Result
3:4 penalties
27/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.04 | 1.34 |
Ball Possession |
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44% | 56% |
Total shots |
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14 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 4 |
Passes |
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81% (294/361) | 88% (431/488) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.04 | 1.34 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
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1.18 | 1.25 |
Total shots |
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14 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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5 | 5 |
Shots off target |
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3 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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6 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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9 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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5 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 2 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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21 | 21 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 12 |
Passes |
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81% (294/361) | 88% (431/488) |
Long passes |
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48% (30/62) | 63% (29/46) |
Passes in final third |
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64% (68/106) | 71% (75/105) |
Crosses |
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21% (4/19) | 33% (4/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.77 | 0.98 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 15 |
Fouls |
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12 | 12 |
Tackles |
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53% (9/17) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
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33 | 39 |
Clearances |
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9 | 29 |
Interceptions |
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8 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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2 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
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1.25 | 1.18 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.75 | -1.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', Guske C. 🟨,
- 13', Thomas K. 🟨,
- 32', Reid-Brown T. ↓, Platts S. ↑,
- 36', 1 - 0, Leonardi P. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 0, Leonardi P. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, Mohammed S. ⚽,
- 45+3', Hylton J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 2 - 2, Caraballo G. ⚽,
- 52', 3 - 2, Chica D. ⚽,
- 63', Sumo A. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 3, Hylton J. ⚽,
- 74', Miller A. ↓, Nzingo G. ↑,
- 80', Hylton J. ↓, Judelson D. ↑,
- 80', Titus Jr S. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
- 84', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Alenga M. ↓, Lundeen C. ↑,
- 90+2', Rodriguez J. ↓, Covi I. ↑,
- 90+4', Canete F. 🟨,
- 90+7', Leonardi P. 🟨,
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, Evans J. (Pen),
- 1, Ellis J. (Pen),
- 2, Lundeen C. (Pen),
- 2, Judelson D. (Pen),
- 3, Thomas K. (Pen),
- 3, Mohammed S. (Pen),
- 4, Covi I. (Pen),
- 4, Guske C. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Carolina Core 57.2% | Draw 22.6% | Orlando City B 20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Core has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Orlando City B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City B than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Carolina Core - Orlando City B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.6 ↓ (1.62) |
4.04 ↓ (4.18) |
4.53 ↑ (4.23) |
9.4% (9.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- Carolina Core is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- OCB's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Carolina Core is the team to beat.
- We predict that Carolina Core will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carolina Core won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carolina Core won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Carolina Core won against Orlando City B?
Carolina Core has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City B won against Carolina Core?
Orlando City B has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Core - Orlando City B were as follows:
13.07.2025
Orlando City B
-
Carolina Core
3:1
11.06.2025
Carolina Core
-
Orlando City B
1:0
03.08.2024
Carolina Core
-
Orlando City B
1:2
07.07.2024
Orlando City B
-
Carolina Core
1:2
07.06.2024
Orlando City B
-
Carolina Core
3:2
Latest results of Carolina Core
Latest results of Orlando City B
MLS Next Pro Table
2025Northeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 | 27 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 66:55 | 55 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II | 27 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 60:31 | 55 |
3 | New England Revolution II | 27 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 49:35 | 51 |
4 | Chicago Fire II | 27 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 66:55 | 46 |
5 | Toronto FC II | 27 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 33:40 | 38 |
6 | Cincinnati 2 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 36:40 | 38 |
7 | New York City II | 27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 50:57 | 35 |
8 | Columbus Crew 2 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 37:61 | 21 |
Southeast Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Chattanooga | 27 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 41:35 | 51 |
2 | Huntsville | 27 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 53:32 | 49 |
3 | Carolina Core | 27 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 42:41 | 39 |
4 | Atlanta United 2 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 43:42 | 37 |
5 | Orlando City B | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 37:51 | 37 |
6 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 45:54 | 32 |
7 | Inter Miami II | 27 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 38:67 | 25 |
Pacific Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | Town FC | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 58:34 | 52 |
2 | Real Monarchs | 27 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 51:41 | 48 |
3 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 | 27 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 60:50 | 42 |
4 | Ventura County | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 48:49 | 41 |
5 | Portland Timbers 2 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 45:53 | 35 |
6 | Tacoma Defiance | 27 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 57:66 | 33 |
7 | Los Angeles FC II | 27 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 45:57 | 33 |
Frontier Division | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 | 27 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 59:35 | 62 |
2 | Colorado Rapids 2 | 27 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 53:40 | 48 |
3 | Minnesota 2 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 42:41 | 41 |
4 | North Texas | 27 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 42:54 | 40 |
5 | Austin FC II | 27 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 33:35 | 38 |
6 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 39:42 | 37 |
7 | Sporting Kansas City II | 27 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 29:64 | 17 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | New York Red Bulls 2 ✔ | 27 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 66:55 | 55 |
2 | Philadelphia Union II ✔ | 27 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 60:31 | 55 |
3 | New England Revolution II ✔ | 27 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 49:35 | 51 |
4 | Chattanooga ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 41:35 | 51 |
5 | Huntsville ✔ | 27 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 53:32 | 49 |
6 | Chicago Fire II ✔ | 27 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 66:55 | 46 |
7 | Carolina Core | 27 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 42:41 | 39 |
8 | Toronto FC II | 27 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 33:40 | 38 |
9 | Cincinnati 2 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 36:40 | 38 |
10 | Atlanta United 2 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 43:42 | 37 |
11 | Orlando City B | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 37:51 | 37 |
12 | New York City II | 27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 50:57 | 35 |
13 | Crown Legacy | 28 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 45:54 | 32 |
14 | Inter Miami II | 27 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 38:67 | 25 |
15 | Columbus Crew 2 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 37:61 | 21 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
1 | St. Louis City 2 ✔ | 27 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 59:35 | 62 |
2 | Town FC ✔ | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 58:34 | 52 |
3 | Colorado Rapids 2 ✔ | 27 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 53:40 | 48 |
4 | Real Monarchs ✔ | 27 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 51:41 | 48 |
5 | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 ✔ | 27 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 60:50 | 42 |
6 | Minnesota 2 ✔ | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 42:41 | 41 |
7 | Ventura County ✔ | 27 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 48:49 | 41 |
8 | North Texas | 27 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 42:54 | 40 |
9 | Austin FC II | 27 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 33:35 | 38 |
10 | Houston Dynamo 2 | 27 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 39:42 | 37 |
11 | Portland Timbers 2 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 45:53 | 35 |
12 | Tacoma Defiance | 27 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 57:66 | 33 |
13 | Los Angeles FC II | 27 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 45:57 | 33 |
14 | Sporting Kansas City II | 27 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 29:64 | 17 |
Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
New York Red Bulls 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Philadelphia Union II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
New England Revolution II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chattanooga is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Huntsville is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
St. Louis City 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Town FC is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Colorado Rapids 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Real Monarchs is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Vancouver Whitecaps 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Minnesota 2 is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ventura County is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)