Result
0:1
11/04/2026 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 4
- Referee: Filho A. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+, ESPN, SportyNet, Xsports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (277/354) | 78% (299/382) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 1.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (277/354) | 78% (299/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (21/57) | 53% (44/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (76/112) | 66% (78/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (5/28) | 50% (6/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', David Braz ↓, Lucas Cunha ↑,
- 30', Pedro Romano 🟨,
- 38', 0 - 1, Ryan ⚽, Janderson (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Elvis ↓, Luis Phelipe ↑,
- 54', Rafa Silva 🟨,
- 63', Rodriguinho ↓, Diego Tavares ↑,
- 64', Ryan 🟨,
- 70', Ryan ↓, Bruno Xavier ↑,
- 70', Janderson ↓, Hayner ↑,
- 72', Murilo 🟨,
- 74', Murilo ↓, Miguel Morais ↑,
- 74', Willian Pottker ↓, Brandao ↑,
- 78', Elias ↓, Willian Formiga ↑,
- 78', Rafa Silva ↓, Gustavo Puskas ↑,
- 84', Dudu ↓, Nathan Camargo ↑,
- 90+6', Guto Ferreira 🟨,
- 90+11', Higor 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ponte Preta
31.4% | Draw
32.4% | Vila Nova
36.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Vila Nova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Ponte Preta - Vila Nova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↑
(2.74) |
2.91 ↑
(2.88) |
2.58 ↓
(2.79) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ponte Preta - Vila Nova?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Vila Nova (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 2.
- Recent form of Ponte Preta has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Vila Nova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ponte Preta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Ponte Preta: Jonathan Cafu
(Red Card)
Saravia Salvia R. A.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Vila Nova: Rafa Silva
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Ponte Preta won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 0.9:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ponte Preta won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ponte Preta won against Vila Nova?
Ponte Preta has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Ponte Preta?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponte Preta - Vila Nova were as follows:
11.11.2024
Vila Nova
-
Ponte Preta
2:1
23.07.2024
Ponte Preta
-
Vila Nova
2:0
15.09.2023
Vila Nova
-
Ponte Preta
1:1
28.05.2023
Ponte Preta
-
Vila Nova
1:0
08.10.2022
Ponte Preta
-
Vila Nova
1:1
Latest results of Ponte Preta
Latest results of Vila Nova
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fortaleza | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 14 |
| 2 | Sao Bernardo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Nautico | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 15 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Ponte Preta | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Goias | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
