Result
0:0
11/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.61 | 0.92 |
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
71% (222/311) | 78% (308/395) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.61 | 0.92 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.94 | 1.17 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 6 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 8 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 19 |
Passes |
---|
71% (222/311) | 78% (308/395) |
Long passes |
---|
40% (27/67) | 51% (35/69) |
Passes in final third |
---|
56% (56/100) | 47% (37/79) |
Crosses |
---|
37% (7/19) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.74 | 0.46 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
19 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (12/15) | 71% (17/24) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 58 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 34 |
Interceptions |
---|
17 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.17 | 0.94 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.17 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
- 31', Walisson Maia 🟨,
- 33', Vinicius Mingotti (Pen),
- 39', Igor Henrique 🟨,
- 45+4', Rodrigo Rodrigues 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Elias ↓, Igor Inocencio ↑,
- 57', Allano ↓, Pedro Lucas ↑,
- 58', Andre Luis ↓, Junior Todinho ↑,
- 62', Pedro Lucas 🟨,
- 63', Guilherme Parede ↓, Arilson ↑,
- 63', Igor Henrique ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
- 70', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Brenno Pereira ↑,
- 70', Neto Paraiba ↓, Zuluaga J. ↑,
- 76', Walisson Maia ↓, Higor ↑,
- 80', Indio ↓, Fransergio ↑,
- 80', Vinicius Mingotti ↓, Ademilson ↑,
- 84', Miranda 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova 44.5% | Draw 31.9% | Operário Ferroviario 23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (1.91) |
2.92 ↓ (3.21) |
3.91 ↓ (4.22) |
6.9% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario?
Users Predictions:
Vila Nova will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vila Nova will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 3.
- Vila Nova has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Operário PR is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vila Nova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Weverton
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Operário PR: Daniel Amorim
(Inactive)
Joseph
(Yellow Cards)
Marcos Paulo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Arilson
(Inactive)
Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Gabriel Poveda
(Inactive)
Jean Mota
(Inactive)
Marcondes
(Knee Injury)
Walisson Maia
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Operário PR: Allano
(Inactive)
Jean Lucas
(Injury)
Kleiton
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Operário Ferroviario?
Vila Nova has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against Vila Nova?
Operário Ferroviario has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario were as follows:
20.08.2024
Operário Ferroviario
-
Vila Nova
2:3
04.05.2024
Vila Nova
-
Operário Ferroviario
1:0
30.09.2022
Operário Ferroviario
-
Vila Nova
1:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32:19 | 13 | 53 |
2 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 39:26 | 13 | 50 |
3 | Goias | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 34:26 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Athletico-PR | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Novorizontino | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 32:26 | 6 | 47 |
6 | Cuiaba | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 37:34 | 3 | 46 |
7 | Chapecoense-SC | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 41:30 | 11 | 44 |
8 | CRB | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
9 | Remo | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 42 |
10 | Atletico GO | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 42 |
11 | Avai | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 36:33 | 3 | 40 |
12 | Operario-PR | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 39 |
13 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 39 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 36 |
15 | America MG | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 33 |
16 | Athletic Club | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 33 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 19:31 | -12 | 30 |
18 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 |
19 | Amazonas | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 31:46 | -15 | 28 |
20 | Paysandu PA | 30 | 5 | 11 | 14 | 26:36 | -10 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )