Result
3:1
12/05/2024 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 33
- Referee: Dechepy B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport |
 Croatia | Arena Sport |
 France | Amazon Prime Video |
 Greece | Nova Sports |
 Serbia | Arena Sport |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 481 | 344 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 394 | 273 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 116 | 100 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 62 | 38 |
| Clearances Completed |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 17', Laporte J. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Aubameyang P. ⚽, Murillo M. (A),
- 41', 2 - 0, Gigot S. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 1, Mendy B. ⚽, Bamba M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 49', Aubameyang P. 🟨,
- 51', Katseris P. 🟨,
- 54', 3 - 1, Aubameyang P. (Pen),
- 61', Bamba M. 🟨,
- 62', Bakayoko T. ↓, Bouanani B. ↑,
- 62', Tosin A. ↓, Dieng B. ↑,
- 62', Adjei N. ↓, Mendy F. ↑,
- 63', Sarr I. ↓, Harit A. ↑,
- 63', Moumbagna F. ↓, Ndiaye I. ↑,
- 71', Gigot S. ↓, Meite A. ↑,
- 73', Gueye P. 🟨,
- 76', Louza I. ↓, Ponceau J. ↑,
- 78', Veretout J. ↓, Onana J. ↑,
- 78', Gueye P. ↓, Kondogbia G. ↑,
- 80', Bamba M. ↓, Kroupi E. J. ↑,
- 90+2', Abergel L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Murillo M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille
64.7% | Draw
20.5% | Lorient
14.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Olympique Marseille - Lorient Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↑
(1.41) |
4.69 ↓
(4.93) |
6.46 ↓
(6.98) |
5%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Lorient?
Users Predictions:
50 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 39 - 78%). Lorient will win (votes: 4 - 8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 66.5% – 89.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Marseille won 4.
- Recent matches Marseille is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Lorient has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Marseille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Marseille is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Marseille: Balerdi L.
(Suspended)
Nadir B.
(Knee Injury)
Rongier V.
(Knee Injury)
Ruiz P.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lorient: Igor Silva
(Injury)
Kari A.
(Injury)
Toure I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Marseille: Harit A.
(Injury)
- Last 18 head-to-head matches Marseille won 11 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 35-20.
- Including matches at home between the teams Marseille won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17-13.
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Lorient?
Olympique Marseille has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lorient won against Olympique Marseille?
Lorient has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Lorient were as follows:
10.12.2023
Lorient
-
Olympique Marseille
2:4
09.04.2023
Lorient
-
Olympique Marseille
0:0
14.01.2023
Olympique Marseille
-
Lorient
3:1
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
Latest results of Lorient
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Lorient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Rennes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 12 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
