Result
1:1
26/04/2026 at 19:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 11
- Referee: Salazar B. L. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Teleamazonas, Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (394/473) | 74% (228/308) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (394/473) | 74% (228/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (23/51) | 44% (28/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (106/147) | 62% (55/89) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (6/28) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.65 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 65% (13/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.74 | -0.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', 0 - 1, Benedetto D. ⚽, Quinonez Ruiz J. R. (A),
- 44', Caicedo B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Jaramilo R. 🟨,
- 64', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. 🟨,
- 65', Quinonez O. 🟨,
- 65', Molina N. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
- 65', Quinonez Ruiz J. R. ↓, Wila J. ↑,
- 65', Gomez J. ↓, Intriago J. ↑,
- 66', Benedetto D. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
- 75', Villalba H. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
- 79', Herrera A. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
- 79', Jaramilo R. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Zambrano Pesantez E. S. ⚽, Quinonez O. (A),
- 84', Burgoa V. ↓, Rostagno G. ↑,
- 84', Zambrano Pesantez E. S. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 85', Celiz M. ↓, Caidedo K. ↑,
- 90+5', Intriago J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orense
36.7% | Draw
30.1% | Barcelona Guayaquil
33.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(2.72) |
3.05 ↑
(2.99) |
2.8 ↑
(2.59) |
8.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Orense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Orense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Orense has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Orense?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Barcelona Guayaquil were as follows:
14.12.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Orense
2:1
09.11.2025
Orense
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
1:2
02.08.2025
Barcelona Guayaquil
-
Orense
2:0
14.04.2025
Orense
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:1
17.08.2024
Orense
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:2
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 22:13 | 9 | 28 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 22 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 4 | Aucas | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Guayaquil City | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 18 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Dep. Cuenca | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Macara | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 10 | Orense | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Delfin | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5:6 | -1 | 15 |
| 12 | Emelec | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 9:15 | -6 | 14 |
| 13 | Leones del Norte | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 14 | Libertad | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Manta | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 4:14 | -10 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
