Result
2:1
14/12/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 9
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.58 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (322/381) | 78% (196/251) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 1.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (322/381) | 78% (196/251) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/47) | 46% (22/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (60/84) | 62% (44/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 60% (6/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.67 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 73% (11/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', Arreaga X. 🟨,
- 28', 1 - 0, Rivero O. ⚽, Solano C. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Arturia G. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 47', Achilier G. 🟨,
- 49', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 🟨,
- 55', Burgoa V. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
- 55', Romero N. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 57', Vasquez S. 🟨,
- 72', Rojas J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 75', Rojas J. ↓, Oyola B. ↑,
- 77', Caicedo B. ↓, Quinonez S. ↑,
- 81', Vallecilla G. 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 1, Herrera A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 85', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Garcia Y. ↑,
- 85', Solano C. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 1, Rivero O. ⚽, Carabali B. (A),
- 90+5', Parrales M. 🟨,
- 90+6', Quinonez B. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Barcelona Guayaquil
61.6% | Draw
23.6% | Orense
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona Guayaquil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↑
(1.39) |
3.88 ↓
(4.1) |
6.23 ↓
(7.5) |
8.6%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Orense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Barcelona is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 1.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Orense?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Orense has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense were as follows:
09.11.2025
Orense
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:2
02.08.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Orense
2:0
14.04.2025
Orense
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:1
17.08.2024
Orense
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:2
16.03.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Orense
0:0
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Macara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 10 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Libertad | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 7 | Tecnico U | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 8 |
| 9 | Delfin | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Aucas | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 13 | Orense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Emelec | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 15 | Manta | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Leones del Norte | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
