Orense vs Independiente del Valle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

17/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio 9 de Mayo (Machala).

Liga Pro - Championship Group - Round 2
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	0.51
Ball Possession
52%	48%
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
3	6
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
78% (239/307)	78% (228/294)
Yellow Cards
6	3
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74	0.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.02	1.27
Total shots
17	11
Shots on target
3	6
Shots off target
8	5
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
11	6
Shots outside the Box
6	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
25	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
20	13
Passes
78% (239/307)	78% (228/294)
Long passes
61% (30/49)	34% (19/56)
Passes in final third
66% (72/109)	62% (48/77)
Crosses
41% (9/22)	20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.00	0.32
Throw-ins
18	14
Fouls
13	20
Tackles
73% (8/11)	47% (7/15)
Duels won
53	39
Clearances
20	17
Interceptions
12	18
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
1.27	1.02
Goals prevented
0.27	0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Molina N. 🟨,
36', Cazares 🟨,
42', Velasco A. 🟨,
42', Cazares ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', Armas D. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
58', Bianchi O. ↓, Burgoa V. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Molina N. (Own goal),
61', Luna R. 🟨,
71', Vasquez Y. ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
71', Guagua D. ↓, Lerma J. ↑,
72', Molina N. ↓, Bermudez M. ↑,
73', Arturia G. 🟨,
78', 0 - 2, Spinelli C. ⚽, Hoyos M. (A),
78', Burgoa V. ↓, Zambrano Pesantez E. S. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Herrera A. (Pen),
83', Vasquez S. 🟨,
90', Mercado P. ↓, Santamaria T. ↑,
90', Hoyos M. ↓, Schunke R. ↑,
90+10', Sornoza J. 🟨,
90+10', Velasco P. 🟨,
90+14', Arturia G. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Orense
31.6%

Draw
31.4%

Independiente del Valle
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

28.4%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

27.3%

43.5%

Orense - Independiente del Valle Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.08)	2.99 ↓ (3.23)	2.52 ↑ (2.19)	6.6% (9.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Orense - Independiente del Valle?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Independiente del Valle will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orense won 0.
Orense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ind del Valle is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Orense won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.9:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Orense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Independiente del Valle?

Orense has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Orense?

Independiente del Valle has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Orense - Independiente del Valle were as follows:

16.08.2025 Independiente del Valle - Orense 2:1

27.04.2025 Orense - Independiente del Valle 1:2

01.12.2024 Orense - Independiente del Valle 0:0

02.06.2024 Independiente del Valle - Orense 1:0

25.11.2023 Independiente del Valle - Orense 2:2

Latest results of Orense

05.10.2025 Libertad Loja - Orense 2:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Orense - Emelec 0:0 ✺

21.09.2025 SD Aucas - Orense 0:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Orense - Mushuc Runa 3:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Deportivo Cuenca - Orense 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Independiente del Valle

13.10.2025 Independiente del Valle - Universidad Católica del Ecuador 1:2 ✺

08.10.2025 Gualaceo - Independiente del Valle 0:6 ✺

05.10.2025 Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle 0:3 ✺

28.09.2025 Independiente del Valle - Delfín 0:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Once Caldas - Independiente del Valle 0:3 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

Placement Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Dep. Cuenca	33	14	7	12	39:34	5	49
8	Emelec	33	13	10	10	34:35	-1	49
9	Aucas	33	12	9	12	42:45	-3	45
10	Macara	33	11	11	11	39:34	5	44
11	EL Nacional	33	10	8	15	36:50	-14	38
12	Delfin	33	6	14	13	28:49	-21	32

Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )