Sporting Lisbon vs Olympique Marseille – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Sporting Lisbon - Olympique Marseille
12/10/2022 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Sporting Lisbon
41.1%
Draw
28.2%
Olympique Marseille
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.3% 26.9% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 27% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Sporting Lisbon aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Sporting Lisbon - Olympique Marseille Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.34
    (2.31)
    3.41
    (3.54)
    3.13
    (3)
    4%
    (5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sporting Lisbon - Olympique Marseille were as follows:
    04.10.2022 Olympique Marseille - Sporting Lisbon 4:1
    Latest results of Sporting Lisbon
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1RijekaBye
    2LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    3NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    4ByeFerencvaros
    5TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    6FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    7ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    8ByeQarabag
    9Lech PoznanBye
    10EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    11VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    12ByeCrvena zvezda
    13ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    14ByeDyn. Kyiv
    15PafosBye
    16ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    17Bodo/GlimtBye
    24ByeSturm Graz
    25CelticBye
    29KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    30O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    31Slovan BratislavaBye
    32VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    33BaselBye
    37LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    38Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    39FC CopenhagenBye
    40DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    41FeyenoordBye
    44ByeFenerbahce
    45NiceBye
    48ByeBenfica
    49RangersBye
    50ByePanathinaikos
    51PlzenBye
    52ByeServette
    53BrannBye
    54ByeSalzburg
    56ByeClub Brugge KV

    Quarter-finals
    1RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    3ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    4ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    5Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    6Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    7HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    8PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    9Bodo/GlimtBye
    12ByeSturm Graz
    13CelticBye
    15KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    16Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    17BaselBye
    19RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    20FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    21FeyenoordBye
    22ByeFenerbahce
    23NiceBye
    24ByeBenfica
    25RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    26PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    27BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    28ByeClub Brugge KV

    Semi-finals
    1LudogoretsFerencvaros
    2ShkendijaQarabag
    3Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    4Dyn. KyivPafos
    5Bodo/GlimtBye
    6ByeSturm Graz
    7CelticBye
    8Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    9BaselBye
    10Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    11FeyenoordFenerbahce
    12NiceBenfica
    13RangersPlzen
    14SalzburgClub Brugge KV

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Bodo/GlimtSturm Graz
    4CelticTBD #8
    5BaselTBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14