Orlando Pride vs Bay FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football NWSL Orlando Pride - Bay FC
Result
1:1
13/09/2025 at 17:03 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NWSL Women
  • Referee: Simon N. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SupeSport ESPN 1
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoAzteca Deportes
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2
usaUsaion TV, NSWL+, NWSL+ app, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.86
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
97
Passes
75% (269/358)74% (257/345)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.210.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.221.70
Total shots
2214
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
1310
Shots outside the Box
94
Hit the Woodwork
31
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
97
Touches in opposition box
3124
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
75% (269/358)74% (257/345)
Long passes
53% (26/49)35% (17/48)
Passes in final third
63% (79/125)69% (74/108)
Crosses
48% (13/27)54% (7/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.79
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
1111
Tackles
90% (9/10)64% (7/11)
Duels won
3934
Clearances
1826
Interceptions
718
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
47
xGOT faced
1.701.22
Goals prevented
0.700.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 45+4', 0 - 1, Kundananji R. , Dydasco C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Boade T. , Bailey D. ,
  • 46', Anderson J. , Hubly K. ,
  • 47', Hubly K. 🟨,
  • 53', Collins S. 🟨,
  • 63', Abello K. , Dyke C. ,
  • 70', 1 - 1, Watt A. , Hernandez O. (A),
  • 73', Angelina , Charley S. ,
  • 74', Hill R. , Paulson C. ,
  • 74', Lema K. , Conti C. ,
  • 84', Watt A. , Chanda G. ,
  • 84', Hernandez O. , Yates S. ,
  • 85', Marta , Luana Bertolucci ,
  • 87', Kundananji R. , Malonson A. ,

Chances of winning


Orlando Pride
61.2%
Draw
21.8%
Bay FC
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.9% 24% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 18.6% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orlando Pride has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Bay FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando Pride than the current prediction. (-17.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando Pride that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bay FC than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bay FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Orlando Pride - Bay FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.61)
    4.2
    (3.81)
    5.42
    (4.78)
    9%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • Orlando Pride is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bay is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Orlando Pride is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Orlando Pride won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).
    • Including home match between the teams, Orlando Pride won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orlando Pride - Bay FC were as follows:
    13.06.2025 Bay FC - Orlando Pride 0:1
    20.09.2024 Bay FC - Orlando Pride 0:1
    11.05.2024 Orlando Pride - Bay FC 1:0
    Latest results of Orlando Pride
    Latest results of Bay FC
    01.09.2025 Angel City - Bay FC 2:1
    23.08.2025 Bay FC - Washington Spirit 2:3
    16.08.2025 Bay FC - San Diego Wave 1:2
    10.08.2025 Chicago Stars - Bay FC 1:1
    NWSL Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kansas City Current W ✔ 23192245:113459
    2Washington Spirit W23127439:281143
    3Gotham W2398631:181335
    4Portland Thorns W2397732:28434
    5Seattle Reign W2397728:26234
    6Orlando Pride W2396828:24433
    7Racing Louisville W2496932:36-433
    8San Diego Wave W2387831:29231
    9North Carolina Courage W2377929:35-628
    10Houston Dash W23761026:35-927
    11Angel City W23661128:37-924
    12Utah Royals W23571124:37-1322
    13Bay FC W23471224:35-1119
    14Chicago W242111129:47-1817

          Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kansas City Current W is Qualified for NWSL Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)