Result
4:2
28/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- AHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Usa | Flohockey |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 40 | 24 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10% (4/40) | 8.33% (2/24) |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 22 | 36 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 91.67% (22/24) | 90% (36/40) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (1/6) | 0% (0/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (5/5) | 83.33% (5/6) |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 01:57, 1 - 0, Hebig C. (G), McCartney B. (A), Rooney K. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 09:19, 2 - 0, Lutz J. (G), Lipkin S. (A), Nordh N. (A2)
- 10:25, 2 - 1, Dvorak J. (G), Gawdin G. (A), Lee A. (A2)
- 15:06, 2 - 2, Connors K. (G), Jamsen A. (A), Ziemmer K. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 12:04, 3 - 2, Agozzino A. (G), Simashev D. (A), Perunovich S. (A2)
- 20', 4 - 2, (G),
Chances of winning
Tucson Roadrunners 31.6% | Draw 22.2% | Ontario Reign 46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tucson Roadrunners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tucson Roadrunners than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.92 ↑ (2.7) |
4.15 ↑ (3.95) |
2.01 ↓ (2.13) |
8.1% (9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 0.
- Tucson is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ontario's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ontario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ontario has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tucson won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 45:76. (average 2.3:3.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tucson won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:46. (average 2.4:4.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tucson Roadrunners won against Ontario Reign?
Tucson Roadrunners has won 10 of their last 31 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ontario Reign won against Tucson Roadrunners?
Ontario Reign has won 21 of their last 31 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tucson Roadrunners - Ontario Reign were as follows:
27.03.2026
Tucson Roadrunners
-
Ontario Reign
2:3
04.03.2026
Ontario Reign
-
Tucson Roadrunners
4:1
22.02.2026
Tucson Roadrunners
-
Ontario Reign
3:5
21.02.2026
Tucson Roadrunners
-
Ontario Reign
2:4
04.02.2026
Ontario Reign
-
Tucson Roadrunners
5:1
Latest results of Tucson Roadrunners
Latest results of Ontario Reign
AHL Table
MainAtlantic Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Providence Bruins ✔ | 72 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 16 | 239:162 | 110 |
| 2 | Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ | 72 | 40 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 243:186 | 101 |
| 3 | Charlotte Checkers ✔ | 71 | 34 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 234:186 | 91 |
| 4 | Bridgeport Islanders | 72 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 30 | 219:222 | 76 |
| 5 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 72 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 207:240 | 72 |
| 6 | Hershey Bears | 71 | 25 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 205:226 | 71 |
| 7 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 71 | 21 | 10 | 6 | 34 | 209:243 | 68 |
| 8 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 72 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 190:253 | 60 |
Central Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ | 71 | 43 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 251:153 | 107 |
| 2 | Chicago Wolves ✔ | 71 | 26 | 9 | 15 | 21 | 220:217 | 85 |
| 3 | Texas Stars ✔ | 72 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 222:228 | 80 |
| 4 | Manitoba Moose ✔ | 72 | 29 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 185:216 | 78 |
| 5 | Milwaukee Admirals ✔ | 71 | 19 | 13 | 7 | 32 | 205:216 | 71 |
| 6 | Iowa Wild | 72 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 179:226 | 63 |
| 7 | Rockford IceHogs | 72 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 196:245 | 61 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Ontario Reign ✔ | 72 | 36 | 11 | 5 | 20 | 237:187 | 99 |
| 2 | Colorado Eagles ✔ | 72 | 32 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 237:198 | 93 |
| 3 | Henderson Silver Knights ✔ | 72 | 34 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 263:225 | 90 |
| 4 | Coachella Valley Firebirds ✔ | 71 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 24 | 233:214 | 88 |
| 5 | Bakersfield Condors ✔ | 72 | 29 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 244:236 | 86 |
| 6 | San Jose Barracuda ✔ | 72 | 30 | 10 | 4 | 28 | 243:230 | 84 |
| 7 | San Diego Gulls ✔ | 72 | 27 | 6 | 12 | 27 | 224:228 | 78 |
| 8 | Tucson Roadrunners | 72 | 21 | 13 | 10 | 28 | 230:239 | 78 |
| 9 | Abbotsford Canucks | 71 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 169:232 | 61 |
| 10 | Calgary Wranglers | 72 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 203:269 | 61 |
North Division | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Laval Rocket ✔ | 71 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 231:196 | 90 |
| 2 | Syracuse Crunch ✔ | 72 | 38 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 237:189 | 89 |
| 3 | Cleveland Monsters ✔ | 71 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 26 | 211:223 | 81 |
| 4 | Toronto Marlies ✔ | 71 | 27 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 225:226 | 80 |
| 5 | Utica Comets | 72 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 199:220 | 71 |
| 6 | Rochester Americans | 71 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 31 | 210:230 | 71 |
| 7 | Belleville Senators | 72 | 21 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 223:262 | 65 |
Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Chicago Wolves is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Texas Stars is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Manitoba Moose is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Milwaukee Admirals is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Colorado Eagles is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Henderson Silver Knights is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Coachella Valley Firebirds is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Bakersfield Condors is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
San Jose Barracuda is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
San Diego Gulls is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Cleveland Monsters is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
Toronto Marlies is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )