Result
1:1
08/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Georgia | Silk Sport 1 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 2, Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Netherlands | ESPN 2, ESPN 4 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.87 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (301/402) | 73% (310/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (301/402) | 73% (310/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/56) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (71/109) | 58% (59/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 37% (7/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (12/27) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Ortiz R. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 0, Carrizo M. ⚽, Pizzini F. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 50', Olmedo C. ↓, Abreu L. ↑,
- 65', Gordon J. 🟨,
- 68', Pizzini F. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
- 69', Redes R. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
- 69', Benitez Sanchez H. ↓, Pratto L. ↑,
- 72', Ordonez C. ↓, Vazquez K. A. ↑,
- 73', Gonzalez D. 🟨,
- 80', Gordon J. ↓, Silvero T. ↑,
- 80', Carrizo M. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
- 85', Leguizamon I. ↓, Fernandez H. ↑,
- 85', Dominguez J. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 85', Montoro A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 1 - 1, Fernandez H. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
55.2% | Draw
27.6% | Olimpia Asuncion
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Olimpia Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Vélez Sársfield - Olimpia Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.67) |
3.44 ↓
(3.65) |
5.46 ↑
(5.38) |
5.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Olimpia Asuncion?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Olimpia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vélez Sársfield will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Vélez has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Olimpia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Vélez is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Vélez: Fernandez T.
(Knee Injury)
Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Monzon F.
(Knee Injury)
Porcel M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vélez won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Vélez Sársfield?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Olimpia Asuncion were as follows:
09.04.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:4
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Draw
2026Quarter-finals| 1 | Juventud | U. Catolica | 5 : 3, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Guarani | |
| 3 | Liverpool M. | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | Ind. Medellin | |
| 5 | The Strongest | Dep. Tachira | 0 : 2, 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Deportes Tolima | |
| 7 | O'Higgins | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Bahia | |
| 9 | 2 de Mayo | Alianza Lima | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Sporting Cristal | |
| 11 | Carabobo | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Huachipato | |
| 13 | Barcelona SC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Argentinos Jrs | |
| 15 | Nacional Potosi | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Botafogo RJ | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Juventud | Guarani | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | Ind. Medellin | 0 : 0, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Dep. Tachira | Deportes Tolima | 0 : 1 |
| 4 | O'Higgins | Bahia | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 5 | 2 de Mayo | Sporting Cristal | 0 : 1, 2 : 2 |
| 6 | Carabobo | Huachipato | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Barcelona SC | Argentinos Jrs | 2 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Nacional Potosi | Botafogo RJ | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
Final| 1 | TBD #1 | Ind. Medellin | |
| 2 | TBD #3 | O'Higgins | |
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | Carabobo | |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | Botafogo RJ | |
