Result
0:2
24/08/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- HNL - Round 4
- Referee: Pavlesic P. (Cro)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | MAX Sport 1, MAX Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 9 |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (322/381) | 83% (262/317) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (322/381) | 83% (262/317) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 70% (30/43) | 35% (15/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (73/102) | 66% (49/74) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (3/30) | 30% (7/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 69% (18/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', 0 - 1, Livaja M. ⚽, Sanyang A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Shopov S. ↓, Toure Y. ↑,
- 46', Babec H. ↓, Petrusenko O. ↑,
- 46', Sanyang A. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
- 61', Sarlija Z. ↓, Mlacic B. ↑,
- 63', Livaja M. 🟨,
- 66', 0 - 2, Sego M. ⚽, Livaja M. (A),
- 70', Jakupovic A. ↓, Zivkovic F. ↑,
- 80', Vrbancic L. ↓, Jugovic V. ↑,
- 80', Colina D. ↓, Mikolcic S. ↑,
- 85', Pukstas R. ↓, Kalik A. ↑,
- 87', Ivusic I. 🟨,
- 90', Livaja M. ↓, Benrahou Y. ↑,
- 90', Sego M. ↓, Melnjak D. ↑,
- 90+5', Pajaziti A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Osijek
27.5% | Draw
29% | Hajduk Split
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Osijek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Hajduk Split has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osijek than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hajduk Split than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Osijek - Hajduk Split Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(3.33) |
3.28 ↑
(3.19) |
2.18 ↑
(2.17) |
5%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Osijek - Hajduk Split?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hajduk (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Users Predictions:
Osijek will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 2.
- Osijek has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hajduk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Osijek may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- Hajduk could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Osijek: Jakupovic A.
(Inactive)
Jurisic R.
(Broken Leg)
Matkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Mersinaj J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Hajduk: Skelin M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Hajduk: Capan M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Osijek won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Osijek won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Osijek won against Hajduk Split?
Osijek has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hajduk Split won against Osijek?
Hajduk Split has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Osijek - Hajduk Split were as follows:
27.04.2025
Osijek
-
Hajduk Split
2:0
22.02.2025
Hajduk Split
-
Osijek
4:0
24.11.2024
Osijek
-
Hajduk Split
2:2
31.08.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Osijek
1:0
14.04.2024
Hajduk Split
-
Osijek
1:2
Latest results of Hajduk Split
Croatian HNL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | D. Zagreb | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Hajduk Split | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Varazdin | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 4 | Lok. Zagreb | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 | Gorica | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Slaven Belupo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Osijek | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 9 | Rijeka | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 10 | Vukovar 1991 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Prva NL
