Result
1:1
08/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Israel | Sport 2, Sport 4 |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
Netherlands | ESPN 2, ESPN 4 |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
South-america | ESPN South |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 0.87 |
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
75% (301/402) | 73% (310/427) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 0.87 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.42 | 0.79 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
75% (301/402) | 73% (310/427) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (20/56) | 36% (20/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (71/109) | 58% (59/101) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (2/12) | 37% (7/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.49 | 0.54 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 27 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
44% (12/27) | 64% (14/22) |
Duels won |
---|
58 | 70 |
Clearances |
---|
42 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
14 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.79 | 1.42 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.11 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Ortiz R. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Carrizo M. ⚽, Pizzini F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Olmedo C. ↓, Abreu L. ↑,
- 65', Gordon J. 🟨,
- 68', Pizzini F. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
- 69', Redes R. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
- 69', Benitez Sanchez H. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
- 72', Ordonez C. ↓, Vazquez K. A. ↑,
- 73', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
- 80', Gordon J. ↓, Silvero T. ↑,
- 80', Carrizo M. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
- 85', Leguizamon I. ↓, Fernandez H. ↑,
- 85', Dominguez J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 85', Montoro A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Fernandez H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield 55.2% | Draw 27.6% | Olimpia Asuncion 17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Vélez Sársfield - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.72 ↑ (1.67) |
3.44 ↓ (3.65) |
5.46 ↑ (5.38) |
5.6% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Olimpia Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Olimpia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Vélez (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Olimpia (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Vélez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Olimpia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Vélez is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Vélez: Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Monzon F.
(Knee Injury)
Porcel M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vélez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Vélez Sársfield?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
09.04.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:4
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)