Result
4:1
30/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN 2, ESPN App |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (281/343) | 84% (364/433) |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.62 | 1.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.02 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (281/343) | 84% (364/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (22/50) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (43/65) | 71% (72/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 19% (6/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 3.02 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.21 | -0.98 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Zubak E. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 58', 2 - 0, Doghman R. ⚽, Zubak E. (A),
- 60', Emmers X. ↓, Sacko I. ↑,
- 60', Ciotta N. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
- 60', War M. ↓, Jamison B. ↑,
- 63', Margaritha J. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Sacko I. ⚽, Johnson D. (A),
- 72', 3 - 1, Jamison B. ⚽, Hegardt C. (A),
- 77', Rizzo P. ↓, Sainte C. F. ↑,
- 77', Zubak E. ↓, Trager T. ↑,
- 77', Sylla O. ↓, Miles A. ↑,
- 82', Mar Boye P. 🟥,
- 85', Hegardt C. ↓, Guimaraes P. ↑,
- 89', 4 - 1, Guimaraes P. ⚽, Jamison B. (A),
Chances of winning
Orange County SC
52.7% | Draw
25% | Phoenix Rising
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Phoenix Rising has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.84) |
3.71 ↑
(3.54) |
4.15 ↑
(3.87) |
8%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Orange County SC will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Phoenix Rising will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orange County SC (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 1.
- Orange County SC is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Phoenix Rising has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Phoenix Rising may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Phoenix Rising has had a series of away games.
- Orange County SC will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Phoenix Rising?
Orange County SC has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Phoenix Rising won against Orange County SC?
Phoenix Rising has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
07.06.2025
Phoenix Rising
-
Orange County SC
3:1
25.09.2024
Orange County SC
-
Phoenix Rising
2:0
08.06.2024
Phoenix Rising
-
Orange County SC
2:1
28.10.2023
Orange County SC
-
Phoenix Rising
1:2
30.09.2023
Phoenix Rising
-
Orange County SC
1:1
Latest results of Orange County SC
Latest results of Phoenix Rising
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 54:19 | 35 | 66 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 26 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 54:29 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 39:37 | 2 | 41 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 39 |
| 5 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40:29 | 11 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 7 | Detroit | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:47 | -7 | 32 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 20:26 | -6 | 31 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 39:42 | -3 | 30 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 28 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 12 | Miami FC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25:41 | -16 | 24 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 44:29 | 15 | 50 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 43 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | El Paso | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 6 | Lexington | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 35 |
| 7 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 34 |
| 8 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 9 | Orange County SC | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:41 | -3 | 31 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:41 | -15 | 28 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 33:44 | -11 | 27 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:43 | -24 | 25 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
