Result
2:1
16/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 25
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (474/528) | 75% (176/236) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.88 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (474/528) | 75% (176/236) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (31/48) | 46% (26/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (119/147) | 47% (30/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 50% (5/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 2.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | 0.88 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Sornoza J. ⚽, Hoyos M. (A),
- 32', Arturia G. 🟨,
- 45+2', Arturia G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Bermudez M. ↓, Vasquez S. ↑,
- 46', Bermudez M. ↓, Quinonez S. ↑,
- 64', Guagua D. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
- 64', Arroyo J. P. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 65', Suarez A. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 1, Vinan B. ⚽,
- 77', Olinick A. ↓, Mena A. ↑,
- 79', Mercado P. 🟨,
- 80', Mendez J. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
- 80', Sornoza J. ↓, Cazares ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Hoyos M. ⚽, Ibarra R. (A),
- 88', Hoyos M. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
- 90', Molina N. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
66.6% | Draw
22.3% | Orense
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Orense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Independiente del Valle - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.46) |
4.15 ↑
(4.02) |
8.1 ↑
(6.77) |
8.4%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Orense?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Orense will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 3.
- Ind del Valle is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Orense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Ind del Valle will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Orense?
Independiente del Valle has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Independiente del Valle?
Orense has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Orense were as follows:
27.04.2025
Orense
-
Independiente del Valle
1:2
01.12.2024
Orense
-
Independiente del Valle
0:0
02.06.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Orense
1:0
25.11.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Orense
2:2
11.06.2023
Orense
-
Independiente del Valle
0:2
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
