Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football US Open Cup
Result
1:2 ET
01/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.021.82
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
64
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
24
Passes
84% (546/651)76% (323/425)
Yellow cards
69
Expected goals (xG)
1.021.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.671.80
Total shots
159
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2814
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
2419
Passes
84% (546/651)76% (323/425)
Long passes
60% (52/86)47% (37/78)
Passes in final third
68% (96/142)65% (88/136)
Crosses
54% (13/24)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.48
Throw ins
3323
Fouls
1924
Tackles
61% (11/18)76% (13/17)
Duels won
7253
Clearances
2223
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
1.800.74
Goals prevented
-0.20-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Partida K. 🟨,
  • 34', Moursou J. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Studenhofft G. ⚽,
  • 44', Pelayo A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Vukovic A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', War M. 🟨,
  • 51', Capetillo A. 🟨,
  • 57', Studenhofft G. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
  • 66', Partida K. ↓, Doghman R. ↑,
  • 66', Palomino M. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
  • 69', Capetillo A. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
  • 69', Pelayo A. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
  • 69', Moursou J. ↓, JP Scearce ↑,
  • 73', MacKinnon L. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
  • 78', Dennis C. 🟨,
  • 84', Tubbs G. ↓, Espy T. ↑,
  • 84', Solis E. ↓, Marinch A. ↑,
  • 85', Ramirez E. ↓, Avayevu H. ↑,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Sylla O. ⚽, Bazini Y. (A),
  • 88', Smith C. 🟨,
  • 90', Brewitt T. 🟨,
  • 90', Marinch A. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 93', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
  • 94', Rakovsky P. 🟨,
  • 96', 1 - 2, Vukovic A. ⚽,
  • 102', Biasi L. 🟨,
  • 105', Bazini Y. ↓, Kurnik O. ↑,
  • 105+2', Carvajal J. ↓, Gaydon J. ↑,
  • 108', Johnson D. 🟨,
  • 116', Zubak E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
44.6%		Draw
27.9%		Phoenix Rising
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 27.2% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 26.3% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
    •

    Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.04 ↑
    (1.94)    		 3.27 ↓
    (3.4)    		 3.31 ↓
    (3.7)    		 9.8%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 2.
    • Orange County SC is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Phoenix Rising has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Orange County SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Orange County SC will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    14.03.2026 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 1:1
    30.07.2025 Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising 4:1
    07.06.2025 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 3:1
    25.09.2024 Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising 2:0
    08.06.2024 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 2:1
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    28.03.2026 Oakland Roots - Orange County SC 0:1
    21.03.2026 Orange County SC - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 1:0
    18.03.2026 Orange County SC - Laguna United 3:0
    14.03.2026 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 1:1
    07.03.2026 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 1:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    28.03.2026 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:1
    21.03.2026 Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots 2:2 ✺
    17.03.2026 Phoenix Rising - San Ramon 4:0
    14.03.2026 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 1:1
    07.03.2026 San Antonio - Phoenix Rising 2:1
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    2Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    4ByeAtlanta Utd
    5CharlotteBye
    7Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    8CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    9Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    10Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    12ByeNew York City
    13New York Red BullsBye
    15Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    16Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    17Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    18DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    20ByeChicago Fire
    21St. Louis CityBye
    23San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    24Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    25LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    26Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    28ByeAustin FC
    29Houston DynamoBye
    31New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    32Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    33Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    34VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    36ByeSporting Kansas City
    37Colorado RapidsBye
    39Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    40BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    41AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    42Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    44ByeMinnesota United
    45San Jose EarthquakesBye
    47Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    48Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0
    49FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    50TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    52ByeOrlando City
    53New England RevolutionBye
    55Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    56MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    57Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    58West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    60ByeColumbus Crew
    61DC UnitedBye
    63Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    64VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3

    1/32-finals
    1ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    2ByeAtlanta Utd
    3CharlotteBye
    4Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    5Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    6ByeNew York City
    7New York Red BullsBye
    8PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    9Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    10ByeChicago Fire
    11St. Louis CityBye
    12San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    13LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Houston DynamoBye
    16New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    17Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    18ByeSporting Kansas City
    19Colorado RapidsBye
    20Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    21Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    22ByeMinnesota United
    23San Jose EarthquakesBye
    24Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2
    25FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    26ByeOrlando City
    27New England RevolutionBye
    28Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    29Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    30ByeColumbus Crew
    31DC UnitedBye
    32Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd
    2CharlotteCharlotte Independ.
    3Westchester SCNew York City
    4New York Red BullsPittsburgh
    5DetroitChicago Fire
    6St. Louis CityFC Tulsa
    7Louisville CityAustin FC
    8Houston DynamoEl Paso
    9Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City
    10Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha
    11Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United
    12San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising
    13FC NaplesOrlando City
    14New England RevolutionRhode Island
    15Richmond KickersColumbus Crew
    16DC UnitedOne Knoxville

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
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