Orenburg vs Akron Tolyatti – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
28/02/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 19
  • Referee: Prokopov A. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.381.36
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
75
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
45
Passes
66% (196/296)63% (173/273)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
2.381.36
xG on target (xGOT)
2.840.91
Total shots
2111
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
53
Shots inside the box
128
Shots outside the box
93
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2723
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free kicks
1714
Passes
66% (196/296)63% (173/273)
Long passes
46% (33/71)41% (28/69)
Passes in final third
60% (87/146)55% (58/106)
Crosses
17% (3/18)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.271.06
Throw ins
1412
Fouls
1417
Tackles
78% (7/9)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5169
Clearances
4427
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
55
xGOT faced
0.912.84
Goals prevented
-0.090.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', Avanesyan T. 🟨,
  • 28', Escoval R. 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Savelyev M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 61', Loncar S. , Benchimol ,
  • 61', Boldyrev M. , Djakovac I. ,
  • 71', 2 - 0, Gurluk E. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 71', Tsenov E. , Tataev A. ,
  • 71', Kul R. , Du Queiroz ,
  • 71', Avanesyan T. , Kvekveskiri I. ,
  • 75', Pestryakov D. , Sevikyan E. ,
  • 75', Bistrovic K. , Kuzmin M. ,
  • 83', Kuzmin M. 🟨,
  • 84', Savelyev M. , Guzina G. ,
  • 90+1', Gurluk E. , Kasimov A. ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Orenburg
44.2%
Draw
26.3%
Akron Tolyatti
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 26.7% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.09)
    3.69
    (3.59)
    3.29
    (3.47)
    3.1%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Akron will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Akron (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Akron (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 3.
    • Akron may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Orenburg could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Orenburg: Bolotov E. (Yellow Cards) Khotulev D. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Akron: Nedelcearu I. (Red Card)
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg 1:2
    30.11.2024 Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg 1:0
    10.08.2024 Orenburg - Akron Tolyatti 2:2
    Latest results of Orenburg
    20.02.2026 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 0:1
    13.02.2026 Orenburg - Kairat 0:1
    06.02.2026 Orenburg - Bunyodkor 3:1
    06.02.2026 Orenburg - Arsenal Tula Canceled
    05.12.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Orenburg 1:0
    Latest results of Akron Tolyatti
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar22154347:163149
    2Zenit22146241:152648
    3Lokomotiv Moscow22128248:301844
    4Baltika22119230:92142
    5CSKA Moscow22123734:241039
    6Spartak Moscow22115635:30538
    7Rubin Kazan2286822:25-330
    8Akhmat Grozny2286827:28-130
    9Dynamo Moscow2286837:30730
    10Akron Togliatti22571027:38-1122
    11FK Rostov22571017:25-822
    12Dynamo Makhachkala22561112:27-1521
    13Krylya Sovetov22561122:40-1821
    14Pari NN22621418:36-1820
    15Orenburg22461221:33-1218
    16Sochi22231720:52-329

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL