Result
4:1
04/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- AHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Flohockey |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 19 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 14.81% (4/27) | 5.26% (1/19) |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.74% (18/19) | 88.46% (23/26) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 75% (6/8) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 17:49, 1 - 0, Chromiak M. (G), Lee A. (A), Brown L. (A2)
- 19:21, 1 - 1, Agozzino A. (G),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (3 - 0)
- 03:02, 2 - 1, Lee A. (G), Guttman C. (A), Gawdin G. (A2)
- 03:37, 3 - 1, Wright J. (G), Booth A. (A), Pinelli F. (A2)
- 17:46, 4 - 1, Wright J. (G), Millar J. (A),
Chances of winning
Ontario Reign
51.3% | Draw
21.3% | Tucson Roadrunners
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Tucson Roadrunners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ontario Reign that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Ontario Reign - Tucson Roadrunners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↓
(1.89) |
4.35 ↑
(4.33) |
3.41 ↑
(3.17) |
8.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 4.
- Ontario is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tucson has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ontario may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ontario might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Ontario will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 73:46. (average 3.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ontario won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:22. (average 3:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Ontario Reign won against Tucson Roadrunners?
Ontario Reign has won 19 of their last 29 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tucson Roadrunners won against Ontario Reign?
Tucson Roadrunners has won 10 of their last 29 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ontario Reign - Tucson Roadrunners were as follows:
22.02.2026
Tucson Roadrunners
-
Ontario Reign
3:5
21.02.2026
Tucson Roadrunners
-
Ontario Reign
2:4
04.02.2026
Ontario Reign
-
Tucson Roadrunners
5:1
12.10.2025
Ontario Reign
-
Tucson Roadrunners
4:2
10.10.2025
Ontario Reign
-
Tucson Roadrunners
4:5
Latest results of Ontario Reign
Latest results of Tucson Roadrunners
AHL Table
2025/26Atlantic Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Providence Bruins | 54 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 11 | 177:114 | 85 |
| 2 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton | 57 | 31 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 189:150 | 79 |
| 3 | Charlotte Checkers | 56 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 188:157 | 71 |
| 4 | Hershey Bears | 56 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 160:172 | 60 |
| 5 | Bridgeport Islanders | 56 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 165:174 | 54 |
| 6 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 55 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 162:183 | 54 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 56 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 151:196 | 51 |
| 8 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 55 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 149:185 | 50 |
Central Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins | 56 | 36 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 196:111 | 90 |
| 2 | Chicago Wolves | 52 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 166:160 | 67 |
| 3 | Manitoba Moose | 50 | 21 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 131:143 | 56 |
| 4 | Texas Stars | 53 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 155:165 | 56 |
| 5 | Milwaukee Admirals | 54 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 152:165 | 51 |
| 6 | Rockford IceHogs | 56 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 152:194 | 44 |
| 7 | Iowa Wild | 54 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 126:170 | 43 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ontario Reign | 55 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 188:150 | 76 |
| 2 | Colorado Eagles | 55 | 26 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 178:139 | 74 |
| 3 | San Jose Barracuda | 54 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 188:164 | 72 |
| 4 | Bakersfield Condors | 57 | 22 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 192:178 | 70 |
| 5 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 54 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 180:169 | 63 |
| 6 | San Diego Gulls | 55 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 164:161 | 62 |
| 7 | Henderson Silver Knights | 52 | 21 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 173:166 | 58 |
| 8 | Tucson Roadrunners | 55 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 171:182 | 58 |
| 9 | Calgary Wranglers | 56 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 151:204 | 52 |
| 10 | Abbotsford Canucks | 57 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 132:191 | 48 |
North Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Laval Rocket | 59 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 192:157 | 77 |
| 2 | Syracuse Crunch | 55 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 180:135 | 72 |
| 3 | Cleveland Monsters | 56 | 17 | 13 | 7 | 19 | 164:167 | 67 |
| 4 | Toronto Marlies | 55 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 176:179 | 63 |
| 5 | Rochester Americans | 54 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 166:168 | 57 |
| 6 | Belleville Senators | 58 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 181:214 | 52 |
| 7 | Utica Comets | 55 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 143:175 | 49 |
Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )
