Orange County SC vs Phoenix Rising – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football US Open Cup
Result
1:2 ET
01/04/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • US Open Cup - 1/32-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.021.82
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
64
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
24
Passes
84% (546/651)76% (323/425)
Yellow cards
69
Expected goals (xG)
1.021.82
xG on target (xGOT)
0.671.80
Total shots
159
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
44
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
97
Shots outside the box
62
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
04
Corner kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2814
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free kicks
2419
Passes
84% (546/651)76% (323/425)
Long passes
60% (52/86)47% (37/78)
Passes in final third
68% (96/142)65% (88/136)
Crosses
54% (13/24)17% (3/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.180.48
Throw ins
3323
Fouls
1924
Tackles
61% (11/18)76% (13/17)
Duels won
7253
Clearances
2223
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
1.800.74
Goals prevented
-0.20-0.26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', Partida K. 🟨,
  • 34', Moursou J. 🟨,
  • 35', 0 - 1, Studenhofft G. ⚽,
  • 44', Pelayo A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Vukovic A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', War M. 🟨,
  • 51', Capetillo A. 🟨,
  • 57', Studenhofft G. ↓, Dennis C. ↑,
  • 66', Partida K. ↓, Doghman R. ↑,
  • 66', Palomino M. ↓, Zubak E. ↑,
  • 69', Capetillo A. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
  • 69', Pelayo A. ↓, Smith C. ↑,
  • 69', Moursou J. ↓, JP Scearce ↑,
  • 73', MacKinnon L. ↓, Sylla O. ↑,
  • 78', Dennis C. 🟨,
  • 84', Tubbs G. ↓, Espy T. ↑,
  • 84', Solis E. ↓, Marinch A. ↑,
  • 85', Ramirez E. ↓, Avayevu H. ↑,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Sylla O. ⚽, Bazini Y. (A),
  • 88', Smith C. 🟨,
  • 90', Brewitt T. 🟨,
  • 90', Marinch A. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 1)
  • 93', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
  • 94', Rakovsky P. 🟨,
  • 96', 1 - 2, Vukovic A. ⚽,
  • 102', Biasi L. 🟨,
  • 105', Bazini Y. ↓, Kurnik O. ↑,
  • 105+2', Carvajal J. ↓, Gaydon J. ↑,
  • 108', Johnson D. 🟨,
  • 116', Zubak E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orange County SC
44.6%		Draw
27.9%		Phoenix Rising
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.8% 27.2% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5% 26.3% 24.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orange County SC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • Phoenix Rising has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Phoenix Rising than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
    •

    Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.04 ↑
    (1.94)    		 3.27 ↓
    (3.4)    		 3.31 ↓
    (3.7)    		 9.8%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 2.
    • Orange County SC is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Phoenix Rising has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Orange County SC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Orange County SC will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orange County SC won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orange County SC won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising were as follows:
    14.03.2026 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 1:1
    30.07.2025 Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising 4:1
    07.06.2025 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 3:1
    25.09.2024 Orange County SC - Phoenix Rising 2:0
    08.06.2024 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 2:1
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    28.03.2026 Oakland Roots - Orange County SC 0:1
    21.03.2026 Orange County SC - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 1:0
    18.03.2026 Orange County SC - Laguna United 3:0
    14.03.2026 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 1:1
    07.03.2026 Orange County SC - Las Vegas Lights 1:1
    Latest results of Phoenix Rising
    28.03.2026 Tulsa - Phoenix Rising 1:1
    21.03.2026 Phoenix Rising - Oakland Roots 2:2 ✺
    17.03.2026 Phoenix Rising - San Ramon 4:0
    14.03.2026 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 1:1
    07.03.2026 San Antonio - Phoenix Rising 2:1
    Draw
    2026

