Result
0:0
19/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 32
Chances of winning
Follonica Gavorrano
39.4% | Draw
32.7% | Orvietana
27.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Follonica Gavorrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Orvietana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orvietana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follonica Gavorrano than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orvietana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Follonica Gavorrano - Orvietana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↓
(2.53) |
2.76 ↓
(3.03) |
3.23 ↑
(2.59) |
10.9%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 2.
- In recent matches, Follonica Gavorrano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Orvietana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Orvietana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Follonica Gavorrano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Follonica Gavorrano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Follonica Gavorrano won against Orvietana?
Follonica Gavorrano has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orvietana won against Follonica Gavorrano?
Orvietana has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Follonica Gavorrano - Orvietana were as follows:
07.12.2025
Orvietana
-
Follonica Gavorrano
0:0
17.04.2025
Follonica Gavorrano
-
Orvietana
1:4
08.12.2024
Orvietana
-
Follonica Gavorrano
0:1
21.01.2024
Follonica Gavorrano
-
Orvietana
2:1
24.09.2023
Orvietana
-
Follonica Gavorrano
0:0
Latest results of Follonica Gavorrano
Latest results of Orvietana
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 33 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 20 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 13 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | -2 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 7 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 46 |
| 10 | Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | -2 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | -4 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | -13 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | -13 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | -17 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | -35 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation
