Orenburg vs Dynamo Moscow – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow
Result
1:3
21/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9
  • Referee: Tsyganok S. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ League Asia, Q Sport Asia
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.63
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
71% (241/339)68% (225/332)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.062.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.631.52
Total shots
916
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
613
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1222
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1217
Passes
71% (241/339)68% (225/332)
Long passes
44% (33/75)44% (36/81)
Passes in final third
57% (60/105)64% (70/109)
Crosses
20% (3/15)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.86
Throw-ins
2230
Fouls
1712
Tackles
78% (7/9)62% (13/21)
Duels won
4758
Clearances
3631
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.520.63
Goals prevented
-1.48-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,
  • 28', Fomin D. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Chichinadze A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 57', 0 - 1, Maouhoub E. ,
  • 62', Kvekveskiri I. , Kamilov V. ,
  • 62', Ignatjev I. , Koserik N. ,
  • 62', Tsenov E. , Thompson J. ,
  • 67', Maouhoub E. , Babaev U. ,
  • 67', Miranchuk An. , Marichal N. ,
  • 74', Moufi F. , Gurluk E. ,
  • 77', Caceres J. 🟨,
  • 85', 0 - 2, Osipenko M. (Pen),
  • 86', Bolotov E. , Bubanja V. ,
  • 90+3', Fomin D. , Aleksandrov D. ,
  • 90+3', Caceres J. , Kutitsky A. ,
  • 90+5', Sergeev I. , Okishor V. ,
  • 90+7', 0 - 3, Babaev U. , Bitello (A),
  • 90+9', 1 - 3, Savelyev M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Orenburg
21.6%
Draw
23.2%
Dynamo Moscow
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.4% 25.4% 49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1% 21.4% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dynamo Moscow's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orenburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-13.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.45
    (3.65)
    4.15
    (3.65)
    1.74
    (1.89)
    4%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Orenburg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Dynamo M will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Recently, Orenburg has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Dynamo M is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Dynamo M: Arthur Gomes (Achilles Tendon Injury) Chavez L. (Knee Injury) Gladyshev Y. (Muscle Injury) Majstorovic M. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:34. (average 1.4:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg 5:1
    01.09.2024 Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow 2:2
    24.04.2024 Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow 1:2
    17.04.2024 Orenburg - Dynamo Moscow 2:4
    08.02.2024 Dynamo Moscow - Orenburg 4:1
    Latest results of Orenburg
    16.09.2025 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 1:0
    13.09.2025 Pari NN - Orenburg 3:1
    30.08.2025 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 2:2
    26.08.2025 Orenburg - Zenit 3:5
    22.08.2025 Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny 2:2
    Latest results of Dynamo Moscow
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar961220:71319
    2CSKA Moscow953118:81018
    3Baltika945013:5817
    4Lokomotiv Moscow945020:13717
    5Zenit944115:7816
    6Spartak Moscow943214:14015
    7Rubin Kazan943213:14-115
    8Dynamo Moscow933312:10212
    9Akhmat Grozny933311:11012
    10Krylya Sovetov933314:16-212
    11FK Rostov92348:12-49
    12Dynamo Makhachkala92345:11-69
    13Orenburg914411:16-57
    14Akron Togliatti914412:14-27
    15Pari NN92078:17-96
    16Sochi90185:24-191

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL