Oriente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosí – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz).

Division Profesional - Round 21
Referee: Vargas G. (Bol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Futbol Canal

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.91	0.81
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
4	6
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Passes
82% (271/330)	72% (168/233)
Yellow Cards
6	6
Expected Goals (xG)
2.91	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.68	1.91
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
4	6
Shots off target
10	5
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
2	1
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
3	2
Corner Kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
33	20
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
10	16
Passes
82% (271/330)	72% (168/233)
Long passes
54% (32/59)	34% (18/53)
Passes in final third
71% (77/108)	54% (35/65)
Crosses
41% (7/17)	38% (5/13)
Expected assists (xA)
2.39	0.52
Throw-ins
12	20
Fouls
16	10
Tackles
91% (10/11)	35% (7/20)
Duels won
30	51
Clearances
14	19
Interceptions
5	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
1.91	1.68
Goals prevented
-0.09	-0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Cuellar V. 🟨,
30', Demiquel L. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Alvarez G. ⚽, Velasco M. (A),
37', Amaral R. 🟨,
45+2', Centurion R. 🟨,
45+3', Rojas J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Rojas J. ↓, Palacio D. ↑,
46', Guerra S. ↓, Baldomar O. ↑,
46', Cuellar V. ↓, Berdecio J. ↑,
51', Arce Pari J. 🟨,
59', Palacio D. 🟨,
64', 1 - 1, Palacio D. ⚽, Alvarez W. (A),
66', Chala W. ↓, Vaca H. ↑,
67', Amaral R. ↓, Cristaldo J. E. ↑,
67', Nunez M. ↓, Mansilla A. ↑,
70', Torres S. 🟨,
79', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
81', Velasco M. ↓, Bonilla M. ↑,
81', Alvarez W. ↓, Pavia L. ↑,
84', 1 - 2, Azogue P. ⚽, Mansilla A. (A),
86', 🟨,
90', Vaca H. 🟨,
90+2', Azogue P. ↓, Amarilla N. ↑,
90+3', Rodriguez D. ↓, Abastoflor C. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 2, Centurion R. (Pen),
90+10', Bonilla M. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Oriente Petrolero
61.7%

Draw
22.5%

Nacional Potosí
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

23.8%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

22.2%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriente Petrolero's performance.

Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Potosí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-18.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriente Petrolero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+16.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Potosí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2)	4.48 ↑ (3.9)	6.32 ↑ (3.1)	0.9% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 1.
Oriente Petrolero is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nacional Potosí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Oriente Petrolero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Oriente Petrolero has had a series of away games.
In this match, Oriente Petrolero is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Oriente Petrolero won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Oriente Petrolero won against Nacional Potosí?

Oriente Petrolero has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Potosí won against Oriente Petrolero?

Nacional Potosí has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí were as follows:

29.07.2025 Nacional Potosí - Oriente Petrolero 4:1

13.12.2024 Nacional Potosí - Oriente Petrolero 4:1

25.08.2024 Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí 2:2

10.07.2023 Nacional Potosí - Oriente Petrolero 3:1

04.02.2023 Oriente Petrolero - Nacional Potosí 3:0

Latest results of Oriente Petrolero

16.09.2025 San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Oriente Petrolero 1:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Oriente Petrolero - Real Oruro 3:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Blooming - Oriente Petrolero 4:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Always Ready - Oriente Petrolero 2:0 ✺

08.08.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Oriente Petrolero 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Nacional Potosí

17.09.2025 Jorge Wilstermann - Nacional Potosí 2:5 ✺

13.09.2025 Nacional Potosí - San Antonio Bulo Bulo 2:3 ✺

06.09.2025 Nacional Potosí - Independiente Petroleros 0:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Guabirá - Nacional Potosí 1:0 ✺

12.08.2025 Nacional Potosí - Universitario de Vinto 5:1 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	23	17	4	2	66:23	43	55
2	The Strongest	23	17	1	5	62:38	24	52
3	Bolivar	22	14	4	4	54:24	30	46
4	Blooming	23	11	4	8	41:38	3	37
5	Guabira	23	10	4	9	47:44	3	34
6	SA Bulo Bulo	23	8	7	8	43:39	4	31
7	Independiente	23	8	6	9	38:46	-8	30
8	GV San Jose	23	9	3	11	30:39	-9	30
9	Nacional Potosi	23	7	6	10	37:32	5	27
10	Oriente Petrolero	23	7	6	10	34:43	-9	27
11	Tomayapo	23	6	8	9	26:39	-13	26
12	Universitario de Vinto	23	6	7	10	28:42	-14	25
13	Real Oruro	23	6	6	11	38:50	-12	24
14	Academia del Balompie	23	5	8	10	25:40	-15	23
15	Wilstermann	23	2	6	15	18:48	-30	12
16	Aurora	22	8	4	10	39:41	-2	-5

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation