Result
10/05/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
51.9% | Draw
28.1% | Gimnasia La Plata
20% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Gimnasia La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-2%)
Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.83) |
3.36 ↑
(3.31) |
4.58 ↓
(4.61) |
5.9%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.
- Vélez is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gimnasia La Plata is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Vélez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Vélez has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Vélez is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Gimnasia La Plata?
Vélez Sársfield has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gimnasia La Plata won against Vélez Sársfield?
Gimnasia La Plata has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata were as follows:
10.11.2025
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:0
28.04.2025
Vélez Sársfield
-
Gimnasia La Plata
1:0
13.05.2024
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Vélez Sársfield
3:1
09.02.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Gimnasia La Plata
3:1
13.09.2023
Gimnasia La Plata
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:1
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Latest results of Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes L.P | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 19:7 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 30 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 28 |
| 4 | Talleres Cordoba | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 5 | Independiente | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 | Lanus | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | San Lorenzo | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Union de Santa Fe | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Instituto | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 19 |
| 11 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 19 |
| 12 | Platense | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 16 |
| 13 | Central Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 11:21 | -10 | 16 |
| 14 | Newells Old Boys | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 15:27 | -12 | 15 |
| 15 | Dep. Riestra | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 5:12 | -7 | 11 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29:15 | 14 | 34 |
| 2 | River Plate | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Argentinos Jrs | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 28 |
| 5 | Belgrano | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 26 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 19:19 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Huracan | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing Club | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 21 |
| 10 | Tigre | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 20 |
| 11 | Sarmiento Junin | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 13:20 | -7 | 19 |
| 12 | Banfield | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 14 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 16 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 6:19 | -13 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5:24 | -19 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
