Result
03/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Ordabasy
74.5% | Draw
18.7% | Atyrau
6.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ordabasy's performance.Atyrau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atyrau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atyrau than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atyrau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ordabasy - Atyrau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.39) |
4.9 ↑
(4.61) |
13.6 ↑
(7.13) |
9.1%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 2.
- In recent matches, Ordabasy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atyrau has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ordabasy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ordabasy is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ordabasy won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Ordabasy won against Atyrau?
Ordabasy has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atyrau won against Ordabasy?
Atyrau has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ordabasy - Atyrau were as follows:
03.05.2025
Atyrau
-
Ordabasy
1:2
15.09.2024
Ordabasy
-
Atyrau
1:0
25.05.2024
Atyrau
-
Ordabasy
0:0
06.03.2024
Atyrau
-
Ordabasy
1:1
15.07.2023
Atyrau
-
Ordabasy
1:1
Latest results of Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Astana | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41:16 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 38:14 | 24 | 40 |
| 3 | Tobol | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 30:16 | 14 | 35 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 26:12 | 14 | 33 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:18 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | Ordabasy | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 24 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 |
| 10 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 18:30 | -12 | 17 |
| 11 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14:28 | -14 | 16 |
| 12 | Ulytau | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10:24 | -14 | 13 |
| 13 | Turan | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 13:37 | -24 | 11 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10:37 | -27 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
