Karpaty Lviv vs Oleksandriya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Karpaty Lviv
56.5%
Draw
24.5%
Oleksandriya
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.6% 20.7% 12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 19.5% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karpaty Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karpaty Lviv's form might have worsened.
  • Oleksandriya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oleksandriya's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (+14.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karpaty Lviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandriya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.43)
    3.81
    (4.59)
    4.93
    (7.5)
    6.9%
    (5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 2.
    • Karpaty is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Oleksandriya has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Oleksandriya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Karpaty is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Karpaty won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 15:30. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karpaty won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.9:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv 0:2
    11.05.2025 Karpaty Lviv - Oleksandriya 2:1
    09.11.2024 Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv 3:0
    Latest results of Karpaty Lviv
    04.04.2026 Dynamo Kyiv - Karpaty Lviv 0:1
    22.03.2026 Karpaty Lviv - Obolon 4:0
    13.03.2026 Poltava - Karpaty Lviv 0:4
    08.03.2026 Karpaty Lviv - Kudrivka 1:1
    Latest results of Oleksandriya
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LNZ Cherkasy22162433:122150
    2Shakhtar Donetsk21155151:123950
    3Polissya Zhytomyr22134537:152243
    4Dyn. Kyiv22125549:242541
    5Metalist 19252299424:131136
    6Kryvbas2297633:31234
    7Kolos Kovalivka2289520:20033
    8FK Zorya Luhansk2178630:27329
    9Karpaty Lviv2278730:26429
    10Obolon2267920:36-1625
    11Veres-Rivne2259817:25-824
    12Epitsentr22721326:35-923
    13Kudrivka22561124:36-1221
    14Rukh Lviv22611516:35-1919
    15Oleksandriya22261417:43-2612
    16SC Poltava22241619:56-3710

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          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga