Result
0:2
12/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Ramirez Arauz M. R. ⚽,
- 45', Gomez H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bodden K. ↓, Arriaga Chavez J. A. ↑,
- 46', Gomez H. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
- 56', Castillo I. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 56', Carcamo L. ↓, Sacaza C. ↑,
- 57', Munoz N. 🟨,
- 61', 0 - 2, Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ⚽,
- 64', Munoz N. 🟨,
- 66', Cabrera Y. A. ↓, Martinez D. ↑,
- 67', Messiniti N. ↓, Sevilla C. ↑,
- 67', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
- 70', Zuniga Bernardez C. J. ↓, Sanchez J. ↑,
- 79', Ramirez Arauz M. R. 🟨,
- 81', Ramirez Arauz M. R. ↓, Lasso J. ↑,
Chances of winning
CD Marathón
46.4% | Draw
28.1% | Olancho
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CD Marathón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
CD Marathón - Olancho Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.77) |
3.26 ↓
(3.58) |
3.6 ↓
(3.81) |
9.3%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 3.
- Marathón has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Olancho is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Olancho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Marathón is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Olancho?
CD Marathón has won 11 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against CD Marathón?
Olancho has won 6 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CD Marathón - Olancho were as follows:
21.02.2026
Olancho
-
CD Marathón
1:1
28.12.2025
CD Marathón
-
Olancho
2:1
11.12.2025
Olancho
-
CD Marathón
0:3
01.11.2025
CD Marathón
-
Olancho
2:1
24.08.2025
Olancho
-
CD Marathón
1:1
Latest results of CD Marathón
Latest results of Olancho
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana ✔ | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua ✔ | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia ✔ | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 23 |
| 7 | Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | -9 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
