Result
4:0
12/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 4
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Armenia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Azerbaijan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | Setanta Sports 2 Baltic |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 France | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Italy | Sky Sport 256 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kazakhstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Kyrgyzstan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
 Moldova | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
 South-america | ESPN 4 South |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Tajikistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Turkmenistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Uzbekistan | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (743/798) | 84% (258/306) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (743/798) | 84% (258/306) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 46% (16/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 87% (279/319) | 68% (23/34) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (9/22) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.43 | 0.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (6/14) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 2 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -2.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 10', Yongwa D. 🟥,
- 13', 1 - 0, Greenwood M. (Pen),
- 14', Cadiou N. ↓, Kouassi A. ↑,
- 20', 2 - 0, Pavard B. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
- 26', Pavard B. 🟨,
- 33', 3 - 0, Gomes A. ⚽,
- 44', Gouiri A. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 53', Gomes A. 🟨,
- 61', Medina F. ↓, Emerson ↑,
- 61', Kondogbia G. ↓, Hojbjerg P. ↑,
- 61', Weah T. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
- 62', Karim D. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
- 62', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
- 62', Makengo J. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
- 71', Faye A. 🟨,
- 74', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
- 78', Pavard B. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
- 87', Paixao I. 🟨,
- 90+3', 4 - 0, Aguerd N. ⚽, Vermeeren A. (A),
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille
79.6% | Draw
11.3% | Lorient
9.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympique Marseille's performance.Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympique Marseille that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Olympique Marseille - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.37) |
9.76 ↑
(5.3) |
11.92 ↑
(7.52) |
-4%
(5.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Lorient?
Users Predictions:
71 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 63 - 88.7%). Lorient will win (votes: 3 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 81.3% – 96.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Marseille is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Marseille: Egan-Riley C.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N.
(Ankle Injury)
Dieng B.
(Coach's decision)
Fadiga B.
(Ankle Injury)
Katseris P.
(Thigh Injury)
Pagis P.
(Calf Injury)
Sanusi T.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Toure I.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:21. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Lorient?
Olympique Marseille has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Olympique Marseille?
Lorient has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Lorient were as follows:
12.05.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Lorient
3:1
10.12.2023
Lorient
-
Olympique Marseille
2:4
09.04.2023
Lorient
-
Olympique Marseille
0:0
14.01.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Lorient
3:1
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Lille | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 10 |
| 3 | Monaco | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Lyon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Strasbourg | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | Rennes | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Marseille | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:4 | 5 | 6 |
| 8 | Nice | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Lens | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Angers | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Nantes | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Lorient | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 3 |
| 17 | Brest | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Metz | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
