Result
0:3
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 38
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (389/502) | 55% (132/238) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (389/502) | 55% (132/238) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (52/111) | 31% (22/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (137/191) | 46% (48/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 9% (3/33) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 20', Grigg W. ↓, Bonis L. ↑,
- 22', 0 - 1, Drummond K. ⚽, Stevens J. (A),
- 26', Dunkley C. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 2, Fondop-Talum M. ⚽, Hudson M. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Dunkley C. ↓, McFadzean K. ↑,
- 46', Duffy D. ↓, Berry-McNally J. ↑,
- 46', Curtis S. ↓, Owolabi-Belewu M. ↑,
- 73', Dobra A. ↓, Dickson W. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 3, Drummond K. ⚽, Hammond O. (A),
- 76', Drummond K. ↓, Payne K. ↑,
- 80', Stevens J. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
- 86', Pett T. 🟨,
- 86', Pett T. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chesterfield
48.2% | Draw
26.8% | Oldham Athletic
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.Oldham Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oldham Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-7.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chesterfield that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldham Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chesterfield - Oldham Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.33) |
3.49 ↑
(3.3) |
3.69 ↑
(2.79) |
6.9%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Oldham Athletic?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 1.
- Chesterfield has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Oldham is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Chesterfield could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Fleck J.
(Inactive)
Gordon L.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Ladapo F.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Caprice J.
(Injury)
Mellon M.
(Inactive)
Ogle R.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chesterfield won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chesterfield won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Oldham Athletic?
Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Chesterfield?
Oldham Athletic has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
01.01.2026
Oldham Athletic
-
Chesterfield
1:1
16.03.2024
Oldham Athletic
-
Chesterfield
2:2
19.08.2023
Chesterfield
-
Oldham Athletic
1:1
25.02.2023
Chesterfield
-
Oldham Athletic
0:1
03.09.2022
Oldham Athletic
-
Chesterfield
0:2
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
