Result
2:1
18/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 6
- Referee: Sariev B. (Kaz)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', Everton ↓, Capatina M. ↑,
- 61', Mukhametkhanov Z. ↓, Abdumannonov B. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Maliy S. ⚽, Astanov E. (A),
- 66', Leo Natel ↓, Toktybay M. ↑,
- 67', Abagna D. ↓, Vakulko Y. ↑,
- 73', Buribaev N. ↓, Zhangylyshbay T. ↑,
- 75', Abdumannonov B. 🟨,
- 76', Amir Z. ↓, Mitkov D. ↑,
- 83', Mukanov S. ↓, Sovpel V. ↑,
- 83', Omirtaev O. ↓, Vomenko V. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Leo Assunpcao ⚽,
- 90+4', 2 - 1, Toktybay M. ⚽,
- 90+9', Astanov S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ordabasy 61.4% | Draw 22.1% | Okzhetpes 16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ordabasy's performance.Okzhetpes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Okzhetpes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ordabasy that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Okzhetpes than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Okzhetpes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ordabasy - Okzhetpes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.5 ↓ (1.92) |
4.16 ↑ (3.44) |
5.56 ↑ (3.62) |
8.9% (8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 5.
- Ordabasy is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Okzhetpes is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In this match, Ordabasy is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Ordabasy will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 16 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 40:15. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ordabasy won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 22:7. (average 2.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ordabasy won against Okzhetpes?
Ordabasy has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Okzhetpes won against Ordabasy?
Okzhetpes has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ordabasy - Okzhetpes were as follows:
19.10.2025
Ordabasy
-
Okzhetpes
7:1
21.06.2025
Okzhetpes
-
Ordabasy
0:1
10.07.2023
Okzhetpes
-
Ordabasy
0:4
21.05.2023
Ordabasy
-
Okzhetpes
1:0
Latest results of Ordabasy
Latest results of Okzhetpes
Kazakh Premier League Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Ordabasy | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Okzhetpes | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Yelimay Semey | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | FC Astana | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Kyzylzhar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Aktobe | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Atyrau | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Zhenis | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 7 |
| 12 | Ertis Pavlodar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 | Tobol | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Altai | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Kaspij Aktau | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3:11 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League