Result
2:1
26/10/2025 at 19:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Lopez K. ⚽,
- 38', Lopez K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Garcia D. ↓, Aparicio D. ↑,
- 58', Giron A. ↓, Vuelto D. ↑,
- 58', Tatum Ferrera A. K. ↓, Jean-Baptiste J. ↑,
- 60', Cruz N. 🟨,
- 62', Arzu M. 🟨,
- 64', Bengtson J. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
- 64', Lopez K. ↓, Pinto J. ↑,
- 67', Nunez M. ↓, Moya B. ↑,
- 67', Aparicio D. 🟨,
- 69', Arboleda Y. (Pen),
- 69', 2 - 0, Arboleda Y. ⚽,
- 78', Moncada D. ↓, Guity K. ↑,
- 78', Arzu M. ↓, Benguche J. ↑,
- 81', Flores F. 🟨,
- 86', Lobo E. ↓, Figueroa J. ↑,
- 90+1', Moya B. (Pen),
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Gustavo Souza ⚽,
Chances of winning
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
56.7% | Draw
26.3% | Real España
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Tegucigalpa's performance.Real España has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real España might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real España than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real España Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↓
(1.77) |
3.63 ↑
(3.44) |
5.64 ↑
(4.12) |
4.5%
(9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Real España may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Olimpia is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Olimpia will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:9. (average 2.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Tegucigalpa won against Real España?
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has won 8 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real España won against Olimpia Tegucigalpa?
Real España has won 3 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Real España were as follows:
16.08.2025
Real España
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
0:0
25.05.2025
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Real España
4:1
22.05.2025
Real España
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
1:2
30.03.2025
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
Real España
1:1
29.01.2025
Real España
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
1:0
Latest results of Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Latest results of Real España
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 34 |
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Olancho | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28:20 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 |
| 10 | Genesis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
