Result
3:4
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2 League - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 25 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
80% (334/416) | 82% (352/427) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 25 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots off target |
---|
10 | 16 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
0 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
80% (334/416) | 82% (352/427) |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Van den Bergh J. ⚽, Uehara R. (A),
- 13', 2 - 0, Gustavo Silva ⚽, Masui K. (A),
- 31', Matsubara K. 🟨,
- 41', Izumi T. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Caprini ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 46', 2 - 2, Sunday O. ⚽, Shimoguchi W. (A),
- 58', 2 - 3, Sunday O. ⚽,
- 61', Toyokawa Y. ↓, Sugimoto K. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 4, Caprini ⚽, Sugimoto K. (A),
- 68', Kaneko D. ↓, Inoue S. ↑,
- 68', Gustavo Silva ↓, Matheus Peixoto ↑,
- 74', Izumi T. ↓, Tsukui T. ↑,
- 74', Caprini ↓, Fujii K. ↑,
- 77', Uehara R. ↓, Nakamura S. ↑,
- 77', Watanabe R. ↓, Kawai T. ↑,
- 77', Sumi K. ↓, Kawasaki I. ↑,
- 78', Sunday O. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 78', Arthur Feitoza ↓, Wada T. ↑,
- 83', Van den Bergh J. 🟨,
- 87', Ezaki T. 🟨,
- 90+7', 3 - 4, Matheus Peixoto ⚽,
Chances of winning
Júbilo Iwata 40.6% | Draw 25.8% | Omiya Ardija 33.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Júbilo Iwata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Júbilo Iwata than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↑ (2.3) |
3.59 ↓ (3.62) |
2.81 ↓ (2.87) |
6.9% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Iwata will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Omiya will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Iwata: 2.5% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Iwata (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Iwata won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:31. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Iwata won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Júbilo Iwata won against Omiya Ardija?
Júbilo Iwata has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Omiya Ardija won against Júbilo Iwata?
Omiya Ardija has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Júbilo Iwata - Omiya Ardija were as follows:
31.05.2025
Omiya Ardija
-
Júbilo Iwata
2:2
09.09.2023
Júbilo Iwata
-
Omiya Ardija
3:2
11.03.2023
Omiya Ardija
-
Júbilo Iwata
1:0
Latest results of Júbilo Iwata
Latest results of Omiya Ardija
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Mito | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 47:28 | 19 | 58 |
2 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 49:40 | 9 | 56 |
3 | Chiba | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 55 |
4 | Vegalta Sendai | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 39:28 | 11 | 54 |
5 | Tokushima | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 33:20 | 13 | 51 |
6 | Omiya Ardija | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
7 | Sagan Tosu | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 50 |
8 | Iwata | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 48:42 | 6 | 48 |
9 | Imabari | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 47 |
10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 38:53 | -15 | 43 |
11 | Kofu | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 35:33 | 2 | 42 |
12 | Iwaki | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 46:40 | 6 | 40 |
13 | Montedio Yamagata | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 45:45 | 0 | 38 |
14 | Blaublitz | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 37 |
15 | Fujieda MYFC | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 37:41 | -4 | 36 |
16 | Kumamoto | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39:49 | -10 | 34 |
17 | Oita Trinita | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 33 |
18 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 31 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 28:40 | -12 | 25 |
19 | Toyama | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 24:43 | -19 | 24 |
20 | Ehime | 31 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30:54 | -24 | 20 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League