Orlando Pirates vs Mamelodi Sundowns – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football South African Premier Soccer League Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns
16/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AFRICA: Premiership - Round 23
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport PSL
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 1, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport PSL

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.602.05
Ball Possession
30%70%
Goal Attempts
917
Shots on Goal
61
Shots off Goal
27
Blocked Shots
19
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
07
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
01
Goalkeeper Saves
04
Free Kicks
1311
Offsides
13
Fouls
1113
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
1318
Touches in the Opposition Box
924
Passes
70% (174/247)86% (492/572)
Passes in the final third
55% (29/53)69% (131/189)
Crosses
0% (0/2)35% (6/17)
Tackles
58% (11/19)58% (7/12)
Clearances Total
2515
Interceptions
99

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Mofokeng R. , Makgopa E. (A),
  • 5', 2 - 0, Mofokeng R. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Shalulile P. , Arthur Sales ,
  • 62', Dlamini K. , Mako P. ,
  • 66', 2 - 1, Mudau K. , Rayners I. (A),
  • 70', Suarez L. , Morena T. ,
  • 76', Mofokeng R. , Nkota M. ,
  • 77', Mbatha T. , Mosele G. ,
  • 77', Makgopa E. , Radiopane B. ,
  • 79', Adams J. , Matthews T. ,
  • 87', Hotto D. , Shandu B. ,
  • 88', Rayners I. , Maema N. ,
  • 90+2', Xoki T. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Orlando Pirates
32.2%
Draw
32.3%
Mamelodi Sundowns
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.9% 27.4% 32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 28.6% 31.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orlando Pirates's form might have worsened.
  • Mamelodi Sundowns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando Pirates than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando Pirates, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mamelodi Sundowns than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.88
    (2.3)
    2.87
    (3.35)
    2.62
    (2.8)
    7.8%
    (9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mamelodi Sundowns will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Orlando Pirates won 2.
    • Orlando Pirates is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Mamelodi Sundowns could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Orlando Pirates have a series of guest games.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Orlando Pirates won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 15:28 (average 0.8:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Orlando Pirates won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates 4:1
    01.06.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates 1:2
    17.02.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns - Orlando Pirates 1:1
    07.10.2023 Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns 1:0
    20.09.2023 Orlando Pirates - Mamelodi Sundowns 0:1
    Latest results of Orlando Pirates
    Latest results of Mamelodi Sundowns
    South African Premier Soccer League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Orbit College42202:028
    2Cape Town City40312:3-13
    3Casric Stars40312:3-13

          Promotion ~ Betway Premiership