Leiria vs Oliveirense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Leiria - Oliveirense
Result
5:0
02/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 32
  • Referee: Filipe L. (Por)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
164
Shots on target
122
Corner Kicks
52
Yellow Cards
35
Total shots
164
Shots on target
122
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
52
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
2316
Throw-ins
2821
Fouls
1421
Goalkeeper Saves
27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', Baro M. 🟨,
  • 21', 1 - 0, Munoz J. , Ribeiro C. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Jair da Silva , dos Anjos D. (A),
  • 28', Martins S. 🟨,
  • 42', Sylla H. 🟨,
  • 44', Munoz J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 52', Sabino 🟨,
  • 60', Sabino , Bruno Silva ,
  • 60', Casimiro , Klebinho ,
  • 60', Dju M. , Silva J. ,
  • 66', dos Anjos D. , Mbina O. ,
  • 67', Junior M. 🟨,
  • 73', Jevsenak Z. 🟨,
  • 74', Bastos L. , Santos A. ,
  • 74', Nagata K. , Rodrigues A. ,
  • 76', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
  • 78', Baro M. , Kaka ,
  • 78', Munoz J. , Lucho Vega ,
  • 83', 3 - 0, Resende J. , Ribeiro C. (A),
  • 85', Sylla H. , Monteiro D. ,
  • 85', Jair da Silva , Ferreira T. ,
  • 87', 4 - 0, Lucho Vega , Ribeiro C. (A),
  • 90', 5 - 0, Resende J. , Lucho Vega (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Leiria
49.4%
Draw
25.2%
Oliveirense
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.5% 22.7% 20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 24.3% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leiria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiria's form might have worsened.
  • Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oliveirense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Leiria - Oliveirense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.88
    (1.66)
    3.7
    (4.12)
    3.66
    (4.51)
    7.4%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Leiria - Oliveirense?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Leiria will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Oliveirense will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Leiria: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Leiria (votes: 2 - 40%). Oliveirense (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • In this match, Leiria is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Leiria won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Leiria won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leiria - Oliveirense were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Oliveirense - Leiria 1:2
    08.03.2024 Leiria - Oliveirense 1:0
    29.10.2023 Oliveirense - Leiria 1:4
    Latest results of Leiria
    18.04.2025 Leiria - Benfica B 1:3
    11.04.2025 Feirense - Leiria 2:1
    06.04.2025 Leiria - Torreense 1:3
    30.03.2025 Leixões - Leiria 0:1
    Latest results of Oliveirense
    20.04.2025 Alverca - Oliveirense 4:0
    13.04.2025 Oliveirense - Porto B 1:1
    06.04.2025 Portimonense - Oliveirense 2:3
    29.03.2025 Oliveirense - Tondela 1:3
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vizela642011:3814
    2Maritimo64116:2413
    3Sporting CP B64027:3412
    4Chaves62409:5410
    5Leiria53116:4210
    6Portimonense631210:11-110
    7Lusitania FC62317:709
    8Feirense62228:538
    9Torreense62228:628
    10SC Farense62135:8-37
    11Leixoes62137:9-27
    12Felgueiras62136:9-37
    13Oliveirense51314:406
    14Academico Viseu61239:10-15
    15Penafiel61235:7-25
    16Benfica B60428:10-24
    17Pacos Ferreira60423:7-44
    18FC Porto B60243:12-92

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