Result
2:1
22/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 North-central-america | Centro America TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 1 - 0, Bengtson J. ⚽,
- 9', 2 - 0, Samudio C. (Own goal),
- 12', 2 - 1, Hernandez E. (Own goal),
- 16', Mulet A. 🟨,
- 17', Chirinos M. 🟨,
- 45+3', Hernandez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Martinez Hernandez F. E. 🟨,
- 54', Aguilera J. 🟨,
- 56', Mulet A. ↓, Maldonado A. ↑,
- 67', Messiniti N. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
- 67', Elvir S. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 68', Bengtson J. ↓, Benguche J. ↑,
- 69', Chirinos M. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
- 69', Rivas E. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 78', Guity K. 🟨,
- 80', Aguilera J. ↓, Arriaga Chavez J. A. ↑,
- 80', Ramos O. ↓, Farioli B. ↑,
- 84', Arriaga Chavez J. A. 🟨,
- 84', Castillo I. 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
- 87', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Sevilla C. ↑,
- 87', Guity K. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
45.6% | Draw
30.1% | CD Marathón
24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olimpia Tegucigalpa's form might have worsened.CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpia Tegucigalpa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-4%)
Olimpia Tegucigalpa - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(1.78) |
3.07 ↓
(3.35) |
3.79 ↓
(4.07) |
8.4%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Olimpia Tegucigalpa - CD Marathón?
Users Predictions:
Olimpia Tegucigalpa will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 2.
- Olimpia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Marathón has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Olimpia is the team to beat.
- We predict that Olimpia will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 1.8:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Tegucigalpa won against CD Marathón?
Olimpia Tegucigalpa has won 10 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Olimpia Tegucigalpa?
CD Marathón has won 5 of their last 22 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Tegucigalpa - CD Marathón were as follows:
01.03.2026
CD Marathón
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
2:1
07.01.2026
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
CD Marathón
1:0
04.01.2026
CD Marathón
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
2:2
23.11.2025
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
-
CD Marathón
3:2
30.08.2025
CD Marathón
-
Olimpia Tegucigalpa
2:0
Latest results of Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana ✔ | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 37:25 | 12 | 40 |
| 2 | Motagua ✔ | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 36:17 | 19 | 39 |
| 3 | Olimpia ✔ | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 35:17 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Olancho | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 28:16 | 12 | 32 |
| 5 | Marathon | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23:19 | 4 | 27 |
| 6 | Genesis | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 20:28 | -8 | 23 |
| 7 | Choloma | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:32 | -9 | 23 |
| 8 | Platense | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
| 9 | UPNFM | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:30 | -7 | 21 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18:41 | -23 | 18 |
| 11 | Victoria | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Motagua is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
Olimpia is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
