Os Marialvas vs Samora Correia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
143
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
114
Red Cards
01
Total shots
143
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
92
Corner Kicks
114

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 🟥,
  • 44', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 0, ,
  • 80', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Os Marialvas
49.2%
Draw
28.2%
Samora Correia
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 27.5% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9% 23.8% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Os Marialvas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Samora Correia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Os Marialvas than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Os Marialvas - Samora Correia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.75)
    3.24
    (3.3)
    4.06
    (4.43)
    9.5%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Relegation).
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Marialvas is considered a favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Os Marialvas
    Latest results of Samora Correia
    02.11.2025 Samora Correia - Naval 1:1
    26.10.2025 Mortágua - Samora Correia 0:0
    05.10.2025 Samora Correia - Fatima 0:1
    28.09.2025 Lajense - Samora Correia 2:0
    14.09.2025 Peniche - Samora Correia 1:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache19135128:72144
    2SB Castelo Branco19112635:191635
    3Naval 18931995526:19732
    4Mortagua1995519:18132
    5Oliveira Hospital1987423:111231
    6Uniao Da Serra1987429:191031
    7Os Marialvas1873825:22324
    8Peniche1966721:26-524
    9Fatima1957717:21-422
    10Lajense2057826:28-222
    11Marinhense1747611:20-919
    12Samora Correia19451013:25-1217
    13SC Lusitania20441220:34-1416
    14Electrico20341323:47-2413

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