Result
1:2
27/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (285/346) | 83% (323/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (285/346) | 83% (323/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (22/49) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (78/113) | 63% (45/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 4% (1/25) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.01 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', Valverde J. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Herrera A. (Pen),
- 39', Herrera A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Ibarra R. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Cazares ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Spinelli C. ⚽, Sornoza J. (A),
- 56', Loor L. ↓, Cortez G. ↑,
- 56', Mercado P. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
- 59', Spinelli C. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 2, Hoyos M. ⚽, Sornoza J. (A),
- 63', Valverde J. ↓, Parrales M. ↑,
- 66', Zarate L. 🟨,
- 77', Caicedo B. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
- 77', Molina N. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
- 90+3', Mejia M. ↓, Coronel D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Orense
26.4% | Draw
29.2% | Independiente del Valle
44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Orense - Independiente del Valle Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.52 ↓
(3.69) |
3.17 ↓
(3.49) |
2.1 ↑
(1.94) |
7.6%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Orense won 0.
- Recent matches Orense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Ind del Valle is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Ind del Valle could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Ind del Valle have a series of home games.
- Ind del Valle will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 10 head-to-head matches Orense won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:18 (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Orense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Independiente del Valle?
Orense has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Orense?
Independiente del Valle has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Independiente del Valle were as follows:
01.12.2024
Orense
-
Independiente del Valle
0:0
02.06.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Orense
1:0
25.11.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Orense
2:2
11.06.2023
Orense
-
Independiente del Valle
0:2
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
| 5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
| 9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
