Orenburg vs Dynamo Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
21/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9
  • Referee: Tsyganok S. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ League Asia, Q Sport Asia
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.63
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
71% (241/339)68% (225/332)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.631.52
Total shots
916
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1222
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
71% (241/339)68% (225/332)
Long passes
44% (33/75)44% (36/81)
Passes in final third
57% (60/105)64% (70/109)
Crosses
20% (3/15)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.86
Throw-ins
2230
Fouls
1712
Tackles
78% (7/9)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4758
Clearances
3631
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.520.63
Goals prevented
-1.48-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
  • 28', Fomin D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Chichinadze A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 57', 0 - 1, Maouhoub E. ,
  • 62', Kvekveskiri I. , Kamilov V. ,
  • 62', Ignatjev I. , Koserik N. ,
  • 62', Tsenov E. , Thompson J. ,
  • 67', Maouhoub E. , Babaev U. ,
  • 67', Miranchuk An. , Marichal N. ,
  • 74', Moufi F. , Gurluk E. ,
  • 77', Caceres J. 🟨,
  • 85', 0 - 2, Osipenko M. (Pen),
  • 86', Bolotov E. , Bubanja V. ,
  • 90+3', Fomin D. , Aleksandrov D. ,
  • 90+3', Caceres J. , Kutitsky A. ,
  • 90+5', Sergeev I. , Okishor V. ,
  • 90+7', 0 - 3, Babaev U. , Bitello (A),
  • 90+9', 1 - 3, Savelyev M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orenburg
21.6%
Draw
23.2%
Dynamo Moscow
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 25.4% 49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 21.4% 41.4%

Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.45
(3.65)
4.15
(3.65)
1.74
(1.89)
4%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Orenburg has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Dynamo M is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Dynamo M: Arthur Gomes (Achilles Tendon Injury) Chavez L. (Knee Injury) Gladyshev Y. (Muscle Injury) Majstorovic M. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg 5:1
    01.09.2024 Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow 2:2
    24.04.2024 Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow 1:2
    17.04.2024 Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow 2:4
    08.02.2024 Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg 4:1
    Latest results of Orenburg
    16.09.2025 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 1:0
    13.09.2025 Pari NN - Orenburg 3:1
    30.08.2025 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 2:2
    26.08.2025 Orenburg - Zenit 3:5
    22.08.2025 Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny 2:2
    Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar18124237:122540
    2Zenit18116134:122239
    3Lokomotiv Moscow18107139:231637
    4CSKA Moscow18113430:171336
    5Baltika1898124:71735
    6Spartak Moscow1885526:23329
    7Rubin Kazan1865716:22-623
    8Akhmat Grozny1864822:25-322
    9Akron Togliatti1856722:26-421
    10Dynamo Moscow1856727:26121
    11FK Rostov1856715:20-521
    12Krylya Sovetov1845920:33-1317
    13Dynamo Makhachkala183698:21-1315
    14Pari NN18421212:28-1614
    15Orenburg18261017:29-1212
    16Sochi18231316:41-259

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL