Karpaty Lviv vs Oleksandriya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Premier League Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya
Result
2:1
11/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 28
  • Referee: Derevinskyi O. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaGONET.TV
czech-republicCzech-republicgoNET TV
polandPolandGONETV
slovakiaSlovakiagoNET TV
spainSpainLaLiga+
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, UPL TV, Watch UP
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
73
Corner Kicks
40
Yellow Cards
110
Red Cards
01
Total shots
138
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
65
Corner Kicks
40
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
189
Fouls
917
Goalkeeper Saves
25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 11', 0 - 1, Ferreira M. , Kopyna Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', Shepelev V. 🟨,
  • 60', Cara T. 🟨,
  • 65', Kozak A. , Reis G. ,
  • 65', Cara T. , Belyaev O. ,
  • 66', Shepelev V. , Smyrnyi Y. ,
  • 66', Ocheretko O. , Kvasnytsya I. ,
  • 66', Neves I. , Krasnopir I. ,
  • 73', Kaliuzhnyi I. 🟨,
  • 74', Kostenko Y. , Shakh A. ,
  • 74', Bruninho , Fedor O. ,
  • 74', Myshnyov D. , Kovalets K. ,
  • 79', Kopyna Y. 🟨,
  • 80', 1 - 1, Krasnopir I. (Pen),
  • 82', Shabanov A. 🟨,
  • 82', Baboglo V. 🟨,
  • 82', Kravchenko M. 🟨,
  • 83', Smyrnyi Y. 🟨,
  • 85', Reis G. 🟨,
  • 87', Filippov O. , Kulakov A. ,
  • 90+1', Kaliuzhnyi I. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Yermakov G. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 2 - 1, Chachua A. , Polegenko P. (A),
  • 90+7', Chachua A. , Klymenko V. ,

Chances of winning


Karpaty Lviv
29.4%
Draw
30%
Oleksandriya
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.2% 27.6% 36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1% 27.7% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karpaty Lviv's form might have worsened.
  • Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karpaty Lviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.18
    (2.58)
    3.12
    (3.38)
    2.3
    (2.58)
    6.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Karpaty will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Oleksandriya will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 1 - 50%). Oleksandriya (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 0.
    • Karpaty is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Oleksandriya is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Oleksandriya may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • Oleksandriya might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Karpaty: Alvarez P. (Red Card) Buleza A. (Knee Injury) Jean Pedroso (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Oleksandriya: Martynyuk O. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Oleksandriya: Shulyanskyi A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:29. (average 0.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karpaty won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv 3:0
    Latest results of Karpaty Lviv
    Latest results of Oleksandriya
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Oleksandriya00000:000
    2Shakhtar Donetsk00000:000
    3Dyn. Kyiv00000:000
    4FK Zorya Luhansk00000:000
    5Obolon00000:000
    6Kryvbas00000:000
    7Polissya Zhytomyr00000:000
    8Veres-Rivne00000:000
    9Kolos Kovalivka00000:000
    10Rukh Lviv00000:000
    11Metalist 192500000:000
    12LNZ Cherkasy00000:000
    13Epitsentr00000:000
    14SC Poltava00000:000
    15Karpaty Lviv00000:000
    16Kudrivka-Nyva00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga