Result
2:1
19/09/2025 at 21:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (415/466) | 81% (294/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 23 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (415/466) | 81% (294/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (30/42) | 49% (36/73) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (105/130) | 74% (70/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 46% (12/26) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.72 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | -0.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Castano J. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ⚽, Gomez P. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Cardona J. ↓, Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. ↑,
- 46', Lucumi J. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 1, Palacios T. ⚽, Barrios C. (A),
- 57', 2 - 1, Barrios C. ⚽,
- 61', Garcia J. ↓, Mejia R. ↑,
- 62', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
- 62', Gomez P. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 73', Mejia R. 🟨,
- 74', Navarro S. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 74', Holgado R. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
- 79', Castillo M. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
- 86', Ramos A. 🟨,
- 87', Moreno D. 🟨,
- 87', Zuleta M. 🟨,
- 88', Barrios C. ↓, Tovar C. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yc48ztba
Chances of winning
América de Cali
57% | Draw
26.5% | Once Caldas
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América de Cali's performance.Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
América de Cali - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.8) |
3.53 ↑
(3.1) |
5.6 ↑
(4.69) |
6.5%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for América de Cali - Once Caldas?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. América de Cali (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
América de Cali will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 1.
- América de Cali has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Once Caldas is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- América de Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, América de Cali is considered a favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 4 matches, drew 12 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, América de Cali won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Once Caldas?
América de Cali has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against América de Cali?
Once Caldas has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between América de Cali - Once Caldas were as follows:
05.04.2025
Once Caldas
-
América de Cali
3:0
04.12.2024
Once Caldas
-
América de Cali
3:0
24.11.2024
América de Cali
-
Once Caldas
1:1
14.11.2024
América de Cali
-
Once Caldas
3:0
04.07.2024
Once Caldas
-
América de Cali
1:1
Latest results of América de Cali
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:15 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Pereira | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | America De Cali | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Envigado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Aguilas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | La Equidad | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
| 19 | Chico | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
