Júbilo Iwata vs Omiya Ardija – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija
Result
3:4
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 31
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
1525
Shots on target
59
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
80% (334/416)82% (352/427)
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
1525
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
1016
Corner Kicks
37
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
00
Passes
80% (334/416)82% (352/427)
Fouls
1215

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Van den Bergh J. , Uehara R. (A),
  • 13', 2 - 0, Gustavo Silva , Masui K. (A),
  • 31', Matsubara K. 🟨,
  • 41', Izumi T. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Caprini ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', 2 - 2, Sunday O. , Shimoguchi W. (A),
  • 58', 2 - 3, Sunday O. ,
  • 61', Toyokawa Y. , Sugimoto K. ,
  • 67', 2 - 4, Caprini , Sugimoto K. (A),
  • 68', Kaneko D. , Inoue S. ,
  • 68', Gustavo Silva , Matheus Peixoto ,
  • 74', Izumi T. , Tsukui T. ,
  • 74', Caprini , Fujii K. ,
  • 77', Uehara R. , Nakamura S. ,
  • 77', Watanabe R. , Kawai T. ,
  • 77', Sumi K. , Kawasaki I. ,
  • 78', Sunday O. , Gonzalez F. ,
  • 78', Arthur Feitoza , Wada T. ,
  • 83', Van den Bergh J. 🟨,
  • 87', Ezaki T. 🟨,
  • 90+7', 3 - 4, Matheus Peixoto ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Júbilo Iwata
40.6%
Draw
25.8%
Omiya Ardija
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 26.1% 32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 25.7% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.3)
    3.59
    (3.62)
    2.81
    (2.87)
    6.9%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Omiya will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Iwata: 2.5%64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Iwata (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 8)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Iwata won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Omiya Ardija - Júbilo Iwata 2:2
    09.09.2023 Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija 3:2
    11.03.2023 Omiya Ardija - Júbilo Iwata 1:0
    Latest results of Júbilo Iwata
    Latest results of Omiya Ardija
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito311610547:281958
    2V-Varen Nagasaki311511549:40956
    3Chiba31167843:291455
    4Vegalta Sendai311412539:281154
    5Tokushima31149833:201351
    6Omiya Ardija31148945:311450
    7Sagan Tosu31148939:34550
    8Iwata311461148:42648
    9Imabari311211839:33647
    10Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo311341438:53-1543
    11Kofu311191135:33242
    12Iwaki3110101146:40640
    13Montedio Yamagata311151545:45038
    14Blaublitz311071440:49-937
    15Fujieda MYFC31991337:41-436
    16Kumamoto31971539:49-1034
    17Oita Trinita317121224:36-1233
    18Renofa Yamaguchi314131428:40-1225
    19Toyama31591724:43-1924
    20Ehime313111730:54-2420

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