Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters vs Orix Buffaloes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4
12/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Hits
126
Errors
00
Home Runs
02
Runs batted in
54
Base on Balls
42
Strikeouts
106
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3433
Batting Average
0.3530.182

Chances of winning


Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
53.6%
Orix Buffaloes
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Orix Buffaloes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orix Buffaloes than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (1.77)

    2.06
    (2.13)
    3.9%
    (3.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes?
  • Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Hokkaido will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Orix will win (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orix (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nippon Ham Fighters leads series 1-0. 2nd leg.
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hokkaido won 2.
    • Hokkaido is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Orix has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hokkaido may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hokkaido has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hokkaido won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 84:61. (average 4.2:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hokkaido won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 54:42. (average 4.9:3.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes were as follows:
    11.10.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes 2:0
    11.09.2025 Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters - Orix Buffaloes 10:4
    07.09.2025 Orix Buffaloes - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 3:2
    06.09.2025 Orix Buffaloes - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 3:1
    05.09.2025 Orix Buffaloes - Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters 2:0
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Yakult Swallows330013:71.000
    2Hiroshima Carp33009:61.000
    3Hanshin Tigers320115:90.667
    4Yomiuri Giants31029:150.333
    5Chunichi Dragons30036:90.000
    6Yokohama BayStars30037:130.000


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks330020:131.000
    2Chiba Lotte Marines320114:50.667
    3Orix Buffaloes320111:140.667
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles310214:110.333
    5Seibu Lions31025:140.333
    6Nippon Ham Fighters300313:200.000

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)