Result
2:0
27/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 32
- Referee: Pajac I. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | HRT 2, HRTi, MAX Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (305/365) | 85% (311/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (305/365) | 85% (311/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (25/43) | 56% (28/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (111/145) | 76% (91/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.68 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 44% (12/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Brajkovic R. 🟨,
- 27', Sanyang A. 🟨,
- 30', Brajkovic R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Rusyn N. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
- 46', Krovinovic F. ↓, Pukstas R. ↑,
- 46', Sanyang A. ↓, Sego M. ↑,
- 57', Jugovic V. ↓, Dantas T. ↑,
- 66', Soldo M. ↓, Bukvic D. ↑,
- 66', Hernani ↓, Pedro Lima ↑,
- 71', Hrgovic S. ↓, Sigur N. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Lucic I. (Own goal),
- 87', Melnjak D. ↓, Trajkovski A. ↑,
- 88', Bukvic D. ↓, Jelenic L. ↑,
- 90+4', Dantas T. 🟨,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Jakupovic A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Osijek
23.3% | Draw
27.8% | Hajduk Split
48.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Hajduk Split has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Osijek - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↓
(4.22) |
3.37 ↓
(3.41) |
1.92 ↑
(1.86) |
6.8%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Osijek - Hajduk Split?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Osijek will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Hajduk will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hajduk: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hajduk Split will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Osijek won 1.
- Osijek is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Hajduk is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Osijek could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Osijek have a series of guest games.
- In this match Hajduk is a favorite.
- There will not play in Osijek: Hasic E.
(Ankle Injury)
Matkovic A.
(Injury)
Mikolcic S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Hajduk: Biuk S.
(Injury)
Mlakar J.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Osijek won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 19:26 (average 1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Osijek won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:12 (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Hajduk Split?
Osijek has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Osijek?
Hajduk Split has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Hajduk Split were as follows:
22.02.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Osijek
4:0
24.11.2024
Osijek
-
Hajduk Split
2:2
31.08.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Osijek
1:0
14.04.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Osijek
1:2
03.02.2024
Osijek
-
Hajduk Split
1:1
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Osijek | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Rijeka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Slaven Belupo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Varazdin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Vukovar 1991 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Lok. Zagreb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Gorica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
