Olympique Marseille vs Lorient – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
4:0
12/09/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 4
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
italyItalySky Sport 256
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mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV
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netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 4 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
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uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.130.14
Ball Possession
72%28%
Total shots
154
Shots on target
81
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
100
Passes
93% (743/798)84% (258/306)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.130.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.900.01
Total shots
154
Shots on target
81
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
385
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
516
Passes
93% (743/798)84% (258/306)
Long passes
75% (15/20)46% (16/35)
Passes in final third
87% (279/319)68% (23/34)
Crosses
41% (9/22)50% (2/4)
Expected assists (xA)
2.430.10
Throw-ins
128
Fouls
185
Tackles
43% (6/14)75% (9/12)
Duels won
4540
Clearances
221
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.011.90
Goals prevented
0.01-2.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 10', Yongwa D. 🟥,
  • 13', 1 - 0, Greenwood M. (Pen),
  • 14', Cadiou N. ↓, Kouassi A. ↑,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Pavard B. ⚽, Greenwood M. (A),
  • 26', Pavard B. 🟨,
  • 33', 3 - 0, Gomes A. ⚽,
  • 44', Gouiri A. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 61', Medina F. ↓, Emerson ↑,
  • 61', Kondogbia G. ↓, Hojbjerg P. ↑,
  • 61', Weah T. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
  • 62', Karim D. ↓, Le Bris T. ↑,
  • 62', Soumano S. ↓, Bamba M. ↑,
  • 62', Makengo J. ↓, Avom A. ↑,
  • 71', Faye A. 🟨,
  • 74', Mvuka Mugisha J. ↓, Tosin A. ↑,
  • 78', Pavard B. ↓, Vermeeren A. ↑,
  • 87', Paixao I. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 4 - 0, Aguerd N. ⚽, Vermeeren A. (A),

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
79.6%		Draw
11.3%		Lorient
9.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.4% 18% 12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9% 17.1% 12%

Olympique Marseille - Lorient Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.29 ↓
(1.37)		 9.76 ↑
(5.3)		 11.92 ↑
(7.52)		 -4%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Lorient?
  • Users Predictions: 71 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 63 - 88.7%). Lorient will win (votes: 3 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 81.3% – 96.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Marseille is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Egan-Riley C. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Dieng B. (Coach's decision) Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Pagis P. (Calf Injury) Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toure I. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:21. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Lorient were as follows:
    12.05.2024 Olympique Marseille - Lorient 3:1
    10.12.2023 Lorient - Olympique Marseille 2:4
    09.04.2023 Lorient - Olympique Marseille 0:0
    14.01.2023 Olympique Marseille - Lorient 3:1
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    31.08.2025 Lyon - Olympique Marseille 1:0 ✺
    23.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Paris FC 5:2 ✺
    15.08.2025 Rennes - Olympique Marseille 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Aston Villa 3:1
    02.08.2025 Olympique Marseille - Sevilla 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Lorient
    30.08.2025 Lorient - Lille 1:7 ✺
    24.08.2025 Lorient - Rennes 4:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Auxerre - Lorient 1:0 ✺
    09.08.2025 Angers - Lorient 1:0
    02.08.2025 Swansea City - Lorient 1:3
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1573521:16524
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Toulouse1555521:19220
    10Brest1554620:24-419
    11Angers1554613:17-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Lorient1545619:28-917
    14Paris FC1544721:26-516
    15Le Havre1536613:21-815
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1525813:24-1111
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

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