Result
1:2 penalties
23/08/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (295/363) | 74% (202/274) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (295/363) | 74% (202/274) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (36/60) | 46% (24/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (42/73) | 58% (59/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 32% (8/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.83 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (14/23) | 74% (14/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Rayners I. ⚽,
- 38', Maswanganyi P. ↓, Shandu B. ↑,
- 42', Rayners I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Nduli S. 🟨,
- 62', Makgopa E. ↓, Mabasa T. ↑,
- 62', Nduli S. ↓, Mariko A. ↑,
- 65', Matthews T. ↓, Maseko T. ↑,
- 71', Williams R. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 1, Sebelebele K. ⚽, Mabasa T. (A),
- 78', Maseko T. 🟨,
- 80', Kekana G. ↓, Lebusa M. ↑,
- 80', Adams J. ↓, Modiba A. ↑,
- 80', Arthur Sales ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
- 86', Appollis O. ↓, Kwayiba S. ↑,
- 86', Mbatha T. ↓, Mbule S. ↑,
- 86', Rayners I. ↓, Shalulile P. ↑,
- Penalties (1 - 4)
- 1, Hotto D. (Pen),
- 1, Mokoena T. (Pen),
- 2, Mariko A. (Pen),
- 2, Allende M. (Pen),
- 3, Mbule S. (Pen),
- 3, Mothiba L. (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
Chances of winning
Mamelodi Sundowns
49.8% | Draw
28.3% | Orlando Pirates
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (-2%)
Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.77) |
3.15 ↓
(3.22) |
4.09 ↓
(4.34) |
12%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 1.
- Mamelodi Sundowns is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Orlando Pirates's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Orlando Pirates has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Mamelodi Sundowns is the team to beat.
- We predict that Mamelodi Sundowns will win today's game, with odds of 1.8.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mamelodi Sundowns won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mamelodi Sundowns won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Orlando Pirates?
Mamelodi Sundowns has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orlando Pirates won against Mamelodi Sundowns?
Orlando Pirates has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates were as follows:
16.08.2025
Orlando Pirates
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
1:1
16.03.2025
Orlando Pirates
-
Mamelodi Sundowns
2:0
08.02.2025
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Orlando Pirates
4:1
01.06.2024
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Orlando Pirates
1:2
17.02.2024
Mamelodi Sundowns
-
Orlando Pirates
1:1
Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
Latest results of Orlando Pirates
Draw
2025Quarter-finals| 1 | Orlando Pirates | Polokwane | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns | Richards Bay | 4 : 0 |
| 3 | Stellenbosch | AmaZulu | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Sekhukhune | TS Galaxy | 3 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Orlando Pirates | Mamelodi Sundowns | 2 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Stellenbosch | Sekhukhune | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Orlando Pirates | Stellenbosch | 3 : 0 |
