Naval vs Samora Correia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
08/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
165
Shots on target
74
Corner kicks
72
Red cards
01
Total shots
165
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
91
Corner kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 6', 🟥,
  • 17', 1 - 0, ,
  • 31', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 58', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Naval
53.5%
Draw
27.7%
Samora Correia
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.5% 26.7% 18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 27% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Naval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • The chances for Samora Correia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naval than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samora Correia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • Naval - Samora Correia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.7
    (1.67)
    3.28
    (3.4)
    4.83
    (4.84)
    10.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Naval - Samora Correia?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Samora Correia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 and 12 in the zone Relegation).
    • Naval is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Samora Correia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Samora Correia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Naval is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naval won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Naval - Samora Correia were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Samora Correia - Naval 1:1
    Latest results of Naval
    04.03.2026 Marinhense - Naval 2:1
    28.02.2026 Peniche - Naval 2:0
    22.02.2026 Naval - Oliveira Hospital 0:0
    08.02.2026 Naval - SC Lusitânia 1:1
    25.01.2026 União da Serra - Naval 2:0
    Latest results of Samora Correia
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache26167333:122155
    2Oliveira Hospital26148439:132650
    3Naval 189326146636:231348
    4SB Castelo Branco26144843:261746
    5Uniao Da Serra26128638:271144
    6Mortagua26116923:26-339
    7Os Marialvas261061033:28536
    8Fatima26881027:29-232
    9Lajense26881037:37032
    10Peniche26861234:43-930
    11Samora Correia26851327:35-829
    12Marinhense26591220:38-1824
    13Electrico26541733:62-2919
    14SC Lusitania26451724:48-2417

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