Result
1:2
17/08/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (295/367) | 79% (290/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (295/367) | 79% (290/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (29/50) | 55% (33/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (100/151) | 70% (86/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (9/25) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.14 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Loncar S. ⚽, Djakovac I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Savelyev M. ↓, Vedernikov D. ↑,
- 58', Nedelcearu I. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Loncar S. (Own goal),
- 60', Moufi F. ↓, Poroykov S. ↑,
- 60', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 61', Djurasovic A. ↓, Maradishvili K. ↑,
- 61', Nedelcearu I. ↓, Bakaev S. ↑,
- 61', Pestryakov D. ↓, Escoval R. ↑,
- 76', Loncar S. ↓, Kuzmin M. ↑,
- 76', Oganesyan S. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
- 79', Maradishvili K. 🟨,
- 80', Bolotov E. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 2, Gurluk E. ⚽, Khotulev D. (A),
- 87', Boldyrev M. ↓, Dmitriev A. ↑,
- 90+8', Khotulev D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Akron Tolyatti
50.7% | Draw
26.4% | Orenburg
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Akron Tolyatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.82) |
3.64 ↓
(4.04) |
4.2 ↓
(4.56) |
4%
(1.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Akron will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Orenburg will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Akron (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is .
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1.
- Akron is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Orenburg is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Orenburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Akron is the team to beat.
- We predict that Akron will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Akron won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Akron won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Akron Tolyatti won against Orenburg?
Akron Tolyatti has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Akron Tolyatti?
Orenburg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg were as follows:
30.11.2024
Akron Tolyatti
-
Orenburg
1:0
10.08.2024
Orenburg
-
Akron Tolyatti
2:2
Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:3 | 14 | 15 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:9 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Baltika | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Rubin Kazan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 6 | Zenit | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Spartak Moscow | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | FK Rostov | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Sochi | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
