Result
2:0
02/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.15 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (211/236) | 81% (147/181) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.15 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (211/236) | 81% (147/181) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 53% (16/30) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (29/40) | 66% (23/35) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 25% (1/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (5/6) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Valiente J. ⚽, Corozo J. (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Corozo J. (Pen),
- 45+3', Rivero O. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Quinonez B. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 46', Montano J. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
- 68', Caicedo B. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
- 69', Campi G. 🟨,
- 71', Burgoa V. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
- 71', Olinick A. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
- 74', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Souza de Almeida L. ↑,
- 74', Oyola B. ↓, Castillo Segura B. D. ↑,
- 77', Molina N. 🟨,
- 81', Valiente J. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
- 87', Vasquez S. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barcelona Guayaquil
51.4% | Draw
28.2% | Orense
20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona Guayaquil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.74) |
3.3 ↓
(3.4) |
4.58 ↓
(4.81) |
8%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Barcelona Guayaquil will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 2.
- Recent performances by Barcelona have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Orense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Barcelona is the team to beat.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.4:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Orense?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Orense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense were as follows:
14.04.2025
Orense
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:1
17.08.2024
Orense
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:2
16.03.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Orense
0:0
29.10.2023
Orense
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
2:3
19.05.2023
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Orense
2:0
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 53:21 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 48 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Orense | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Libertad | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 40:35 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 26:30 | -4 | 38 |
| 10 | Macara | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 34 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24:43 | -19 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 31:48 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
