Result
0:0
23/11/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 6
- Referee: Contreras O. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (466/520) | 74% (176/239) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (466/520) | 74% (176/239) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (18/29) | 35% (18/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (145/178) | 64% (37/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (5/35) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.94 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 29', Mendez J. 🟨,
- 33', Herrera A. 🟨,
- 42', Fernandez M. 🟨,
- 45+5', Ortiz C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 54', Vasquez S. ↓, Vinan B. ↑,
- 55', Armas D. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
- 59', Achilier G. ↓, Quinonez B. ↑,
- 59', Hoyos M. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
- 59', Mendez J. ↓, Alcivar J. ↑,
- 74', Loor L. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
- 74', Ortiz C. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 77', Silva R. 🟨,
- 87', Velasco A. 🟨,
- 89', Fernandez M. ↓, Santamaria T. ↑,
- 89', Lerma J. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
66.7% | Draw
20.7% | Orense
12.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente del Valle, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Independiente del Valle - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↑
(1.31) |
4.46 ↓
(4.85) |
7.42 ↓
(7.95) |
7.7%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Independiente del Valle - Orense?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Orense (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Ind del Valle (votes: 1 - 50%). Orense (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 4.
- Ind del Valle has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Orense's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ind del Valle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Ind del Valle is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:12. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Orense?
Independiente del Valle has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Independiente del Valle?
Orense has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Orense were as follows:
17.10.2025
Orense
-
Independiente del Valle
1:2
16.08.2025
Independiente del Valle
-
Orense
2:1
27.04.2025
Orense
-
Independiente del Valle
1:2
01.12.2024
Orense
-
Independiente del Valle
0:0
02.06.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Orense
1:0
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Macara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Delfin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Libertad | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | LDU Quito | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Aucas | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Mushuc Runa | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Leones del Norte | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | U. Catolica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Orense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Guayaquil City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Manta | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Emelec | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
