Result
4:2
28/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Flohockey |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 40 | 24 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10% (4/40) | 8.33% (2/24) |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 36 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.67% (22/24) | 90% (36/40) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (1/6) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 83.33% (5/6) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 01:57, 1 - 0, Hebig C. (G), McCartney B. (A), Rooney K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 09:19, 2 - 0, Lutz J. (G), Lipkin S. (A), Nordh N. (A2)
- 10:25, 2 - 1, Dvorak J. (G), Gawdin G. (A), Lee A. (A2)
- 15:06, 2 - 2, Connors K. (G), Jamsen A. (A), Ziemmer K. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 12:04, 3 - 2, Agozzino A. (G), Simashev D. (A), Perunovich S. (A2)
- 20', 4 - 2, (G),
Chances of winning
Tucson Roadrunners
31.6% | Draw
22.2% | Ontario Reign
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tucson Roadrunners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↑
(2.7) |
4.15 ↑
(3.95) |
2.01 ↓
(2.13) |
8.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 0.
- Tucson is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ontario's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ontario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ontario has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 45:76. (average 2.3:3.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tucson won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:46. (average 2.4:4.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tucson Roadrunners won against Ontario Reign?
Tucson Roadrunners has won 10 of their last 31 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ontario Reign won against Tucson Roadrunners?
Ontario Reign has won 21 of their last 31 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign were as follows:
27.03.2026
Tucson Roadrunners
-
Ontario Reign
2:3
04.03.2026
Ontario Reign
-
Tucson Roadrunners
4:1
22.02.2026
Tucson Roadrunners
-
Ontario Reign
3:5
21.02.2026
Tucson Roadrunners
-
Ontario Reign
2:4
04.02.2026
Ontario Reign
-
Tucson Roadrunners
5:1
Latest results of Tucson Roadrunners
Latest results of Ontario Reign
AHL Table
2025/26Atlantic Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Providence Bruins ✔ | 63 | 37 | 12 | 1 | 13 | 215:140 | 99 |
| 2 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ | 64 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 207:169 | 88 |
| 3 | Charlotte Checkers | 64 | 30 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 212:174 | 81 |
| 4 | Hershey Bears | 64 | 22 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 185:207 | 65 |
| 5 | Bridgeport Islanders | 64 | 22 | 6 | 8 | 28 | 190:199 | 64 |
| 6 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 64 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 191:216 | 62 |
| 7 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 63 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 29 | 175:217 | 60 |
| 8 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 63 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 169:216 | 55 |
Central Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ | 64 | 38 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 217:137 | 97 |
| 2 | Chicago Wolves | 62 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 193:198 | 73 |
| 3 | Texas Stars | 63 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 27 | 193:204 | 68 |
| 4 | Manitoba Moose | 62 | 26 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 152:178 | 66 |
| 5 | Milwaukee Admirals | 62 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 27 | 178:183 | 63 |
| 6 | Rockford IceHogs | 63 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 174:209 | 55 |
| 7 | Iowa Wild | 61 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 149:191 | 52 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ontario Reign | 65 | 32 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 211:177 | 87 |
| 2 | Colorado Eagles | 63 | 29 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 210:166 | 84 |
| 3 | San Jose Barracuda | 62 | 29 | 9 | 4 | 20 | 217:187 | 80 |
| 4 | Bakersfield Condors | 63 | 26 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 213:198 | 78 |
| 5 | Henderson Silver Knights | 64 | 29 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 230:201 | 77 |
| 6 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | 62 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 21 | 210:189 | 77 |
| 7 | San Diego Gulls | 63 | 23 | 6 | 12 | 22 | 191:195 | 70 |
| 8 | Tucson Roadrunners | 63 | 18 | 12 | 9 | 24 | 202:211 | 69 |
| 9 | Calgary Wranglers | 65 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 178:245 | 54 |
| 10 | Abbotsford Canucks | 65 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 36 | 151:220 | 52 |
North Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Laval Rocket ✔ | 66 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 211:175 | 85 |
| 2 | Syracuse Crunch ✔ | 64 | 36 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 214:164 | 83 |
| 3 | Toronto Marlies | 64 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 206:200 | 74 |
| 4 | Cleveland Monsters | 64 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 24 | 189:198 | 73 |
| 5 | Rochester Americans | 61 | 21 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 188:193 | 63 |
| 6 | Belleville Senators | 65 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 203:234 | 59 |
| 7 | Utica Comets | 63 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 168:201 | 57 |
Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
