Result
2:1
11/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 28
- Referee: Derevinskyi O. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | GONET.TV |
 Czech-republic | goNET TV |
 Poland | GONETV |
 Slovakia | goNET TV |
 Spain | LaLiga+ |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Ferreira M. ⚽, Kopyna Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 49', Shepelev V. 🟨,
- 60', Cara T. 🟨,
- 65', Kozak A. ↓, Reis G. ↑,
- 65', Cara T. ↓, Belyaev O. ↑,
- 66', Shepelev V. ↓, Smyrnyi Y. ↑,
- 66', Ocheretko O. ↓, Kvasnytsya I. ↑,
- 66', Neves I. ↓, Krasnopir I. ↑,
- 73', Kaliuzhnyi I. 🟨,
- 74', Kostenko Y. ↓, Shakh A. ↑,
- 74', Bruninho ↓, Fedor O. ↑,
- 74', Myshnyov D. ↓, Kovalets K. ↑,
- 79', Kopyna Y. 🟨,
- 80', 1 - 1, Krasnopir I. (Pen),
- 82', Shabanov A. 🟨,
- 82', Baboglo V. 🟨,
- 82', Kravchenko M. 🟨,
- 83', Smyrnyi Y. 🟨,
- 85', Reis G. 🟨,
- 87', Filippov O. ↓, Kulakov A. ↑,
- 90+1', Kaliuzhnyi I. 🟨,
- 90+3', Yermakov G. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 1, Chachua A. ⚽, Polegenko P. (A),
- 90+7', Chachua A. ↓, Klymenko V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Karpaty Lviv
29.4% | Draw
30% | Oleksandriya
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karpaty Lviv's form might have worsened.Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karpaty Lviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↑
(2.58) |
3.12 ↓
(3.38) |
2.3 ↓
(2.58) |
6.9%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Karpaty will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Oleksandriya will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 1 - 50%). Oleksandriya (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 0.
- Karpaty is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Oleksandriya is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Oleksandriya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Oleksandriya might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Karpaty: Alvarez P.
(Red Card)
Buleza A.
(Knee Injury)
Jean Pedroso
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Oleksandriya: Martynyuk O.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Oleksandriya: Shulyanskyi A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:29. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karpaty won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Karpaty Lviv won against Oleksandriya?
Karpaty Lviv has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oleksandriya won against Karpaty Lviv?
Oleksandriya has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya were as follows:
09.11.2024
Oleksandriya
-
Karpaty Lviv
3:0
Latest results of Karpaty Lviv
Latest results of Oleksandriya
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dyn. Kyiv | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Kolos Kovalivka | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Obolon | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | LNZ Cherkasy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | FC Kudrivka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Kryvbas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | SC Poltava | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Karpaty Lviv | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 13 | Metalist 1925 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Veres-Rivne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Epitsentr | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Oleksandriya | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga
