Once Caldas vs América de Cali – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Palogrande (Manizales).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	VIX+, ViX Premium
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.90	0.47
Ball Possession
46%	54%
Total shots
19	16
Shots on target
7	5
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
6	7
Passes
79% (251/317)	84% (312/371)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90	0.47
xG on target (xGOT)
1.64	0.12
Total shots
19	16
Shots on target
7	5
Shots off target
10	7
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
10	4
Shots outside the Box
9	12
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
6	7
Touches in opposition box
22	9
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
9	8
Passes
79% (251/317)	84% (312/371)
Long passes
56% (47/84)	44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
67% (63/94)	78% (87/112)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	18% (4/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.65	0.48
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
75% (9/12)	77% (10/13)
Duels won
41	41
Clearances Total
19	19
Interceptions
1	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	4
xGOT faced
0.12	1.64
Goals prevented
0.12	-1.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Moreno D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
59', Cavadia J. ↓, Carrascal R. ↑,
59', Lucumi J. ↓, Barrios C. ↑,
63', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
72', Malagon J. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
72', Rojas I. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
73', Garcia M. 🟨,
77', 2 - 0, Moreno D. ⚽, Dorrego H. (A),
80', Moreno D. ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
80', Dorrego H. ↓, Beltran E. ↑,
82', Leys F. ↓, Pestana J. ↑,
87', Diaz J. 🟨,
90', 3 - 0, Alvarez G. ⚽, Palacios L. (A),
90+1', Alvarez G. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3f29f82j

Chances of winning

Once Caldas
45.3%

Draw
29.5%

América de Cali
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.5%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26.7%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Once Caldas's performance.

América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and América de Cali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Once Caldas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that América de Cali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Once Caldas - América de Cali Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.95)	3.14 ↓ (3.35)	3.71 ↑ (2.23)	7% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

Watch this match and Colombian Primera A with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : Nuestra Tele

What is the prediction for Once Caldas - América de Cali?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). América de Cali will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.25 - Once Caldas (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 1.
Once Caldas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
América de Cali in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
América de Cali could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Once Caldas will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Once Caldas won 3 matches, drawn 12 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:24 (average 1:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Once Caldas won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.3:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against América de Cali?

Once Caldas has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Once Caldas?

América de Cali has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - América de Cali were as follows:

04.12.2024 Once Caldas - América de Cali 3:0

24.11.2024 América de Cali - Once Caldas 1:1

14.11.2024 América de Cali - Once Caldas 3:0

04.07.2024 Once Caldas - América de Cali 1:1

28.04.2024 Once Caldas - América de Cali 0:0

Latest results of Once Caldas

01.04.2025 Once Caldas - Fluminense 0:1 ✺

27.03.2025 Once Caldas - Llaneros SA 1:0 ✺

22.03.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas 1:1 ✺

15.03.2025 Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1 ✺

10.03.2025 Deportes Tolima - Once Caldas 2:0 ✺

Latest results of América de Cali

02.04.2025 Racing Montevideo - América de Cali 1:3 ✺

30.03.2025 América de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF 1:0 ✺

27.03.2025 América de Cali - Boyacá Chicó 3:0 ✺

24.03.2025 Deportivo Cali - América de Cali 1:1 ✺

15.03.2025 América de Cali - Alianza Valledupar 3:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	9	6	2	1	20:10	10	20
2	Ind. Medellin	9	6	1	2	16:10	6	19
3	Deportes Tolima	9	5	2	2	10:6	4	17
4	Atl. Nacional	9	4	4	1	15:8	7	16
5	Fortaleza	9	3	6	0	13:9	4	15
6	Llaneros	9	4	2	3	9:9	0	14
7	Bucaramanga	7	4	1	2	14:8	6	13
8	Santa Fe	9	3	3	3	9:10	-1	12
9	Pereira	10	3	3	4	9:10	-1	12
10	Alianza	9	3	3	3	9:12	-3	12
11	Envigado	9	2	4	3	8:9	-1	10
12	La Equidad	9	2	4	3	6:9	-3	10
13	Dep. Cali	9	2	4	3	11:15	-4	10
14	Chico	10	2	4	4	7:11	-4	10
15	Dep. Pasto	8	2	3	3	10:10	0	9
16	Once Caldas	9	2	3	4	9:12	-3	9
17	U. Magdalena	9	2	2	5	8:15	-7	8
18	Millonarios	8	2	1	5	10:12	-2	7
19	Aguilas	9	1	4	4	9:14	-5	7
20	America De Cali	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )