Result
05/05/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Africa | Sporty TV, Sporty TV App |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports, Mi Telefe, Telefe |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | ESPN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN 5 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Ecuador | ESPN |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Paraguay | ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Onefootball, Pluto TV |
Chances of winning
Barcelona Guayaquil
23.3% | Draw
30.7% | Boca Juniors
46% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barcelona Guayaquil's form might have worsened.Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barcelona Guayaquil, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Barcelona Guayaquil - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.02 ↑
(3.06) |
3.07 ↓
(3.2) |
2.06 ↓
(2.34) |
6.1%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Barcelona Guayaquil - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boca Juniors will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Recent performances by Barcelona have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Boca Juniors is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of away games.
- Boca Juniors is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Barcelona: Rojas J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Bareiro A.
(Red Card)
Battaglia R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Carlos Palacios
(Knee Injury)
Cavani E.
(Lower Back Injury)
Herrera A.
(Muscle Injury)
Marchesin A.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barcelona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barcelona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Barcelona Guayaquil won against Boca Juniors?
Barcelona Guayaquil has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Barcelona Guayaquil?
Boca Juniors has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barcelona Guayaquil - Boca Juniors were as follows:
14.04.2026
Boca Juniors
-
Barcelona Guayaquil
3:0
Latest results of Barcelona Guayaquil
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Ind. Medellin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 4 | Cusco | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 2 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Coquimbo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Bolivar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | La Guaira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | U. Catolica | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Barcelona SC | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Corinthians | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
| 2 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Santa Fe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Penarol | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | LDU Quito | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Lanus | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Mirassol | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Always Ready | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Ind. del Valle | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