    1/64-finals
    1FC NaplesRed Force3 : 0
    2TormentaAmerica CFL Spurs (WO.)
    4ByeOrlando City
    5New England RevolutionBye
    7Rhode IslandFaialense4 : 0
    8MotownHartford Athletic0 : 2
    9ChattanoogaKalonji2 : 1
    10Tennessee TempoChattanooga Red Wolves1 : 0
    12ByeAtlanta Utd
    13CharlotteBye
    15Charlotte Independ.Ristozi4 : 1
    16CharlestonFlorida Badgers2 : 1
    17Richmond KickersNorthern Virginia2 : 0
    18West Chester UtdLoudoun1 : 2
    20ByeColumbus Crew
    21DC UnitedBye
    23Asheville CityGreenville3 : 1
    24VistulaOne Knoxville1 : 3
    25Vermont GreenPortland Hearts of Pine1 : 0
    26Westchester SCNY Renegades2 : 0
    28ByeNew York City
    29New York Red BullsBye
    31Steel CityPittsburgh1 : 2
    32Carolina CoreVirginia Dream1 : 2
    33Flint CityForward Madison2 : 0
    34DetroitMichigan Rangers5 : 1
    36ByeChicago Fire
    37St. Louis CityBye
    39San AntonioNew Stars6 : 0
    40Little Rock RangersFC Tulsa2 : 4
    41LexingtonFlower City Union9 : 0
    42Louisville CitySouthern Indiana2 : 0
    44ByeAustin FC
    45Houston DynamoBye
    47New MexicoCruizers3 : 2
    48Laredo HeatEl Paso0 : 2
    49Colorado SpringsAzteca3 : 0
    50VenturaSpokane Velocity1 : 2
    52ByeSporting Kansas City
    53Colorado RapidsBye
    55Indy ElevenMenace3 : 0
    56BOHFS St. LouisUnion Omaha0 : 8
    57AV AltaValley 559 FC0 : 1
    58Sacramento RepublicEl Farolito2 : 0
    60ByeMinnesota United
    61San Jose EarthquakesBye
    63Orange County SCLaguna United3 : 0
    64Phoenix RisingSan Ramon4 : 0

    1/32-finals
    1FC NaplesAmerica CFL Spurs3 : 0
    2ByeOrlando City
    3New England RevolutionBye
    4Rhode IslandHartford Athletic2 : 0
    5ChattanoogaTennessee Tempo1 : 0
    6ByeAtlanta Utd
    7CharlotteBye
    8Charlotte Independ.Charleston3 : 2
    9Richmond KickersLoudoun1 : 0
    10ByeColumbus Crew
    11DC UnitedBye
    12Asheville CityOne Knoxville1 : 2
    13Vermont GreenWestchester SC0 : 1
    14ByeNew York City
    15New York Red BullsBye
    16PittsburghVirginia Dream2 : 0
    17Flint CityDetroit0 : 1
    18ByeChicago Fire
    19St. Louis CityBye
    20San AntonioFC Tulsa0 : 1
    21LexingtonLouisville City0 : 2
    22ByeAustin FC
    23Houston DynamoBye
    24New MexicoEl Paso0 : 4
    25Colorado SpringsSpokane Velocity2 : 1
    26ByeSporting Kansas City
    27Colorado RapidsBye
    28Indy ElevenUnion Omaha1 : 2
    29Valley 559 FCSacramento Republic0 : 4
    30ByeMinnesota United
    31San Jose EarthquakesBye
    32Orange County SCPhoenix Rising1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1FC NaplesOrlando City0 : 1
    2New England RevolutionRhode Island2 : 1
    3ChattanoogaAtlanta Utd1 : 3
    4CharlotteCharlotte Independ.6 : 0
    5Richmond KickersColumbus Crew0 : 3
    6DC UnitedOne Knoxville3 : 4
    7Westchester SCNew York City2 : 5
    8New York Red BullsPittsburgh3 : 1
    9DetroitChicago Fire1 : 2
    10St. Louis CityFC Tulsa4 : 0
    11Louisville CityAustin FC2 : 1
    12Houston DynamoEl Paso4 : 1
    13Colorado SpringsSporting Kansas City3 : 0
    14Colorado RapidsUnion Omaha1 : 0
    15Sacramento RepublicMinnesota United0 : 1
    16San Jose EarthquakesPhoenix Rising2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Orlando CityNew England Revolution4 : 3
    2Atlanta UtdCharlotte2 : 0
    3Columbus CrewOne Knoxville4 : 1
    4New York CityNew York Red Bulls3 : 1
    5Chicago FireSt. Louis City1 : 2
    6Louisville CityHouston Dynamo1 : 2
    7Colorado SpringsColorado Rapids2 : 3
    8Minnesota UnitedSan Jose Earthquakes2 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1Orlando CityAtlanta Utd
    2Columbus CrewNew York City
    3St. Louis CityHouston Dynamo
    4Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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