Fenerbahçe vs Olympiacos Piraeus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus
Result
1:1 penalties
18/04/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Europa Conference League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Stieler T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Sport
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
brazilBrazilESPN 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Sport X
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanySky Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV6
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeyTV8 Turkey
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.55
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
1312
Shots on Goal
22
Shots off Goal
68
Blocked Shots
52
Free Kicks
2313
Corner Kicks
61
Offsides
35
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Fouls
920
Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
17
Total Passes
661442
Completed Passes
522308
Tackles
1014
Attacks
147122
Dangerous Attacks
6454
Crosses Completed
104

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Kahveci I. C. , Szymanski S. (A),
  • 36', Ortega F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Jovetic S. , Iborra V. ,
  • 60', Podence D. 🟨,
  • 60', Tzolakis K. 🟨,
  • 64', Podence D. , Masouras G. ,
  • 72', Ntoi A. 🟨,
  • 74', Dzeko E. , Batshuayi M. ,
  • 86', Fred , Zajc M. ,
  • 86', Kahveci I. C. , Under C. ,
  • 89', Ortega F. , Richards O. ,
  • 90+4', Masouras G. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 94', Szymanski S. 🟨,
  • 97', Mendilibar J. L. 🟨,
  • 100', Rodrigo Becao , Soyuncu C. ,
  • 106', Szymanski S. , Krunic R. ,
  • 109', Chiquinho , Horta A. ,
  • 109', Fortounis K. , El Arabi Y. ,
  • 112', Hezze S. 🟨,
  • 120+2', Yuksek I. , Bonucci L. ,
  • 120+4', Ntoi A. 🟨,
  • Penalties (2 - 3)
  • 1, El Kaabi A. (Pen),
  • 1, Tadic D. (Pen),
  • 2, El Arabi Y. (Pen),
  • 2, Batshuayi M. (Pen),
  • 3, Horta A. (Pen),
  • 3, Under C. (Pen),
  • 4, Masouras G. (Pen),
  • 4, Djiku A. (Pen),
  • 5, Rodinei (Pen),
  • 5, Bonucci L. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Fenerbahçe
59.7%
Draw
21.5%
Olympiacos Piraeus
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.9% 26.3% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1% 26.4% 28.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fenerbahçe's performance.
  • Olympiacos Piraeus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Olympiacos Piraeus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fenerbahçe that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympiacos Piraeus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (2.1)
    4.46
    (3.58)
    5.02
    (3.28)
    4.5%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus?
  • Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (106 of 119 users predict this - 89.08%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 83.48%94.68%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-3.
    • Recent matches Fenerbahçe is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Olympiacos is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Olympiacos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Fenerbahçe have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Fenerbahçe is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Aziz S. (Injury) Luan Peres (Knee Injury) Muldur M. (Injury) Oosterwolde J. (Knee Injury) Yandas M. H. (Groin Injury)
    • There will not play in Olympiacos: Fadiga B. (Injury) Leidner D. (Knee Injury) Retsos P. (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fenerbahçe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Fenerbahçe won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fenerbahçe - Olympiacos Piraeus were as follows:
    11.04.2024 Olympiacos Piraeus - Fenerbahçe 3:2
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    Latest results of Olympiacos Piraeus
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
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    15Sparta Prague21014:223
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Rijeka21011:103
    20Shkendija21011:2-13
    21AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    22Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    23Drita20202:202
    24Hacken20202:202
    25KuPS20201:102
    26Omonia20111:2-11
    27Shelbourne20110:1-11
    28Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    29Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    30Breidablik20110:3-31
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
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    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
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