Result
1:3
21/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 9
- Referee: Tsyganok S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Asia | Q League Asia, Q Sport Asia |
Belarus | Belarus 5 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.06 | 2.63 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
71% (241/339) | 68% (225/332) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.06 | 2.63 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.63 | 1.52 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 13 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 22 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 17 |
Passes |
---|
71% (241/339) | 68% (225/332) |
Long passes |
---|
44% (33/75) | 44% (36/81) |
Passes in final third |
---|
57% (60/105) | 64% (70/109) |
Crosses |
---|
20% (3/15) | 21% (6/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.32 | 0.86 |
Throw-ins |
---|
22 | 30 |
Fouls |
---|
17 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
78% (7/9) | 62% (13/21) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 58 |
Clearances |
---|
36 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.52 | 0.63 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.48 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
- 28', Fomin D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Chichinadze A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 57', 0 - 1, Maouhoub E. ⚽,
- 62', Kvekveskiri I. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
- 62', Ignatjev I. ↓, Koserik N. ↑,
- 62', Tsenov E. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
- 67', Maouhoub E. ↓, Babaev U. ↑,
- 67', Miranchuk An. ↓, Marichal N. ↑,
- 74', Moufi F. ↓, Gurluk E. ↑,
- 77', Caceres J. 🟨,
- 85', 0 - 2, Osipenko M. (Pen),
- 86', Bolotov E. ↓, Bubanja V. ↑,
- 90+3', Fomin D. ↓, Aleksandrov D. ↑,
- 90+3', Caceres J. ↓, Kutitsky A. ↑,
- 90+5', Sergeev I. ↓, Okishor V. ↑,
- 90+7', 0 - 3, Babaev U. ⚽, Bitello (A),
- 90+9', 1 - 3, Savelyev M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Orenburg 21.6% | Draw 23.2% | Dynamo Moscow 55.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Moscow's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+8.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orenburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.73 ↑ (3.65) |
4.33 ↑ (3.65) |
1.71 ↓ (1.89) |
2.7% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Orenburg has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Dynamo M is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Dynamo M: Arthur Gomes
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Chavez L.
(Knee Injury)
Gladyshev Y.
(Muscle Injury)
Majstorovic M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.4:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Dynamo Moscow?
Orenburg has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Moscow won against Orenburg?
Dynamo Moscow has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow were as follows:
29.03.2025
Dynamo Moscow
-
Orenburg
5:1
01.09.2024
Orenburg
-
Dynamo Moscow
2:2
24.04.2024
Orenburg
-
Dynamo Moscow
1:2
17.04.2024
Orenburg
-
Dynamo Moscow
2:4
08.02.2024
Dynamo Moscow
-
Orenburg
4:1
Latest results of Orenburg
Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 24 |
2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Krasnodar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
4 | Zenit | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
5 | Baltika | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
6 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
7 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
8 | Dynamo Moscow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
9 | Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
10 | FK Rostov | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
11 | Krylya Sovetov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 10 |
13 | Akron Togliatti | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
14 | Orenburg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
15 | Pari NN | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
16 | Sochi | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL