Result
4:1
30/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN 2, ESPN App |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.62 | 1.77 |
Ball Possession |
---|
43% | 57% |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
82% (281/343) | 84% (364/433) |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.62 | 1.77 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.02 | 1.43 |
Total shots |
---|
15 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
82% (281/343) | 84% (364/433) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (22/50) | 49% (20/41) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (43/65) | 71% (72/101) |
Crosses |
---|
43% (3/7) | 19% (6/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.77 | 1.34 |
Throw-ins |
---|
23 | 19 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 16 |
Tackles |
---|
58% (7/12) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 32 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 10 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 12 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.43 | 3.02 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.21 | -0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Zubak E. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 58', 2 - 0, Doghman R. ⚽, Zubak E. (A),
- 60', Emmers X. ↓, Sacko I. ↑,
- 60', Ciotta N. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
- 60', War M. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
- 63', Margaritha J. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Sacko I. ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
- 72', 3 - 1, Jamison B. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
- 77', Rizzo P. ↓, Sainte C. F. ↑,
- 77', Zubak E. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
- 77', Sylla O. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
- 82', Mar Boye P. 🟥,
- 85', Hegardt C. ↓, Guimaraes P. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 1, Guimaraes P. ⚽, Jamison B. (A),
Chances of winning
Orange County SC 52.7% | Draw 25% | Phoenix Rising 22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.76 ↓ (1.84) |
3.71 ↑ (3.54) |
4.15 ↑ (3.87) |
8% (8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Orange County SC will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orange County SC (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1.
- Orange County SC is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Phoenix Rising has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Phoenix Rising may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Phoenix Rising has had a series of away games.
- Orange County SC will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Phoenix Rising?
Orange County SC has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Orange County SC?
Phoenix Rising has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
07.06.2025
Phoenix Rising
-
Orange County SC
3:1
25.09.2024
Orange County SC
-
Phoenix Rising
2:0
08.06.2024
Phoenix Rising
-
Orange County SC
2:1
28.10.2023
Orange County SC
-
Phoenix Rising
1:2
30.09.2023
Phoenix Rising
-
Orange County SC
1:1
Latest results of Orange County SC
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )