Olympique Marseille vs Lorient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Olympique Marseille - Lorient
Result
4:0
12/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 4
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 4
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asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
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bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
italyItalySky Sport 256
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.130.14
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
154
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
93% (743/798)84% (258/306)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.130.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.900.01
Total shots
154
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
385
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
516
Passes
93% (743/798)84% (258/306)
Long passes
75% (15/20)46% (16/35)
Passes in final third
87% (279/319)68% (23/34)
Crosses
41% (9/22)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.430.10
Throw-ins
128
Fouls
185
Tackles
43% (6/14)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
221
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.011.90
Goals prevented
0.01-2.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 10', Yongwa D. 🟥,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Greenwood M. (Pen),
  • 14', Cadiou N. , Kouassi A. ,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Pavard B. , Greenwood M. (A),
  • 26', Pavard B. 🟨,
  • 33', 3 - 0, Gomes A. ,
  • 44', Gouiri A. , O'Riley M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 61', Medina F. , Emerson ,
  • 61', Kondogbia G. , Hojbjerg P. ,
  • 61', Weah T. , Paixao I. ,
  • 62', Karim D. , Le Bris T. ,
  • 62', Soumano S. , Bamba M. ,
  • 62', Makengo J. , Avom A. ,
  • 71', Faye A. 🟨,
  • 74', Mvuka Mugisha J. , Tosin A. ,
  • 78', Pavard B. , Vermeeren A. ,
  • 87', Paixao I. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 4 - 0, Aguerd N. , Vermeeren A. (A),

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
79.6%
Draw
11.3%
Lorient
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 18% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9% 17.1% 12%

Olympique Marseille - Lorient Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.29
(1.37)
9.76
(5.3)
11.92
(7.52)
-4%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Lorient?
  • Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 63 - 88.7%). Lorient will win (votes: 3 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 81.3%96.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Marseille is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Egan-Riley C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Dieng B. (Coach's decision) Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Pagis P. (Calf Injury) Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:21. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Lorient were as follows:
    12.05.2024 Olympique Marseille - Lorient 3:1
    10.12.2023 Lorient - Olympique Marseille 2:4
    09.04.2023 Lorient - Olympique Marseille 0:0
    14.01.2023 Olympique Marseille - Lorient 3:1
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Latest results of Lorient
    30.08.2025 Lorient - Lille 1:7
    24.08.2025 Lorient - Rennes 4:0
    17.08.2025 Auxerre - Lorient 1:0
    09.08.2025 Angers - Lorient 1:0
    02.08.2025 Swansea City - Lorient 1:3
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG1283124:111327
    2Marseille1281328:111725
    3Lens1281321:111025
    4Strasbourg1271424:16822
    5Lille1262423:15820
    6Monaco1262424:21320
    7Lyon1262418:15320
    8Rennes1246219:17218
    9Nice1252517:18-117
    10Toulouse1244418:16216
    11Paris FC1242618:21-314
    12Le Havre1235413:17-414
    13Angers1234510:15-513
    14Metz1232712:27-1511
    15Brest1224614:21-710
    16Nantes1224611:18-710
    17Lorient1224614:26-1210
    18Auxerre122197:19-127

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