Olympique Marseille vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
2:2
29/11/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 14
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv Football, TV5 Monde Africa
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Variety 4
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.70
Ball Possession
77%23%
Total shots
206
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
91
Passes
92% (656/713)73% (159/218)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.760.70
xG on target (xGOT)
1.891.42
Total shots
206
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
71
Shots inside the Box
114
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
3513
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
107
Passes
92% (656/713)73% (159/218)
Long passes
55% (18/33)33% (13/40)
Passes in final third
87% (165/190)52% (26/50)
Crosses
24% (8/34)0% (0/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.480.16
Throw-ins
912
Fouls
710
Tackles
65% (11/17)72% (13/18)
Duels won
5045
Clearances
1036
Interceptions
148
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.421.89
Goals prevented
-0.58-0.11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', 0 - 1, Emersonn ⚽, Sidibe D. (A),
  • 42', Gomes A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Gomes A. ↓, Vaz R. ↑,
  • 66', 1 - 1, Paixao I. ⚽, Nadir B. (A),
  • 74', 2 - 1, Hojbjerg P. ⚽, Aubameyang P. (A),
  • 75', Hojbjerg P. 🟨,
  • 76', Vossah A. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
  • 76', Aguerd N. ↓, Balerdi L. ↑,
  • 77', Nadir B. ↓, Kondogbia G. ↑,
  • 78', Methalie D. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
  • 81', McKenzie M. 🟨,
  • 85', Sidibe D. ↓, Vignolo J. ↑,
  • 85', Emersonn ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
  • 89', Magri F. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
  • 90', Emerson ↓, Egan-Riley C. ↑,
  • 90', Paixao I. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,
  • 90+2', 2 - 2, Hidalgo S. ⚽, McKenzie M. (A),

Chances of winning


Olympique Marseille
57.2%		Draw
23.8%		Toulouse
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 22.9% 17.5%

Olympique Marseille - Toulouse Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.67 ↑
(1.64)		 4.04 ↑
(3.96)		 5.06 ↓
(5.2)		 4.4%
(5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Olympique Marseille - Toulouse?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Marseille (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (52 of 60 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 78.07% – 95.27%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olympique Marseille will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Marseille (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Toulouse (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 3.
    • Marseille is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toulouse's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Marseille is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Marseille: Gouiri A. (Shoulder Injury) Medina F. (Ankle Injury) Murillo M. (Tendon Injury) Traore H. J. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Francis A. (Broken Leg) Gboho Y. (Groin Injury) Sauer M. (Thigh Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Marseille will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 13 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 46:17. (average 2.3:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:4. (average 2.1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olympique Marseille - Toulouse were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Toulouse 3:2
    31.08.2024 Toulouse - Olympique Marseille 1:3
    21.04.2024 Toulouse - Olympique Marseille 2:2
    17.09.2023 Olympique Marseille - Toulouse 0:0
    19.02.2023 Toulouse - Olympique Marseille 2:3
    Latest results of Olympique Marseille
    25.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Newcastle United 2:1 ✺
    21.11.2025 Nice - Olympique Marseille 1:5 ✺
    08.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Brest 3:0 ✺
    05.11.2025 Olympique Marseille - Atalanta 0:1 ✺
    01.11.2025 Auxerre - Olympique Marseille 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Toulouse
    23.11.2025 Toulouse - Angers 0:1 ✺
    09.11.2025 Lorient - Toulouse 1:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Toulouse - Le Havre 0:0 ✺
    29.10.2025 Toulouse - Rennes 2:2 ✺
    25.10.2025 Monaco - Toulouse 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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