Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Championship Soccer Stadium (Irvine, CA).

USL Championship
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN App
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.62	1.77
Ball Possession
43%	57%
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	7
Passes
82% (281/343)	84% (364/433)
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62	1.77
xG on target (xGOT)
3.02	1.43
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
1	5
Shots inside the Box
12	8
Shots outside the Box
3	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
19	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
16	12
Passes
82% (281/343)	84% (364/433)
Long passes
44% (22/50)	49% (20/41)
Passes in final third
66% (43/65)	71% (72/101)
Crosses
43% (3/7)	19% (6/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.77	1.34
Throw-ins
23	19
Fouls
12	16
Tackles
58% (7/12)	88% (7/8)
Duels won
38	32
Clearances
19	10
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	4
xGOT faced
1.43	3.02
Goals prevented
0.21	-0.98

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Zubak E. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', 2 - 0, Doghman R. ⚽, Zubak E. (A),
60', Emmers X. ↓, Sacko I. ↑,
60', Ciotta N. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
60', War M. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
63', Margaritha J. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
68', 2 - 1, Sacko I. ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
72', 3 - 1, Jamison B. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
77', Rizzo P. ↓, Sainte C. F. ↑,
77', Zubak E. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
77', Sylla O. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
82', Mar Boye P. 🟥,
85', Hegardt C. ↓, Guimaraes P. ↑,
89', 4 - 1, Guimaraes P. ⚽, Jamison B. (A),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Orange County SC
52.7%

Draw
25%

Phoenix Rising
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

26%

23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

25%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.84)	3.71 ↑ (3.54)	4.15 ↑ (3.87)	8% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Orange County SC will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orange County SC (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1.
Orange County SC is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Phoenix Rising has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Phoenix Rising may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Phoenix Rising has had a series of away games.
Orange County SC will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).

How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Phoenix Rising?

Orange County SC has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Orange County SC?

Phoenix Rising has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising were as follows:

07.06.2025 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 3:1

25.09.2024 Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising 2:0

08.06.2024 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 2:1

28.10.2023 Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising 1:2

30.09.2023 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 1:1

Latest results of Orange County SC

26.07.2025 Oakland Roots - Orange County SC 0:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 4:0 ✺

11.07.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 2:1 ✺

03.07.2025 Loudoun United - Orange County SC 0:0 ✺

14.06.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Phoenix Rising

19.07.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Phoenix Rising 2:3 ✺

12.07.2025 Oakland Roots - Phoenix Rising 1:2 ✺

04.07.2025 Phoenix Rising - Lexington 0:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Charleston Battery - Phoenix Rising 4:1 ✺

14.06.2025 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:1 ✺

USL Championship Table

Main

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Louisville City	30	22	7	1	56:19	37	73
2	Charleston	30	19	5	6	62:32	30	62
3	North Carolina	30	13	6	11	40:39	1	45
4	Hartford Athletic	30	13	5	12	48:36	12	44
5	Pittsburgh	30	12	8	10	32:28	4	44
6	Loudoun	30	12	6	12	45:48	-3	42
7	Rhode Island	30	10	8	12	29:29	0	38
8	Detroit	30	9	10	11	33:35	-2	37
9	Indy Eleven	30	10	5	15	44:52	-8	35
10	Tampa Bay	30	9	7	14	43:50	-7	34
11	Miami FC	30	8	6	16	29:44	-15	30
12	Birmingham	30	5	12	13	36:50	-14	27

Western Conference

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Tulsa	30	16	9	5	50:30	20	57
2	New Mexico	30	14	6	10	45:41	4	48
3	Sacramento Republic	30	13	9	8	44:27	17	48
4	El Paso	30	10	11	9	47:45	2	41
5	San Antonio	30	11	7	12	39:38	1	40
6	Phoenix Rising	30	9	13	8	48:48	0	40
7	Orange County SC	30	10	9	11	44:45	-1	39
8	Colorado Springs	30	10	7	13	35:47	-12	37
9	Lexington	30	9	9	12	31:42	-11	36
10	Oakland Roots	30	8	8	14	42:52	-10	32
11	Monterey Bay	30	7	8	15	27:45	-18	29
12	Las Vegas Lights	30	6	9	15	23:50	-27	27

Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )