Fatih Karagümrükspor vs Fenerbahçe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
13/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 26
  • Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiaTOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 2
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 2, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.500.69
Ball possession
32%68%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
53
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
214
Passes
75% (221/295)88% (528/600)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.500.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.660.13
Total shots
916
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
37
Blocked shots
16
Shots inside the box
77
Shots outside the box
29
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
214
Touches in opposition box
1824
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
716
Passes
75% (221/295)88% (528/600)
Long passes
34% (17/50)70% (28/40)
Passes in final third
67% (55/82)80% (155/194)
Crosses
17% (1/6)6% (3/48)
Expected assists (xA)
0.380.56
Throw ins
2224
Fouls
167
Tackles
68% (13/19)68% (13/19)
Duels won
4152
Clearances
6912
Interceptions
79
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
0.131.66
Goals prevented
0.13-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Elmaz B. ,
  • 45+1', 2 - 0, Serginho , Lichnovsky I. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Yuksek I. , Asensio M. ,
  • 46', Akturkoglu K. , Nene D. ,
  • 46', Muldur M. , Brown A. ,
  • 46', Fred , Musaba A. ,
  • 50', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,
  • 50', Serginho 🟨,
  • 55', Larsson S. , Ozcan B. ,
  • 65', Elmaz B. , Babicka S. ,
  • 75', Kalayci B. , Ahmed T. ,
  • 75', Mladenovic F. , Kurukalip C. ,
  • 75', Serginho , Johnson D. ,
  • 79', Mercan L. , Aydin O. ,
  • 82', Kante N. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Aydin O. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Fatih Karagümrükspor
13.9%
Draw
21.2%
Fenerbahçe
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.9% 20.1% 67%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3% 19.2% 70.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Fenerbahçe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenerbahçe than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fenerbahçe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.73
    (7.45)
    4.46
    (4.76)
    1.46
    (1.43)
    6%
    (4.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 1 - 3.3%). Fenerbahçe will win (votes: 27 - 90%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 6.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fenerbahçe: 79.3%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Karagümrük (5.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Fenerbahçe (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Fenerbahçe (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Fenerbahçe (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Karagümrük (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Fenerbahçe (votes: 11 - 84.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 0.
    • In recent matches, Karagümrük has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Fenerbahçe is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Karagümrük has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Fenerbahçe is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Karagümrük: Camacho J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Fenerbahçe: Alvarez E. (Ankle Injury) Ederson (Yellow Cards) Semedo N. (Injury) Soyuncu C. (Muscle Injury) Talisca (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Karagümrük: Biraschi D. (Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.4:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe were as follows:
    19.10.2025 Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:1
    14.04.2024 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe 1:2
    26.11.2023 Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor 2:1
    10.04.2023 Fatih Karagümrükspor - Fenerbahçe 1:2
    09.10.2022 Fenerbahçe - Fatih Karagümrükspor 5:4
    Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
    Latest results of Fenerbahçe
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Galatasaray32235473:274674
    2Fenerbahce322010271:343770
    3Trabzonspor32199459:352466
    4Besiktas ✔ 32178756:362059
    5Goztepe321313640:281252
    6Basaksehir32149953:341951
    7Samsunspor321212843:42148
    8Rizespor3210101244:46-240
    9Konyaspor3210101242:45-340
    10Kocaelispor329101326:36-1037
    11Gaziantep329101341:54-1337
    12Alanyaspor326161037:38-134
    13Kasimpasa327111430:46-1632
    14Eyupspor32781726:45-1929
    15Antalyaspor32781730:51-2129
    16Genclerbirligi32771830:45-1528
    17Kayserispor325121524:58-3427
    18Karagumruk32662028:53-2524

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Besiktas is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )