Result
0:0
23/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 17
- Referee: Miranda K. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.85 | 0.77 |
Ball Possession |
---|
44% | 56% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
71% (173/243) | 78% (248/318) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.85 | 0.77 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.36 | 0.13 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
16 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
71% (173/243) | 78% (248/318) |
Long passes |
---|
36% (18/50) | 50% (18/36) |
Passes in final third |
---|
56% (47/84) | 70% (62/88) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (4/21) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.11 | 0.38 |
Throw-ins |
---|
14 | 12 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
56% (9/16) | 89% (8/9) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 49 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 19 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.13 | 0.36 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.13 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+3', Velasco P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Ortiz M. 🟨,
- 64', Vasquez S. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
- 65', Ortiz R. ↓, Zorrilla E. ↑,
- 65', Valverde J. 🟨,
- 71', Velasco P. ↓, Arturia G. ↑,
- 71', Caicedo B. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
- 73', Ortiz M. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 73', Zambrano J. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 85', Ramirez B. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
- 85', Bartora G. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
- 90+1', Molina N. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Manta 27.5% | Draw 29% | Orense 43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manta's form might have worsened.Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Manta - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.34 ↑ (2.79) |
3.15 ↓ (3.18) |
2.16 ↓ (2.51) |
8% (7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Manta - Orense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Orense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Manta: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orense (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Orense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Manta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Orense?
Manta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Manta?
Orense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Orense were as follows:
23.02.2025
Orense
-
Manta
2:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
3 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )