Result
0:2
24/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 4
- Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.83 | 1.41 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
85% (322/381) | 83% (262/317) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.83 | 1.41 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.54 | 1.55 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 18 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 7 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
18 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
85% (322/381) | 83% (262/317) |
Long passes |
---|
70% (30/43) | 35% (15/43) |
Passes in final third |
---|
72% (73/102) | 66% (49/74) |
Crosses |
---|
10% (3/30) | 30% (7/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.45 | 1.13 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
59% (13/22) | 69% (18/26) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 63 |
Clearances |
---|
33 | 41 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
2 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.55 | 0.54 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.45 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Livaja M. ⚽, Sanyang A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Shopov S. ↓, Toure Y. ↑,
- 46', Babec H. ↓, Petrusenko O. ↑,
- 46', Sanyang A. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
- 61', Sarlija Z. ↓, Mlacic B. ↑,
- 63', Livaja M. 🟨,
- 66', 0 - 2, Sego M. ⚽, Livaja M. (A),
- 70', Jakupovic A. ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
- 80', Vrbancic L. ↓, Jugovic V. ↑,
- 80', Colina D. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
- 85', Pukstas R. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
- 87', Ivusic I. 🟨,
- 90', Livaja M. ↓, Benrahou Y. ↑,
- 90', Sego M. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 90+5', Pajaziti A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Osijek 27.5% | Draw 29% | Hajduk Split 43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Osijek - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.49 ↑ (3.33) |
3.28 ↑ (3.19) |
2.18 ↑ (2.17) |
5% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Osijek - Hajduk Split?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Osijek will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 2.
- Osijek has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hajduk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Osijek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Hajduk could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Osijek: Jakupovic A.
(Inactive)
Jurisic R.
(Broken Leg)
Matkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Mersinaj J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hajduk: Skelin M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Hajduk: Capan M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Hajduk Split?
Osijek has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Osijek?
Hajduk Split has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Hajduk Split were as follows:
27.04.2025
Osijek
-
Hajduk Split
2:0
22.02.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Osijek
4:0
24.11.2024
Osijek
-
Hajduk Split
2:2
31.08.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Osijek
1:0
14.04.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Osijek
1:2
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | D. Zagreb | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 13 |
2 | Hajduk Split | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
3 | Lok. Zagreb | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
4 | Varazdin | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
5 | Slaven Belupo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
6 | Gorica | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
7 | Rijeka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
8 | Istra 1961 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
9 | Osijek | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 3 |
10 | Vukovar 1991 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL