Omonia vs Raków Częstochowa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
18/12/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 6
  • Referee: Scharer S. (Sui)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.831.27
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
26
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
11
Passes
84% (453/542)77% (323/417)
Yellow Cards
41
Expected Goals (xG)
0.831.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.131.36
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
26
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
56
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
11
Touches in opposition box
1313
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
84% (453/542)77% (323/417)
Long passes
40% (23/58)33% (19/58)
Passes in final third
69% (92/133)47% (53/113)
Crosses
10% (1/10)67% (4/6)
Expected assists (xA)
0.401.14
Throw-ins
915
Fouls
1416
Tackles
50% (10/20)79% (11/14)
Duels won
5654
Clearances
2215
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.360.13
Goals prevented
0.360.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 5', Diaby-Fadiga L. 🟨,
  • 16', Dionkou A. 🟨,
  • 19', Simic S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 49', 0 - 1, Repka O. , Ameyaw M. (A),
  • 62', Chatzigiovanis A. , Ewandro ,
  • 62', Dionkou A. , Masouras G. ,
  • 62', Andreou E. , Semedo W. ,
  • 70', Maric M. 🟨,
  • 70', Erakovic N. , Mmaee R. ,
  • 71', Diaby-Fadiga L. , Pienko T. ,
  • 79', Andreou P. , Eiting C. ,
  • 82', Struski K. , Barath P. ,
  • 86', Kousoulos I. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Brunes J. , Rondic I. ,
  • 90+2', Adriano , Silva J. C. ,
  • 90+2', Tudor F. , Konstantopoulos A. ,

Chances of winning


Omonia
27.8%
Draw
31%
Raków Częstochowa
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 27.8% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 29% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Omonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Omonia's form might have worsened.
  • Raków Częstochowa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raków Częstochowa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omonia than the current prediction. (+16.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omonia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raków Częstochowa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Omonia - Raków Częstochowa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (2.18)
    3.06
    (3.36)
    2.31
    (3.19)
    5.4%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Omonia - Raków Częstochowa?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Omonia will win (votes: 3 - 10%). Raków will win (votes: 5 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 22 - 73.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 57.5%89.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Tie (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Raków (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Raków (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Raków (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 13 - 81.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Omonia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Raków is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Omonia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Omonia: Mmaee R. (Muscle Injury) Musialowski M. (Inactive) Tankovic M. (Inactive) Uzoho F. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z. (Leg Injury) Kochergin V. (Knee Injury) Mosor A. (Inactive) Otieno E. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Omonia
    15.12.2025 AEK Larnaca - Omonia 1:1
    11.12.2025 Rapid Wien - Omonia 0:1
    01.12.2025 Omonia - Omonia Aradippou 3:1
    27.11.2025 Omonia - Dynamo Kyiv 2:0
    Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2