Tucson Roadrunners vs Ontario Reign – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
28/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
4024
Shooting PCT
10% (4/40)8.33% (2/24)
Goalkeeper Saves
2236
Saves PCT
91.67% (22/24)90% (36/40)
Penalties
56
PIM
1812
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
16.67% (1/6)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)83.33% (5/6)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 01:57, 1 - 0, Hebig C. (G), McCartney B. (A), Rooney K. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 09:19, 2 - 0, Lutz J. (G), Lipkin S. (A), Nordh N. (A2)
  • 10:25, 2 - 1, Dvorak J. (G), Gawdin G. (A), Lee A. (A2)
  • 15:06, 2 - 2, Connors K. (G), Jamsen A. (A), Ziemmer K. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 12:04, 3 - 2, Agozzino A. (G), Simashev D. (A), Perunovich S. (A2)
  • 20', 4 - 2, (G),

Chances of winning


Tucson Roadrunners
31.6%
Draw
22.2%
Ontario Reign
46.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.9% 23.2% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2% 25.2% 46.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tucson Roadrunners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.92
    (2.7)
    4.15
    (3.95)
    2.01
    (2.13)
    8.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 0.
    • Tucson is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ontario's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Ontario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ontario has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 45:76. (average 2.3:3.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tucson won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:46. (average 2.4:4.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign were as follows:
    27.03.2026 Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign 2:3
    04.03.2026 Ontario Reign - Tucson Roadrunners 4:1
    22.02.2026 Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign 3:5
    21.02.2026 Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign 2:4
    04.02.2026 Ontario Reign - Tucson Roadrunners 5:1
    Latest results of Tucson Roadrunners
    Latest results of Ontario Reign
    AHL Table
    Main

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 724113216239:162110
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 72406917243:186101
    3Charlotte Checkers ✔ 71349523234:18691
    4Bridgeport Islanders72277830219:22276
    5Springfield Thunderbirds72284832207:24072
    6Hershey Bears71256931205:22671
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms712110634209:24368
    8Hartford Wolf Pack72224838190:25360


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 71438515251:153107
    2Chicago Wolves ✔ 712691521220:21785
    3Texas Stars ✔ 72289629222:22880
    4Manitoba Moose ✔ 72296829185:21678
    5Milwaukee Admirals ✔ 711913732205:21671
    6Iowa Wild72207936179:22663
    7Rockford IceHogs72208539196:24561


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign ✔ 723611520237:18799
    2Colorado Eagles ✔ 723291120237:19893
    3Henderson Silver Knights ✔ 723451221263:22590
    4Coachella Valley Firebirds ✔ 712813624233:21488
    5Bakersfield Condors ✔ 722981223244:23686
    6San Jose Barracuda ✔ 723010428243:23084
    7San Diego Gulls ✔ 722761227224:22878
    8Tucson Roadrunners7221131028230:23978
    9Abbotsford Canucks71198737169:23261
    10Calgary Wranglers721491534203:26961


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 712912822231:19690
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 72383724237:18989
    3Cleveland Monsters ✔ 712313926211:22381
    4Toronto Marlies ✔ 712781026225:22680
    5Utica Comets722641131199:22071
    6Rochester Americans71229931210:23071
    7Belleville Senators72217935223:26265

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Chicago Wolves is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Texas Stars is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Manitoba Moose is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Milwaukee Admirals is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Colorado Eagles is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Henderson Silver Knights is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Coachella Valley Firebirds is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Bakersfield Condors is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Jose Barracuda is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Diego Gulls is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Cleveland Monsters is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Toronto Marlies is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )