Result
2:4
21/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 23
- Referee: Nogueira M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Michel D. ⚽, Silva J. (A),
- 45+2', Pires M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 54', Santos V. ↓, Martelo P. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Bura ⚽, Silva J. (A),
- 60', 1 - 2, Maga ⚽, van der Gaag J. (A),
- 66', Michel D. ↓, Jair da Silva ↑,
- 66', Gomes B. ↓, Martins D. ↑,
- 69', Martins D. 🟨,
- 77', Joao Adriano ↓, Joanderson ↑,
- 77', Bruno Silva ↓, Nagata K. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Martelo P. ⚽, Brito T. (A),
- 80', van der Gaag J. ↓, Sylla H. ↑,
- 80', Pires M. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 3, Munoz J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 89', Brito T. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
- 89', Lopes A. ↓, Bastos L. ↑,
- 89', Silva J. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 90+2', 2 - 4, Munoz J. ⚽, Fernandez P. (A),
Chances of winning
Oliveirense
28.3% | Draw
28.5% | Leiria
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-5%)
Oliveirense - Leiria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(3.02) |
3.24 ↑
(3.14) |
2.16 ↓
(2.29) |
7.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Oliveirense - Leiria?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Oliveirense will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Leiria will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Leiria could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Oliveirense won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 0.6:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oliveirense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Oliveirense won against Leiria?
Oliveirense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Oliveirense?
Leiria has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oliveirense - Leiria were as follows:
11.10.2025
Leiria
-
Oliveirense
0:0
02.05.2025
Leiria
-
Oliveirense
5:0
22.12.2024
Oliveirense
-
Leiria
1:2
08.03.2024
Leiria
-
Oliveirense
1:0
29.10.2023
Oliveirense
-
Leiria
1:4
Latest results of Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 27 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 43:21 | 22 | 56 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 50:28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Torreense | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 45 |
| 4 | Vizela | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 36:31 | 5 | 44 |
| 5 | Leiria | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 41:34 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 39:26 | 13 | 41 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Benfica B | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Chaves | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 29:26 | 3 | 36 |
| 11 | Feirense | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 32:49 | -17 | 34 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 | Pacos Ferreira | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 22:26 | -4 | 29 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
| 17 | Portimonense | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 29:40 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
