Iowa Wild vs Ontario Reign – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
21/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2725
Shooting PCT
3.7% (1/27)12% (3/25)
Goalkeeper Saves
2226
Saves PCT
91.67% (22/24)96.3% (26/27)
Penalties
36
PIM
612
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/6)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)100% (6/6)
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 08:35, 1 - 0, Mayhew G. (G), Jones B. (A), Gambrell D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 14:40, 1 - 1, Alexandrov N. (G), Chromiak M. (A), Guttman C. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 15:43, 1 - 2, Chromiak M. (G),
  • 19:23, 1 - 3, Lee A. (G),

Chances of winning


Iowa Wild
26.2%
Draw
20.7%
Ontario Reign
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.6% 22% 52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 21.7% 51.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Iowa Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iowa Wild than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.51
    (3.61)
    4.48
    (4.2)
    1.75
    (1.76)
    8.1%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Iowa will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Iowa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 2.
    • Iowa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ontario has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Iowa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Iowa has had a series of away games.
    • Ontario is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Iowa will win today's game, with odds of 3.48.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Iowa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 62:62. (average 3.3:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Iowa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:26. (average 3.8:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign were as follows:
    20.03.2026 Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign 4:1
    07.01.2026 Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild 4:3
    04.01.2026 Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild 3:0
    23.03.2025 Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign 4:7
    22.03.2025 Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign 4:2
    Latest results of Iowa Wild
    Latest results of Ontario Reign
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 633712113215:14099
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 64346816207:16988
    3Charlotte Checkers64308521212:17481
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms64199630191:21662
    7Springfield Thunderbirds63233829175:21760
    8Hartford Wolf Pack63204732169:21655


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves622281319193:19873
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals621711727178:18363
    6Rockford IceHogs63187533174:20955
    7Iowa Wild61166831149:19152


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles632981016210:16684
    3San Jose Barracuda62299420217:18780
    4Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    5Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    6Coachella Valley Firebirds622412521210:18977
    7San Diego Gulls632361222191:19570
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Calgary Wranglers651191431178:24554
    10Abbotsford Canucks65158636151:22052


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 64363520214:16483
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters642013724189:19873
    5Rochester Americans61216925188:19363
    6Belleville Senators65196931203:23459
    7Utica Comets63204930168:20157

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )