Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        11/05/2025 at  10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Serie D - Group E - Play Offs - Semi-finals
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Panattoni M. (Pen), 
- 45+3', 1 - 1, Calderini E. (Pen), 
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 2, Fabri F. ⚽, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Fulgens Foligno 45.2%
 | Draw 27.2%
 | Orvietana 27.6%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fulgens Foligno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Orvietana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fulgens Foligno than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (-2.5%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Fulgens Foligno - Orvietana Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.02 (2.02)
 | 3.35 ↑ (3.19)
 | 3.3 ↓ (3.44)
 | 9.8% (9.9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In recent matches, Fulgens Foligno has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Orvietana is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Fulgens Foligno could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fulgens Foligno won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Fulgens Foligno won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Fulgens Foligno won against Orvietana?
                    
                    
                        
                            Fulgens Foligno has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Orvietana won against Fulgens Foligno?
                    
                    
                        
                             Orvietana has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Fulgens Foligno - Orvietana were as follows:
                                                        
                                06.04.2025 
                                Fulgens Foligno 
                                - 
                                Orvietana 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.11.2024 
                                Orvietana 
                                - 
                                Fulgens Foligno 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Fulgens Foligno                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Orvietana                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Siena | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:2 | 9 | 19 | 
| 2 | Grosseto | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 19 | 
| 3 | Foligno | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 | 
| 4 | Seravezza Pozzi | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 16 | 
| 5 | San Donato | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 15 | 
| 6 | Ghiviborgo | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 14 | 
| 7 | Tau | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 | 
| 8 | Prato | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 12 | 
| 9 | Terranuova Traiana | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 10 | 
| 10 | Orvietana | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 | 
| 11 | Montevarchi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 | 
| 12 | Trestina | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 | 
| 13 | Scandicci | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 | 
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 | 
| 15 | Camaiore | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 | 
| 16 | Vivi Altotevere | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 | 
| 17 | Cannara | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 | 
| 18 | Poggibonsi | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 2 | 
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