Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Orlando Stadium (Johannesburg).

Betway Premiership - Round 17
Where to Watch on TV:


South-africa	SABC 3, SABC Plus

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.73	0.88
Ball possession
38%	62%
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
5	4
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
3	2
Passes
77% (231/301)	87% (438/505)
Yellow cards
1	5
Expected goals (xG)
0.73	0.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.04	2.50
Total shots
8	8
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
2	3
Blocked shots
1	1
Shots inside the box
5	5
Shots outside the box
2	3
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
2	2
Corner kicks
3	2
Touches in opposition box
13	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
8	1
Free kicks
18	9
Passes
77% (231/301)	87% (438/505)
Long passes
47% (23/49)	52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
58% (57/99)	63% (64/102)
Crosses
25% (2/8)	20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.84	0.80
Throw ins
24	11
Fouls
9	18
Tackles
60% (6/10)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
37	39
Clearances
14	19
Interceptions
10	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	4
xGOT faced
2.50	1.04
Goals prevented
0.50	0.04

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', Sibisi N. 🟨,
26', Mokoena T. 🟨,
37', 0 - 1, Leon B. ⚽, Santos N. (A),
41', 0 - 2, Leon B. ⚽, Modiba A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 2, Maswanganyi P. ⚽, Mbuthuma Y. (A),
59', Adams J. 🟨,
62', Kekana G. 🟨,
66', Maswanganyi P. ↓, Moremi T. ↑,
66', Santos N. ↓, Allende M. ↑,
72', Matthews T. 🟨,
73', Matthews T. ↓, Zwane T. ↑,
73', Ndamane K. ↓, Johannes K. ↑,
74', Appollis O. ↓, De Jong A. ↑,
78', Leon B. 🟨,
79', Leon B. ↓, Mothiba L. ↑,
79', Modiba A. ↓, Lunga D. ↑,
85', Sebelebele K. ↓, van Rooyen D. ↑,
85', Mbuthuma Y. ↓, Msendami D. ↑,

Chances of winning

Orlando Pirates
31.9%

Draw
36.5%

Mamelodi Sundowns
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

37.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Mamelodi Sundowns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.03)	2.54 ↑ (2.47)	2.92 ↑ (2.85)	7.9% (8.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns?

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Orlando Pirates will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Orlando Pirates (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Orlando Pirates (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 2.
Orlando Pirates has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Mamelodi Sundowns is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Mamelodi Sundowns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pirates won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 17:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Orlando Pirates won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Orlando Pirates won against Mamelodi Sundowns?

Orlando Pirates has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mamelodi Sundowns won against Orlando Pirates?

Mamelodi Sundowns has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:

01.11.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates 1:1

23.08.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates 1:2

16.08.2025 Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:1

16.03.2025 Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns 2:0

08.02.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates 4:1

Latest results of Orlando Pirates

14.02.2026 Orlando Pirates - Marumo Gallants 3:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Tshakhuma Tsha Madzivhandila - Orlando Pirates 1:4 ✺

03.02.2026 AmaZulu - Orlando Pirates 0:2 ✺

31.01.2026 Orlando Pirates - Magesi 2:0 ✺

24.01.2026 Sekhukhune United - Orlando Pirates 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns

14.02.2026 Mamelodi Sundowns - MC Alger 2:0 ✺

08.02.2026 Saint-Éloi Lupopo - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:1 ✺

04.02.2026 Mamelodi Sundowns - Gomora United 2:1 ✺

30.01.2026 Al-Hilal Club of Omdurman - Mamelodi Sundowns 2:1 ✺

27.01.2026 Sekhukhune United - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:2 ✺

South African Premier Soccer League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	21	15	5	1	37:11	26	50
2	Orlando Pirates	21	15	3	3	34:9	25	48
3	Sekhukhune	21	9	7	5	21:14	7	34
4	AmaZulu	21	10	4	7	21:19	2	34
5	Kaizer Chiefs	19	9	6	4	17:12	5	33
6	Durban City	21	9	5	7	19:15	4	32
7	Polokwane	20	7	8	5	16:13	3	29
8	Golden Arrows	21	7	4	10	27:26	1	25
9	TS Galaxy	21	7	4	10	24:23	1	25
10	Stellenbosch	21	6	7	8	17:22	-5	25
11	Siwelele	20	5	8	7	11:15	-4	23
12	Richards Bay	21	5	8	8	16:23	-7	23
13	Chippa Utd	21	4	8	9	16:26	-10	20
14	Marumo Gallants	22	4	6	12	17:31	-14	18
15	Orbit College	21	5	3	13	16:35	-19	18
16	Magesi	20	2	8	10	13:28	-15	14

      Promotion ~ CAF Champions League
      Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup
      Betway Premiership (Promotion Group: )
      Relegation ~ Motsepe Foundation Championship