20.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
CD Marathón - Olancho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.75) |
3.89 ↑
(3.25) |
4.46 ↑
(4.2) |
9.4%
(11.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for CD Marathón - Olancho?
Users Predictions:
CD Marathón will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 4.
- Marathón has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Olancho has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Olancho may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Marathón is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Marathón will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Olancho?
CD Marathón has won 10 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against CD Marathón?
Olancho has won 6 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CD Marathón - Olancho were as follows:
11.12.2025
Olancho
-
CD Marathón
0:3
01.11.2025
CD Marathón
-
Olancho
2:1
24.08.2025
Olancho
-
CD Marathón
1:1
12.04.2025
Olancho
-
CD Marathón
0:1
13.02.2025
CD Marathón
-
Olancho
2:0
Latest results of CD Marathón
Latest results of Olancho
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Apertura - TriangularesGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Motagua | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Marathon | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Olancho | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 3 | Platense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)
