Olympique Marseille vs Lorient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
4:0
12/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 4
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
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asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
italyItalySky Sport 256
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.130.14
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
154
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
93% (743/798)84% (258/306)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.130.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.900.01
Total shots
154
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
385
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
516
Passes
93% (743/798)84% (258/306)
Long passes
75% (15/20)46% (16/35)
Passes in final third
87% (279/319)68% (23/34)
Crosses
41% (9/22)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.430.10
Throw-ins
128
Fouls
185
Tackles
43% (6/14)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
221
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.011.90
Goals prevented
0.01-2.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 10', Yongwa D. 🟥,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Greenwood M. (Pen),
  • 14', Cadiou N. ↓, Kouassi A. ↑,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Pavard B. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
  • 26', Pavard B. 🟨,
  • 33', 3 - 0, Gomes A. ⚽,
  • 44', Gouiri A. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 61', Medina F. ↓, Emerson ↑,
  • 61', Kondogbia G. ↓, Hojbjerg P. ↑,
  • 61', Weah T. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
  • 62', Karim D. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
  • 62', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
  • 62', Makengo J. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
  • 71', Faye A. 🟨,
  • 74', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
  • 78', Pavard B. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
  • 87', Paixao I. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 4 - 0, Aguerd N. ⚽, Vermeeren A. (A),

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
79.6%		Draw
11.3%		Lorient
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 18% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9% 17.1% 12%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olympique Marseille's performance.
  • Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olympique Marseille that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
    •

    Olympique Marseille - Lorient Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.29 ↓
    (1.37)    		 9.76 ↑
    (5.3)    		 11.92 ↑
    (7.52)    		 -4%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Lorient?
  • Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 63 - 88.7%). Lorient will win (votes: 3 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 81.3% – 96.1%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Marseille (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Lorient (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -2 - Marseille (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 28 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 23 - 82.1%). Lorient (votes: 2 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Marseille is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Egan-Riley C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Dieng B. (Coach's decision) Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Pagis P. (Calf Injury) Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:21. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Lorient were as follows:
    12.05.2024 Olympique Marseille - Lorient 3:1
    10.12.2023 Lorient - Olympique Marseille 2:4
    09.04.2023 Lorient - Olympique Marseille 0:0
    14.01.2023 Olympique Marseille - Lorient 3:1
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    31.08.2025 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:0 ✺
    23.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris FC 5:2 ✺
    15.08.2025 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Aston Villa 3:1
    02.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Sevilla 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lorient
    30.08.2025 Lorient - Lille 1:7 ✺
    24.08.2025 Lorient - Rennes 4:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Auxerre - Lorient 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Angers - Lorient 1:0
    02.08.2025 Swansea City - Lorient 1:3
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

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