Result
3:2
14/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 3 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 South-america | ESPN South, ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (441/532) | 72% (281/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (441/532) | 72% (281/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (35/69) | 32% (21/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (115/166) | 62% (76/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -1.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Lopez L. ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 2, Leguizamon I. ⚽, Zabala F. (A),
- 44', Zabala F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Perez R. ↓, Remedi E. ↑,
- 46', Umpierrez L. ↓, Cabrera J. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 2, Fernandez L. ⚽, Cabrera J. (A),
- 55', 2 - 2, Olivera M. ⚽, Fernandez L. (A),
- 58', Leguizamon I. ↓, Abreu L. ↑,
- 66', Abreu L. 🟨,
- 69', Baez J. ↓, Garcia Cardozo D. G. ↑,
- 71', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
- 71', Benedetto D. ↓, Fernandez H. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 2, Remedi E. ⚽, Garcia Cardozo D. G. (A),
- 77', Redes R. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 77', Gomez M. ↓, Benitez Sanchez H. ↑,
- 79', Fernandez H. 🟨,
- 81', Silvera M. ↓, Machado A. ↑,
- 88', Sosa I. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 90', Mendez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
49.4% | Draw
28.5% | Olimpia Asuncion
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Peñarol de Montevideo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.72) |
3.3 ↓
(3.4) |
4.29 ↓
(5) |
5.9%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Peñarol is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Olimpia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Peñarol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Peñarol has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Peñarol is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Peñarol: Avenatti F.
(Muscle Injury)
Darias E.
(Knee Injury)
Olase T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Olimpia: Barreto Viera O. J.
(Inactive)
Franco Zayas A. F.
(Injury)
Gonzalez D.
(Yellow Cards)
Ortiz R.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Olimpia: Olmedo C.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
23.04.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:0
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 0, 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 3, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 2 : 0, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Sao Paulo | LDU Quito | |
| 2 | River Plate | Palmeiras | |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | Racing Club | |
| 4 | Estudiantes L.P. | Flamengo RJ | |
