Result
2:0
02/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.47 | 0.15 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 0 |
Passes |
---|
89% (211/236) | 81% (147/181) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.47 | 0.15 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.71 | 0.29 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 0 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
1 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
8 | 3 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
89% (211/236) | 81% (147/181) |
Long passes |
---|
70% (16/23) | 53% (16/30) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (29/40) | 66% (23/35) |
Crosses |
---|
25% (2/8) | 25% (1/4) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.75 | 0.25 |
Throw-ins |
---|
9 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
83% (5/6) | 67% (4/6) |
Duels won |
---|
19 | 21 |
Clearances |
---|
4 | 7 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 2 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.29 | 1.71 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.29 | -0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Valiente J. ⚽, Corozo J. (A),
- 33', 2 - 0, Corozo J. (Pen),
- 45+3', Rivero O. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Quinonez B. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 46', Montano J. ↓, Arroyo D. ↑,
- 68', Caicedo B. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
- 69', Campi G. 🟨,
- 71', Burgoa V. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
- 71', Olinick A. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
- 74', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Souza de Almeida L. ↑,
- 74', Oyola B. ↓, Castillo Segura B. D. ↑,
- 77', Molina N. 🟨,
- 81', Valiente J. ↓, Cortez Casierra G. J. ↑,
- 87', Vasquez S. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Barcelona Guayaquil 51.4% | Draw 28.2% | Orense 20.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona Guayaquil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.79 ↑ (1.74) |
3.3 ↓ (3.4) |
4.58 ↓ (4.81) |
8% (7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Barcelona (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Barcelona Guayaquil will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 2.
- Recent performances by Barcelona have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Orense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Barcelona may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Barcelona is the team to beat.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.4:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Orense?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Orense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Orense were as follows:
14.04.2025
Orense
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:1
17.08.2024
Orense
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:2
16.03.2024
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Orense
0:0
29.10.2023
Orense
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
2:3
19.05.2023
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Orense
2:0
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )