Oriental vs Lusitano GC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
28/01/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 17

Chances of winning


Oriental
27.5%
Draw
33.4%
Lusitano GC
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26% 29.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9% 29.1% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Oriental has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Lusitano GC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lusitano GC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lusitano GC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Oriental - Lusitano GC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (3.49)
    2.72
    (3.1)
    2.32
    (2.02)
    10.1%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 5).
    • Oriental is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Lusitano GC is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Lusitano GC will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Oriental won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    Latest results of Oriental
    21.01.2024 Imortal - Oriental 0:2
    14.01.2024 Oriental - Serpa 0:3
    07.01.2024 Moncarapachense - Oriental 5:1
    17.12.2023 Real SC - Oriental 3:0
    10.12.2023 Oriental - Louletano 0:2
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Malveira1997325:16934
    2Juv. Evora1996423:17633
    3Louletano1988320:91132
    4Serpa1986523:23030
    5GD Alcochetense1985625:17829
    6Lagoa1985634:25929
    7Alverca B1884632:27528
    8Sintrense1976620:20027
    9Oriental1968523:25-226
    10O Elvas CAD1974825:23225
    11Moncarapachense1939714:19-518
    12Portimonense B18521116:27-1117
    13Vasco da Gama19110816:35-1913
    14Industria19261116:29-1312

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