Boca Juniors vs Barcelona Guayaquil – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/04/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2
  • Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilParamount+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+, ESPN 5
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyComo TV
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 1
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 2
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
spainSpainLaLiga+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldOnefootball

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
72%
Draw
19.4%
Barcelona Guayaquil
8.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 23.8% 15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8% 23.2% 14.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.
  • Barcelona Guayaquil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barcelona Guayaquil might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona Guayaquil than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barcelona Guayaquil could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Boca Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.52)
    4.82
    (3.9)
    11.32
    (6.17)
    5.7%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Barcelona Guayaquil?
  • Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Boca Juniors is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Barcelona has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Boca Juniors is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Palacios (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Lower Back Injury) Zufiaurre I. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Barcelona: Garcia J. (Injury) Rojas J. (Injury)
    • We predict that Boca Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ11002:023
    2Estudiantes L.P10101:101
    3Ind. Medellin10101:101
    4Cusco10010:2-20


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coquimbo10101:101
    2Nacional10101:101
    3Deportes Tolima10100:001
    4U. de Deportes10100:001


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia11001:013
    2Fluminense10100:001
    3La Guaira10100:001
    4Bolivar10010:1-10


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors11002:113
    2Cruzeiro11001:013
    3U. Catolica10011:2-10
    4Barcelona SC10010:1-10


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians11002:023
    2Santa Fe10101:101
    3Penarol10101:101
    4Platense10010:2-20


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal11001:013
    2Palmeiras10101:101
    3Junior10101:101
    4Cerro Porteno10010:1-10


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mirassol11001:013
    2LDU Quito11001:013
    3Lanus10010:1-10
    4Always Ready10010:1-10


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Universidad Central11003:123
    2Rosario Central10100:001
    3Ind. del Valle10100:001
    4Libertad Asuncion10011:3-20

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