Result
0:2
04/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Shurman D. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', Bruninho 🟨,
- 26', Myshnyov D. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Bruninho (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 53', Krasnopir I. ↓, Neves I. ↑,
- 65', Kulakov A. ↓, Jhonnatan ↑,
- 65', Kozak A. ↓, Castillo B. ↑,
- 68', Chachua A. 🟨,
- 72', 0 - 2, Ferreira M. (Own goal),
- 75', Chachua A. ↓, Alvarez P. ↑,
- 75', Kostenko Y. ↓, Fabiano ↑,
- 75', Tanda P. ↓, Adamyuk V. ↑,
- 79', Baboglo V. 🟨,
- 84', Skorko D. 🟨,
- 86', Behiratche J. 🟨,
- 88', Skorko D. ↓, Shulyanskyi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oleksandriya
29.3% | Draw
26% | Karpaty Lviv
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oleksandriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oleksandriya's form might have worsened.Karpaty Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karpaty Lviv's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oleksandriya than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oleksandriya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karpaty Lviv than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karpaty Lviv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.18 ↑
(2.54) |
3.57 ↑
(3.01) |
2.08 ↓
(2.54) |
7.5%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Oleksandriya will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Karpaty will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Karpaty (2.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Karpaty (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Karpaty (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Karpaty (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 11)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oleksandriya won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Karpaty is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Oleksandriya won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:13. (average 2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oleksandriya won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:6. (average 2.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Oleksandriya won against Karpaty Lviv?
Oleksandriya has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Karpaty Lviv won against Oleksandriya?
Karpaty Lviv has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oleksandriya - Karpaty Lviv were as follows:
11.05.2025
Karpaty Lviv
-
Oleksandriya
2:1
09.11.2024
Oleksandriya
-
Karpaty Lviv
3:0
Latest results of Oleksandriya
Latest results of Karpaty Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LNZ Cherkasy | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 22:8 | 14 | 38 |
| 2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 45:12 | 33 | 38 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 28:11 | 17 | 33 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 36:21 | 15 | 29 |
| 5 | Kryvbas | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 28:24 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Metalist 1925 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 25 |
| 7 | Kolos Kovalivka | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 25 |
| 8 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:20 | 1 | 24 |
| 9 | Veres-Rivne | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 21 |
| 10 | Karpaty Lviv | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Rukh Lviv | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 | Obolon | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12:27 | -15 | 17 |
| 13 | Kudrivka | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 16 |
| 14 | Epitsentr | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 14 |
| 15 | Oleksandriya | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 14:28 | -14 | 11 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16:41 | -25 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga
