Result
0:2
04/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 17
- Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Italy | Ligue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport MIX |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | ART Sport 3 |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 3.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (408/462) | 86% (325/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 3.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 4.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (408/462) | 86% (325/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 59% (16/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (74/111) | 65% (42/65) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 50% (3/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 46% (12/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.07 | 0.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', Vermeeren A. 🟥,
- 31', 0 - 1, Centonze F. ⚽,
- 32', Paixao I. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
- 33', Mwanga J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Medina F. ↓, Murillo M. ↑,
- 46', Centonze F. ↓, Doucoure S. ↑,
- 51', Tabibou D. 🟨,
- 54', Nadir B. 🟨,
- 56', Nadir B. 🟨,
- 58', Coquelin F. ↓, Leroux L. ↑,
- 58', Tabibou D. ↓, Cabella R. ↑,
- 61', Aubameyang P. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
- 63', Mwanga J. ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
- 73', Egan-Riley C. ↓, Traore H. J. ↑,
- 73', Greenwood M. ↓, Gouiri A. ↑,
- 82', El Arabi Y. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 2, Cabella R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+4', Guirassy B. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/mr3hazfj
Chances of winning
Olympique Marseille
75.8% | Draw
15% | Nantes
9.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Olympique Marseille - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↑
(1.24) |
6.36 ↑
(6.22) |
10.4 ↓
(10.85) |
5.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Nantes?
Users Predictions:
33 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 27 - 81.8%). Nantes will win (votes: 3 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 68.6% – 95%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 7.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.75 - Marseille (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 4.
- Marseille is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nantes is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Marseille is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Marseille: Aguerd N.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Nantes: Awaziem C.
(International duty)
Mostafa Mohamed
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Nantes: Guirassy B.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:22. (average 1.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Olympique Marseille won against Nantes?
Olympique Marseille has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Olympique Marseille?
Nantes has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Nantes were as follows:
02.03.2025
Olympique Marseille
-
Nantes
2:0
03.11.2024
Nantes
-
Olympique Marseille
1:2
10.03.2024
Olympique Marseille
-
Nantes
2:0
01.09.2023
Nantes
-
Olympique Marseille
1:1
01.02.2023
Nantes
-
Olympique Marseille
0:2
Latest results of Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
