Result
3:4 penalties
27/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.34 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (294/361) | 88% (431/488) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.34 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (294/361) | 88% (431/488) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (30/62) | 63% (29/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (68/106) | 71% (75/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 33% (4/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.98 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -1.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', Guske C. 🟨,
- 13', Thomas K. 🟨,
- 32', Reid-Brown T. ↓, Platts S. ↑,
- 36', 1 - 0, Leonardi P. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 0, Leonardi P. ⚽,
- 45', 2 - 1, Mohammed S. ⚽,
- 45+3', Hylton J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', 2 - 2, Caraballo G. ⚽,
- 52', 3 - 2, Chica D. ⚽,
- 63', Sumo A. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 64', 3 - 3, Hylton J. ⚽,
- 74', Miller A. ↓, Nzingo G. ↑,
- 80', Hylton J. ↓, Judelson D. ↑,
- 80', Titus Jr S. ↓, Loyola F. ↑,
- 84', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Alenga M. ↓, Lundeen C. ↑,
- 90+2', Rodriguez J. ↓, Covi I. ↑,
- 90+4', Canete F. 🟨,
- 90+7', Leonardi P. 🟨,
- Penalties (2 - 4)
- 1, Evans J. (Pen),
- 1, Ellis J. (Pen),
- 2, Lundeen C. (Pen),
- 2, Judelson D. (Pen),
- 3, Thomas K. (Pen),
- 3, Mohammed S. (Pen),
- 4, Covi I. (Pen),
- 4, Guske C. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Carolina Core
57.2% | Draw
22.6% | Orlando City B
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carolina Core has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Orlando City B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carolina Core than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City B than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Carolina Core - Orlando City B Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↓
(1.62) |
4.04 ↓
(4.18) |
4.53 ↑
(4.23) |
9.4%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- Carolina Core is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- OCB's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Carolina Core is the team to beat.
- We predict that Carolina Core will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carolina Core won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carolina Core won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Carolina Core won against Orlando City B?
Carolina Core has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando City B won against Carolina Core?
Orlando City B has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carolina Core - Orlando City B were as follows:
13.07.2025
Orlando City B
-
Carolina Core
3:1
11.06.2025
Carolina Core
-
Orlando City B
1:0
03.08.2024
Carolina Core
-
Orlando City B
1:2
07.07.2024
Orlando City B
-
Carolina Core
1:2
07.06.2024
Orlando City B
-
Carolina Core
3:2
Latest results of Carolina Core
Latest results of Orlando City B
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |
