Manta vs Orense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Manta - Orense
Result
0:0
23/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 17
  • Referee: Miranda K. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.77
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
71% (173/243)78% (248/318)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.850.77
xG on target (xGOT)
0.360.13
Total shots
811
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
17
Shots inside the Box
66
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1617
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
71% (173/243)78% (248/318)
Long passes
36% (18/50)50% (18/36)
Passes in final third
56% (47/84)70% (62/88)
Crosses
19% (4/21)19% (3/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.38
Throw-ins
1412
Fouls
1513
Tackles
56% (9/16)89% (8/9)
Duels won
4249
Clearances
1619
Interceptions
113
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.130.36
Goals prevented
0.130.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+3', Velasco P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Ortiz M. 🟨,
  • 64', Vasquez S. , Luna R. ,
  • 65', Ortiz R. , Zorrilla E. ,
  • 65', Valverde J. 🟨,
  • 71', Velasco P. , Arturia G. ,
  • 71', Caicedo B. , Bianchi O. ,
  • 73', Ortiz M. , Almeida F. ,
  • 73', Zambrano J. , Mina J. ,
  • 85', Ramirez B. , Valencia M. ,
  • 85', Bartora G. , Cabezas D. ,
  • 90+1', Molina N. , Armas D. ,

Chances of winning


Manta
27.5%
Draw
29%
Orense
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.4% 29.4% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7% 28.8% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manta's form might have worsened.
  • Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Manta - Orense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (2.79)
    3.15
    (3.18)
    2.16
    (2.51)
    8%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Manta - Orense?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Orense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Manta: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orense (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Orense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Manta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Orense were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Orense - Manta 2:1
    Latest results of Manta
    30.05.2025 Deportivo Macará - Manta 2:2
    24.05.2025 Manta - Vinotinto 2:2
    17.05.2025 SD Aucas - Manta 1:1
    10.05.2025 Manta - Mushuc Runa 2:1
    Latest results of Orense
    16.06.2025 Orense - Deportivo Macará 1:0
    31.05.2025 Emelec - Orense 1:0
    24.05.2025 Orense - SD Aucas 2:1
    17.05.2025 Mushuc Runa - Orense 2:5
    09.05.2025 Orense - Deportivo Cuenca 1:0
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle23147243:192449
    2Barcelona SC23125635:26941
    3LDU Quito22117438:211740
    4Orense23114825:26-137
    5Aucas22105730:27335
    6Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    7Libertad2297633:28534
    8U. Catolica2287738:29931
    9Emelec2277820:26-628
    10Delfin2268821:31-1026
    11EL Nacional23671026:33-725
    12Vinotinto22651126:30-423
    13Macara23581021:26-523
    14Manta2258929:38-923
    15Tecnico U22471120:33-1319
    16Mushuc Runa22451324:39-1517

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )