Result
0:0
23/06/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 17
- Referee: Miranda K. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (173/243) | 78% (248/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (173/243) | 78% (248/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (18/50) | 50% (18/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (47/84) | 70% (62/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.38 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+3', Velasco P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Ortiz M. 🟨,
- 64', Vasquez S. ↓, Luna R. ↑,
- 65', Ortiz R. ↓, Zorrilla E. ↑,
- 65', Valverde J. 🟨,
- 71', Velasco P. ↓, Arturia G. ↑,
- 71', Caicedo B. ↓, Bianchi O. ↑,
- 73', Ortiz M. ↓, Almeida F. ↑,
- 73', Zambrano J. ↓, Mina J. ↑,
- 85', Ramirez B. ↓, Valencia M. ↑,
- 85', Bartora G. ↓, Cabezas D. ↑,
- 90+1', Molina N. ↓, Armas D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Manta
27.5% | Draw
29% | Orense
43.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manta's form might have worsened.Orense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Manta - Orense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(2.79) |
3.15 ↓
(3.18) |
2.16 ↓
(2.51) |
8%
(7.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Manta - Orense?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Manta will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Orense will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Manta: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Orense (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manta won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Manta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Orense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Manta won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manta won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Manta won against Orense?
Manta has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orense won against Manta?
Orense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manta - Orense were as follows:
23.02.2025
Orense
-
Manta
2:1
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 37:29 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Dep. Cuenca | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 39 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Manta | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 31:42 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
