Result
0:0
11/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (222/311) | 78% (308/395) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.17 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (222/311) | 78% (308/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (27/67) | 51% (35/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (56/100) | 47% (37/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Tiago Pagnussat 🟨,
- 31', Walisson Maia 🟨,
- 33', Vinicius Mingotti (Pen),
- 39', Igor Henrique 🟨,
- 45+4', Rodrigo Rodrigues 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Elias ↓, Igor Inocencio ↑,
- 57', Allano ↓, Pedro Lucas ↑,
- 58', Andre Luis ↓, Junior Todinho ↑,
- 62', Pedro Lucas 🟨,
- 63', Guilherme Parede ↓, Arilson ↑,
- 63', Igor Henrique ↓, Ruan Ribeiro ↑,
- 70', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Brenno Pereira ↑,
- 70', Neto Paraiba ↓, Zuluaga J. ↑,
- 76', Walisson Maia ↓, Higor ↑,
- 80', Indio ↓, Fransergio ↑,
- 80', Vinicius Mingotti ↓, Ademilson ↑,
- 84', Miranda 🟨,
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
44.5% | Draw
31.9% | Operário Ferroviario
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.12 ↑
(1.91) |
2.92 ↓
(3.21) |
3.91 ↓
(4.22) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario?
Users Predictions:
Vila Nova will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Vila Nova will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 3.
- Vila Nova has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Operário PR is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vila Nova will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vila Nova: Weverton
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Operário PR: Daniel Amorim
(Inactive)
Joseph
(Yellow Cards)
Marcos Paulo
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Arilson
(Inactive)
Emerson Urso
(Inactive)
Gabriel Poveda
(Inactive)
Jean Mota
(Inactive)
Marcondes
(Knee Injury)
Walisson Maia
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Operário PR: Allano
(Inactive)
Jean Lucas
(Injury)
Kleiton
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vila Nova won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Operário Ferroviario?
Vila Nova has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Operário Ferroviario won against Vila Nova?
Operário Ferroviario has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Operário Ferroviario were as follows:
20.08.2024
Operário Ferroviario
-
Vila Nova
2:3
04.05.2024
Vila Nova
-
Operário Ferroviario
1:0
30.09.2022
Operário Ferroviario
-
Vila Nova
1:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 34:21 | 13 | 57 |
| 2 | Remo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Novorizontino | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 55 |
| 4 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 33 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 43:30 | 13 | 54 |
| 6 | Goias | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 37:32 | 5 | 52 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 50 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 50 |
| 9 | CRB | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 39:34 | 5 | 48 |
| 10 | Atletico GO | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 48 |
| 11 | Avai | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:34 | -2 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | America MG | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 35:40 | -5 | 38 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 38:47 | -9 | 37 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 35 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 23:36 | -13 | 34 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 30:42 | -12 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
